Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $398.2200 (0.8%) ($394.2000 - $399.1600) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   17
Latest Price   $398.2200(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(51%)    IWF(51%)    VUG(51%)    XLY(51%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)    TBT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $412.94
5 Day Moving Average   $398.18(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $402.7(-1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $412.94(-3.56%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $11.147b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 3.5% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.25%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.75%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.59%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.44%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.61%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2016	429.2	412.94	402.7	398.18	398.09	395.66	398.22(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-40	-44	-150	0.68	38%	-0.18	-23.4	1.9%	0	-1	17	0
2	Aug_10_2016	429.98	414	405.72	397.98	399.08	396.75	395.07(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-137	-30	-124	-177	0.81	38%	-0.18	-15.9	1.89%	0	-1.4	40	0
3	Aug_9_2016	430.76	415.18	408.76	399.48	400.31	400.53	395.1(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	10	-44	-136	0.66	42%	-0.16	-8.7	1.89%	0	-1.5	39	0
4	Aug_8_2016	431.45	415.99	412.3	400.99	401.36	401.42	401.4(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	0	8	-97	0.55	42%	-0.13	-1.6	1.97%	0	-1.1	45	0
5	Aug_5_2016	432	416.24	416.17	403.52	402.64	400.1	401.13(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-115	-50	-114	-117	0.81	42%	-0.17	7	1.97%	0	-1.2	49	0

6	Aug_4_2016	432.72	416.34	420.24	408.09	407.33	401.31	397.2(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-192	-110	-217	-117	0.87	42%	-0.24	15.2	1.97%	0	-1.4	50	0
7	Aug_3_2016	433.77	416.27	422.65	414.76	414.06	405.18	402.56(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-266	-160	-312	-128	0.79	42%	-0.23	23.4	1.97%	0	-1	45	0
8	Aug_2_2016	434.79	416.35	424.65	419.46	420.18	413.35	402.64(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-286	-110	-341	-119	1.2	45%	-0.27	35.7	1.97%	0	-1	46	0
9	Aug_1_2016	435.95	416.21	426.28	425.11	425.74	422.93	414.08(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-131	-40	-167	-21	1	47%	-0.05	50.1	1.98%	0	-0.2	55	0
10	Jul_29_2016	436.17	415.32	426.08	430.59	429.14	427.01	423.99(-1.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-68	-40	-102	33	0.78	48%	-0.03	56.8	1.97%	0	0.6	63	0

11	Jul_28_2016	436.3	414.27	424.4	434.29	432.71	428.56	430.55(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-33	-80	-67	69	0.84	48%	-0.01	62.6	1.96%	0	1.1	68	0
12	Jul_27_2016	436.36	413.14	423.12	431.8	432.92	431.28	426.06(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-53	-20	-93	68	0.7	44%	-0.03	66	1.97%	0	0.9	71	0
13	Jul_26_2016	436.47	411.45	422.19	430.52	429.92	436.86	430.85(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	125	110	116	152	1.1	44%	-0.01	62.4	2.12%	0	1.3	65	0
14	Jul_25_2016	436.53	409.34	419.96	427.41	426.03	434.56	441.52(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	350	130	381	257	1.48	45%	0.01	54.4	2.1%	0	2.2	72	0
15	Jul_22_2016	436.48	407.15	416.02	420.89	419.71	422.97	442.48(5.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	213	50	225	177	4.17	45%	0.02	50.3	2.1%	0	2.8	74	0

16	Jul_21_2016	436.41	405.25	411.57	413.36	414.3	417.5	418.07(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	60	64	87	2.14	39%	-0.05	51.7	1.98%	0	1.4	59	0
17	Jul_20_2016	436.62	403.98	408.96	413.35	411.81	416.44	419.68(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	125	70	132	102	0.85	39%	-0.04	54.8	1.99%	0	1.7	54	0
18	Jul_19_2016	436.81	402.57	407.04	412.74	412.03	411.11	415.31(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	-20	103	96	0.91	39%	-0.05	54.1	1.99%	0	1.5	62	0
19	Jul_18_2016	437.05	401.6	405.15	411.34	411.98	407.19	408.9(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-106	-80	-141	-1	0.75	39%	-0.07	54.6	1.98%	0	0.9	61	0
20	Jul_15_2016	437.37	400.99	403.7	410.2	411.88	412.95	404.86(-3.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-63	30	-88	12	1.58	42%	-0.09	48.3	1.99%	0	0.5	52	0

21	Jul_14_2016	437.75	400.44	403.48	409.17	411.56	416.76	417.98(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	216	110	243	136	1.17	46%	-0.05	32	1.99%	0	2.1	53	0
22	Jul_13_2016	437.98	399.01	402.39	403.73	406.29	410.81	416.63(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	182	100	206	110	1.42	46%	-0.06	-8.1	2.02%	0	2.4	60	0
23	Jul_12_2016	438.24	397.85	399.82	400.61	400.38	406.35	408.34(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	134	100	153	77	0.71	44%	-0.08	-50.6	2%	0	1.7	58	0
24	Jul_11_2016	438.6	397.09	397.87	398.22	398.21	401.77	403.18(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	196	60	230	92	1.01	44%	-0.1	-105.5	1.99%	0	1.1	53	0
25	Jul_8_2016	439.03	397.12	397.53	396.37	395.49	394.42	399.71(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-30	-9	-9	1.07	44%		-134.5	1.99%	0	0.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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