Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $452.0300 (-1.31%) ($451.5100 - $460.7700) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $452.0300(-1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(51%)    VUG(51%)    IVW(50%)    XLY(50%)    QQQ(49%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-3%)    IBUY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $454.75(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $452.33(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $447.31(1.06%)
To recent high   -12.4%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $12.653b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.48%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.17%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.48%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	455.43	447.31	452.33	454.75	456.92	456.49	452.03(-1.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-14	10	-21	6	0.74	33%	-0.02	45.5	1.93%	0	0.4	67	0
2	May_25_2016	455.5	445.98	452.78	454.47	455.18	458.36	458.04(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	50	64	53	0.69	33%	0.01	31.4	1.95%	0	0.9	71	0
3	May_24_2016	455.45	444.01	452.3	452.59	452.94	457.36	457.33(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	167	70	186	108	0.65	33%	0.01	13.6	1.97%	0	1.1	72	0
4	May_23_2016	455.41	443.34	452.03	450.34	450.02	452	456.44(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	122	30	133	89	1.06	33%	0	5.5	1.98%	0	1.1	65	0
5	May_20_2016	455.39	442.6	451.64	447.96	447.4	448.53	449.92(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	9	43	1.31	33%	-0.02	-6.5	1.99%	0	0.6	65	0

6	May_19_2016	455.5	442.19	450.23	449.65	447.34	448.05	450.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-0	8	58	0.61	33%	-0.02	-13	2.01%	0	0.7	73	0
7	May_18_2016	455.6	441.98	448.81	450.92	449.59	446.28	448.61(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-29	-60	-54	46	0.55	33%	-0.04	-12.5	2.03%	0	0.6	69	0
8	May_17_2016	455.76	442.32	447.43	452	452.51	446.64	446.08(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-139	-90	-188	8	0.74	33%	-0.05	-5.1	2.05%	0	0.3	72	0
9	May_16_2016	455.97	442.68	446.72	453.9	454.66	452.91	444.56(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-117	-20	-163	21	1.49	33%	-0.06	2.8	2.07%	0	0.1	49	0
10	May_13_2016	456.23	443.36	445.76	455.62	456.54	458.39	458.35(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	115	30	109	134	0.9	35%	0.01	11.2	2.05%	0	1.1	57	0

11	May_12_2016	456.18	443.68	442.11	450.72	453.09	456.41	457.01(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	137	70	144	117	1.09	35%	0	7.1	2.07%	0	1	56	0
12	May_11_2016	456.16	443.49	438.73	446.31	446.68	454.69	454(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	177	130	200	109	1.05	35%	-0.01	0	2.09%	0	0.8	52	0
13	May_10_2016	456.21	442.96	435.07	442.17	441.57	449.77	455.59(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	285	130	338	126	0.78	35%	-0	-12.3	2.12%	0	0.9	47	0
14	May_9_2016	456.23	442.33	433.73	438.65	436.77	438.66	453.17(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	126	20	156	34	1.42	35%	-0.02	-26.4	2.14%	0	0.8	47	0
15	May_6_2016	456.31	441.82	432.39	434.71	435.03	433.38	433.81(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-20	-13	-61	0.73	26%	-0.13	-42.3	2.02%	0	-0.6	35	0

16	May_5_2016	456.9	442.69	433.16	432.14	433.83	434.88	435(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	30	8	-77	0.61	26%	-0.13	-52.9	2.05%	0	-0.6	31	0
17	May_4_2016	457.49	443.48	434.31	429.82	430.61	436.68	433.3(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	102	100	147	-35	0.67	26%	-0.15	-64.5	2.08%	0	-0.8	40	0
18	May_3_2016	458.16	444.58	436.57	426.61	427.42	432.78	437.95(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	189	90	251	3	1.29	26%	-0.13	-73.7	2.1%	0	-0.5	48	0
19	May_2_2016	458.74	445.8	438.1	428.2	423.35	424.54	433.5(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10	-5	-89	0.97	26%	-0.16	-68	2.12%	0	-0.9	46	0
20	Apr_29_2016	459.48	447.35	440.62	430.12	427.53	422.05	420.97(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-93	-110	-87	-111	0.96	19%	-0.25	-67.5	2.06%	0	-1.9	41	0

21	Apr_28_2016	460.65	449.61	445.42	434.47	432.68	422.16	423.4(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-317	-180	-358	-193	1.43	19%	-0.25	-65	2.09%	0	-2	38	0
22	Apr_27_2016	461.81	452.04	448.86	439.42	438.75	433.02	417.22(-6.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-331	-100	-380	-182	3.88	19%	-0.31	-62.4	2.09%	0	-2.9	35	0
23	Apr_26_2016	463.25	454.62	452.05	447.58	447.02	443.21	445.92(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-83	-60	-95	-47	1.72	24%	-0.13	-62.6	1.84%	0	-1	44	0
24	Apr_25_2016	463.83	455.35	452.07	449.43	450.47	444.49	443.1(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-212	-90	-245	-112	0.98	24%	-0.15	-54.5	1.86%	0	-1.3	37	0
25	Apr_22_2016	464.55	456.93	452.37	452.83	454.59	450.83	442.73(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-197	-50	-228	-105	0.92	24%		-37.2	1.89%	0	-1.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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