Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $397.2700 (0.95%) ($393.0000 - $400.4100) on Fri. Jun. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $397.2700(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(51%)    VUG(51%)    XLY(51%)    IVW(50%)    QQQ(49%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-3%)    IBUY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $427.11
5 Day Moving Average   $394.08(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $408.86(-2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $427.11(-6.99%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $11.12b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 5.54% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5.48%(60%) Average negative next day return: -4.15%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.76%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.86%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 9.86%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.04%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2016	447.57	427.11	408.86	394.08	394	394.9	397.27(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	20	15	-170	1.28	31%	-0.17	-59.7	1.83%	0	-1.3	28	0
2	Jun_16_2016	448.32	429.85	412.44	395.68	394.44	393.91	393.55(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-20	-50	-192	1.07	31%	-0.18	-61.5	1.95%	0	-1.6	24	0
3	Jun_15_2016	449.15	432.73	417.38	400.13	398.3	393.09	390.31(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-187	-110	-171	-235	1.2	30%	-0.2	-62	1.94%	0	-2	21	0
4	Jun_14_2016	450.05	435.7	421.81	407.9	404.93	394.98	395.27(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-366	-190	-385	-307	1.63	30%	-0.19	-61.7	1.95%	0	-2.1	23	0
5	Jun_13_2016	450.91	438.37	426.62	415.53	414.53	403.51	394(-2.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-435	-190	-472	-323	1.85	30%	-0.2	-61.5	1.97%	0	-2.7	22	0

6	Jun_10_2016	451.81	441.75	431.99	425.78	424.92	414.89	405.26(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-372	-170	-408	-264	1.56	32%	-0.17	-48.5	1.96%	0	-2.7	30	0
7	Jun_9_2016	452.56	444.47	436.81	431.52	432.93	425.54	415.79(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-288	-110	-315	-206	1.2	33%	-0.13	-38.1	1.96%	0	-2.6	33	0
8	Jun_8_2016	453.16	446.51	441.09	437.06	436.99	434.95	429.2(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-162	-30	-174	-124	0.99	35%	-0.09	-19.6	1.94%	0	-1.9	40	0
9	Jun_7_2016	453.56	447.88	443.89	437.74	439.17	440.33	433.39(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	22	30	39	-30	0.94	35%	-0.08	-10	1.95%	0	-1.8	44	0
10	Jun_6_2016	453.91	448.93	446.21	439.45	438.55	439.03	445.27(2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	0	16	-27	0.8	37%	-0.03	7.3	1.94%	0	-0.5	52	0

11	Jun_3_2016	454.05	448.46	446.66	439.48	439.17	438.02	433.94(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-20	-53	-60	0.87	33%	-0.08	14.4	1.92%	0	-1.8	34	0
12	Jun_2_2016	454.41	448.67	448.46	443.1	441.98	438.06	443.49(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-115	-70	-126	-80	1.02	35%	-0.04	33.7	1.92%	0	-0.6	40	0
13	Jun_1_2016	454.6	448.27	449.03	446.01	445.84	440.32	432.59(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-211	-90	-241	-119	0.79	31%	-0.09	50	1.91%	0	-1.8	34	0
14	May_31_2016	455	448.69	450.62	450.95	451.19	445.89	441.96(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-179	-80	-208	-93	0.98	33%	-0.05	65.9	1.91%	0	-0.8	38	0
15	May_27_2016	455.24	448.38	451.04	453.85	454.86	451.36	445.41(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-144	-50	-168	-71	1.01	33%	-0.04	57.2	1.92%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	May_26_2016	455.43	447.31	452.33	454.75	456.92	456.49	452.03(-1.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-14	10	-21	6	0.74	33%	-0.02	45.5	1.93%	0	0.4	67	0
17	May_25_2016	455.5	445.98	452.78	454.47	455.18	458.36	458.04(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	50	64	53	0.69	33%	0.01	31.4	1.95%	0	0.9	71	0
18	May_24_2016	455.45	444.01	452.3	452.59	452.94	457.36	457.33(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	167	70	186	108	0.65	33%	0.01	13.6	1.97%	0	1.1	72	0
19	May_23_2016	455.41	443.34	452.03	450.34	450.02	452	456.44(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	122	30	133	89	1.06	33%	0	5.5	1.98%	0	1.1	65	0
20	May_20_2016	455.39	442.6	451.64	447.96	447.4	448.53	449.92(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	9	43	1.31	33%	-0.02	-6.5	1.99%	0	0.6	65	0

21	May_19_2016	455.5	442.19	450.23	449.65	447.34	448.05	450.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-0	8	58	0.61	33%	-0.02	-13	2.01%	0	0.7	73	0
22	May_18_2016	455.6	441.98	448.81	450.92	449.59	446.28	448.61(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-29	-60	-54	46	0.55	33%	-0.04	-12.5	2.03%	0	0.6	69	0
23	May_17_2016	455.76	442.32	447.43	452	452.51	446.64	446.08(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-139	-90	-188	8	0.74	33%	-0.05	-5.1	2.05%	0	0.3	72	0
24	May_16_2016	455.97	442.68	446.72	453.9	454.66	452.91	444.56(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-117	-20	-163	21	1.49	33%	-0.06	2.8	2.07%	0	0.1	49	0
25	May_13_2016	456.23	443.36	445.76	455.62	456.54	458.39	458.35(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	115	30	109	134	0.9	35%		11.2	2.05%	0	1.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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