Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $382.4900 (3.26%) ($373.6700 - $386.7900) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $382.4900(3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(52%)    IVW(51%)    VUG(51%)    XLY(51%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TBT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $363.93(-4.85%)
Resistance Level   $389.43
5 Day Moving Average   $371.44(2.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $372.85(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $389.43(-1.78%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $10.707b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 5.76% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.83%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.84%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.62%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.79%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.65%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2016	406.91	389.43	372.85	371.44	372.47	376.72	382.49(3.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	137	90	199	-49	1.49	51%	-0.04	-61.6	1.98%	0	-0.3	45	0
2	Nov_4_2016	407.06	392	375.42	367.09	367.34	372.38	370.43(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	82	100	137	-83	1.02	48%	-0.06	-62.6	1.94%	0	-0.9	39	0
3	Nov_3_2016	407.29	394.92	379.29	367.02	365.45	368.21	374.71(1.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	105	40	163	-70	1.36	48%	-0.04	-62	1.94%	0	-0.8	36	0
4	Nov_2_2016	407.45	397.38	382.15	365.8	364.99	362.3	369.63(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	-60	-23	-155	1.6	45%	-0.06	-62.6	1.93%	0	-1.2	31	0
5	Nov_1_2016	407.71	400.31	385.66	365.47	365.9	362.68	359.92(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-229	-60	-223	-247	1.42	40%	-0.08	-62.8	1.92%	0	-1.7	22	0

6	Oct_31_2016	408.05	403.78	389.32	374.62	370.21	367.69	360.76(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-233	-80	-233	-233	1.26	40%	-0.11	-55.1	1.94%	0	-1.9	21	0
7	Oct_28_2016	408.5	407.41	392.99	385.14	381.09	369.12	370.08(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-277	-250	-288	-243	1.19	42%	-0.11	-45.7	1.93%	0	-1.9	20	0
8	Oct_27_2016	408.96	410.22	396.58	393.51	392.19	372.74	368.59(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-625	-360	-702	-393	1.94	42%	-0.15	-36.3	1.93%	0	-2.3	25	0
9	Oct_26_2016	409.58	413.03	400.92	400.82	402.27	393.06	368.02(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-540	-150	-608	-336	6.29	40%	-0.16	-27.3	1.94%	0	-2.9	28	0
10	Oct_25_2016	410.24	415.78	406.2	408.26	409.42	411.64	405.67(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	26	50	55	-63	2.22	50%	-0.1	-12.1	1.6%	0	-0.9	37	0

11	Oct_24_2016	410.64	416.5	407.78	405.92	407.12	411.48	413.35(0.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	179	80	241	-6	1.31	52%	-0.05	-11.3	1.58%	0	-0.3	41	0
12	Oct_21_2016	410.85	416.83	409.87	402.12	402.2	407.19	411.94(1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	127	90	181	-34	1.03	59%	-0.08	-13.8	1.74%	0	-0.4	38	0
13	Oct_20_2016	411.16	416.97	411.45	400.56	399.32	402.76	405.1(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	96	50	145	-53	0.77	59%	-0.07	-15.6	1.73%	0	-1	40	0
14	Oct_19_2016	411.44	417.33	413.36	401.5	400.08	397.2	405.25(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-45	-60	-21	-115	0.92	59%	-0.09	-14.5	1.73%	0	-1	42	0
15	Oct_18_2016	411.81	417.22	415.59	404.16	403.04	395.89	393.96(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-313	-130	-341	-227	1.18	56%	-0.04	-13.8	1.71%	0	-1.9	37	0

16	Oct_17_2016	411.99	417.77	419.08	409.97	409.73	402.97	394.35(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-333	-120	-374	-209	1.24	56%	-0.13	-8.8	1.71%	0	-2	37	0
17	Oct_14_2016	412.52	418.41	422.93	418.67	417.62	410.2	404.14(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-268	-130	-312	-137	0.97	55%	-0.12	2.4	1.73%	0	-1.4	41	0
18	Oct_13_2016	413	418.79	425.1	423.83	424.32	416.5	409.81(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-273	-130	-327	-112	0.87	57%	-0.12	9.2	1.72%	0	-0.9	50	0
19	Oct_12_2016	413.5	419.07	426.42	426.76	428.4	425.04	418.52(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-187	-40	-232	-52	0.71	60%	-0.09	7.6	1.72%	0	-0.1	60	0
20	Oct_11_2016	413.89	418.91	426.58	428.63	429.55	432.14	423.02(-3.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	29	50	15	71	2.03	60%	-0.08	2.1	1.72%	0	0.4	71	0

21	Oct_10_2016	414.23	418.79	426.28	429.48	429.22	431.75	437.88(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	166	40	170	155	1.28	65%	-0.03	7.5	1.67%	0	1.9	84	0
22	Oct_7_2016	414.36	418.17	424.4	428.08	427.92	426.97	429.91(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-20	15	102	0.98	62%	-0.05	13.9	1.68%	0	1.3	78	0
23	Oct_6_2016	414.57	417.88	422.82	426.79	427.73	426.69	424.49(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	-10	-50	74	0.56	62%	-0.06	14.9	1.7%	0	0.7	65	0
24	Oct_5_2016	414.81	418.34	421.49	426.04	427.07	428.87	427.84(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	40	43	107	0.63	62%	-0.05	21.7	1.7%	0	0.9	61	0
25	Oct_4_2016	415	418.71	418.81	424.14	425.1	428.78	427.27(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	153	70	159	134	0.66	62%		27.1	1.71%	0	0.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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