Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $410.4100 (1.09%) ($404.7000 - $414.7400) on Wed. Nov. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $410.4100(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(52%)    IVW(51%)    VUG(51%)    XLY(51%)    QQQ(50%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-2%)    TBT(-1%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $408.7(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $405.23(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $388.79(5.56%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $11.488b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 4.77% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.72%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.89%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2016	407.07	388.79	405.23	408.7	409.11	408.09	410.41(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10	11	117	0.62	53%	0.03	16.4	2.24%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Nov_22_2016	406.93	386.64	401.42	407.19	406.9	409.08	405.99(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	40	-3	109	0.88	55%	-0	5.3	2.24%	0	1.1	68	0
3	Nov_21_2016	406.94	386.4	398.84	406	405.57	410.14	412.38(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	147	80	137	175	0.82	55%	0.05	6.2	2.24%	0	1.4	74	0
4	Nov_18_2016	406.75	386.15	395.83	406.36	404.34	404.72	411.8(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	116	-10	95	178	1.5	55%	0.02	11.1	2.25%	0	1.4	73	0
5	Nov_17_2016	406.66	385.87	391.74	403.41	403.87	401.01	402.9(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-50	-39	117	1.12	55%	-0.02	8.8	2.24%	0	0.9	64	0

6	Nov_16_2016	406.73	385.77	388.93	401.2	402.24	403.96	402.9(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	40	15	138	0.99	55%	0.03	4.4	2.24%	0	0.9	65	0
7	Nov_15_2016	406.62	385.69	385.61	394.52	397.62	406.72	400(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	248	180	260	212	1.23	55%	0.03	-9.1	2.24%	0	0.8	64	0
8	Nov_14_2016	406.5	385.26	381.67	390.23	389.29	400.52	414.18(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	348	190	390	220	1.87	58%	0.03	-22.9	2.2%	0	1.6	50	0
9	Nov_11_2016	406.37	384.06	376.12	383.89	381.83	388.51	397.08(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	262	110	306	128	1.15	54%	-0.03	-44.9	2.13%	0	0.7	42	0
10	Nov_10_2016	406.49	384.24	373.21	378.56	378.43	378.06	391.83(6.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	84	-10	112	-0	2.19	54%	-0	-57.7	2.13%	0	0.4	40	0

11	Nov_9_2016	406.5	384.96	370.7	375.14	375.94	375.15	369.52(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-96	-10	-86	-125	2.01	49%	-0.05	-62.4	1.99%	0	-0.8	34	0
12	Nov_8_2016	406.72	387.34	370.59	375.16	375.58	378.79	378.54(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	63	60	109	-75	1.32	51%	-0.05	-62.1	1.98%	0	-0.4	36	0
13	Nov_7_2016	406.91	389.43	372.85	371.44	372.47	376.72	382.49(3.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	137	90	199	-49	1.49	51%	-0.04	-61.6	1.98%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Nov_4_2016	407.06	392	375.42	367.09	367.34	372.38	370.43(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	82	100	137	-83	1.02	48%	-0.06	-62.6	1.94%	0	-0.9	39	0
15	Nov_3_2016	407.29	394.92	379.29	367.02	365.45	368.21	374.71(1.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	105	40	163	-70	1.36	48%	-0.04	-62	1.94%	0	-0.8	36	0

16	Nov_2_2016	407.45	397.38	382.15	365.8	364.99	362.3	369.63(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	-60	-23	-155	1.6	45%	-0.06	-62.6	1.93%	0	-1.2	31	0
17	Nov_1_2016	407.71	400.31	385.66	365.47	365.9	362.68	359.92(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-229	-60	-223	-247	1.42	40%	-0.08	-62.8	1.92%	0	-1.7	22	0
18	Oct_31_2016	408.05	403.78	389.32	374.62	370.21	367.69	360.76(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-233	-80	-233	-233	1.26	40%	-0.11	-55.1	1.94%	0	-1.9	21	0
19	Oct_28_2016	408.5	407.41	392.99	385.14	381.09	369.12	370.08(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-277	-250	-288	-243	1.19	42%	-0.11	-45.7	1.93%	0	-1.9	20	0
20	Oct_27_2016	408.96	410.22	396.58	393.51	392.19	372.74	368.59(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-625	-360	-702	-393	1.94	42%	-0.15	-36.3	1.93%	0	-2.3	25	0

21	Oct_26_2016	409.58	413.03	400.92	400.82	402.27	393.06	368.02(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-540	-150	-608	-336	6.29	40%	-0.16	-27.3	1.94%	0	-2.9	28	0
22	Oct_25_2016	410.24	415.78	406.2	408.26	409.42	411.64	405.67(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	26	50	55	-63	2.22	50%	-0.1	-12.1	1.6%	0	-0.9	37	0
23	Oct_24_2016	410.64	416.5	407.78	405.92	407.12	411.48	413.35(0.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	179	80	241	-6	1.31	52%	-0.05	-11.3	1.58%	0	-0.3	41	0
24	Oct_21_2016	410.85	416.83	409.87	402.12	402.2	407.19	411.94(1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	127	90	181	-34	1.03	59%	-0.08	-13.8	1.74%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Oct_20_2016	411.16	416.97	411.45	400.56	399.32	402.76	405.1(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	96	50	145	-53	0.77	59%		-15.6	1.73%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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