Trading Signals: CME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 16, 2018

Trading Signals: CME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(CME Group Inc. Class A)
CME latest price $149.1461 (-0.35%) ($148.3621 - $152.0320) on Tue. Jan. 16, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $149.1461(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CME advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CME advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(61%)    IWD(60%)    IVE(59%)    XLF(59%)    SDY(58%)
Factors Impacting CME price   CME will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-17%)    DIA(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    GDXJ(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $149.59(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $147.65(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $146.76(1.63%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $53.354b

CME Group, Inc. operates as a security and commodity exchange company. It provides the risk management and investment needs of customers around the globe. The company offers a wide range of products across various asset classes based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, agricultural commodities, metals, weather and real estate. CME Group brings buyers and sellers together through its CME Globex electronic trading platform across the globe and its open outcry trading facilities in Chicago and New York City. The company also provides clearing and settlement services for exchange-traded contracts, as well as for cleared over-the-counter derivatives transactions. It also offers market data services-including live quotes, delayed quotes, market reports and a comprehensive historical data service and has expanded into the index services business through CME Group Index Services. CME Group was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. CME price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.06%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -5.84%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.84%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.65%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2018	137.15	146.76	147.65	149.59	149.85	149.92	149.15(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	10	23	129	1.3	70%	0.3	11	0.95%	0	0.9	60	0
2	Jan_12_2018	136.74	146.66	147.07	149.5	149.59	149.66	149.67(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	10	12	106	1.11	70%	0.21	7.7	0.95%	0	1.2	53	0
3	Jan_11_2018	136.46	146.58	146.44	148.9	149.25	149.79	149.74(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	30	53	98	1.06	70%	0.21	0	0.95%	0	1.3	58	0
4	Jan_10_2018	136.17	146.55	145.76	148.09	148.36	149.53	149.83(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	90	60	93	80	1.18	70%	0.21	-7.1	0.95%	0	1.4	55	0
5	Jan_9_2018	135.89	146.51	145.32	146.95	147.3	148.71	149.57(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	132	70	153	68	0.94	70%	0.21	-21.2	0.95%	0	1.3	51	0

6	Jan_8_2018	135.6	146.48	144.9	145.41	145.7	147.18	148.69(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	100	80	129	12	1.12	70%	0.2	-34.4	0.95%	0	1	49	0
7	Jan_5_2018	135.33	146.47	144.74	144.3	144.27	145.9	146.65(0.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	84	80	118	-19	0.95	69%	0.19	-41.4	0.94%	0	0.1	46	0
8	Jan_4_2018	135.07	146.58	144.68	143.65	143.68	144.22	145.7(1.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	73	30	112	-46	1.55	69%	0.18	-39.2	0.94%	0	-0.4	39	0
9	Jan_3_2018	134.83	146.71	144.79	143.11	143.06	142.63	144.16(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-58	-20	-34	-130	1.34	68%	0.17	-32.5	0.94%	0	-1	30	0
10	Jan_2_2018	134.6	146.99	145.18	143.47	143.12	143.14	141.88(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-78	-10	-57	-141	1.08	66%	0.27	-9.1	0.92%	0	-2.1	22	0

11	Dec_29_2017	134.24	147.28	145.81	144.29	143.9	143.49	143.12(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-43	-30	-19	-115	0.88	66%	0.17	18.8	0.92%	0	-2	24	0
12	Dec_28_2017	134.01	147.45	146.25	145.24	144.72	143.09	143.37(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-116	-90	-109	-136	0.85	67%	0.16	52.3	0.92%	0	-2.1	29	0
13	Dec_27_2017	133.8	147.54	146.79	145.85	145.76	144.3	143.02(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-153	-70	-156	-144	1.27	68%	0.17	78.2	0.92%	0	-2.5	28	0
14	Dec_26_2017	133.57	147.52	147.5	146.68	146.73	146.36	145.95(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-79	-20	-75	-89	1.55	71%	0.27	89.9	0.89%	0	-0.8	39	0
15	Dec_22_2017	133.21	147.21	147.86	147.14	147.32	147.21	145.99(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-0	-14	-53	1.16	71%	0.19	63.4	0.89%	0	-0.4	34	0

16	Dec_21_2017	132.96	146.89	148.25	147.54	147.74	147.1	147.85(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-30	-21	-37	1.76	75%	0.21	68.7	0.87%	0	0.3	55	0
17	Dec_20_2017	132.68	146.45	148.36	147.45	147.86	147.42	146.44(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-69	-10	-75	-49	1.52	75%	0.2	63.2	0.87%	0	-0	56	0
18	Dec_19_2017	132.42	146.12	148.64	147.88	148.23	148.38	147.15(-0.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-9	10	-14	7	1.18	75%	0.22	64.7	0.88%	0	0.2	65	0
19	Dec_18_2017	132.13	145.72	148.79	148.44	148.55	148.29	148.24(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-10	-2	55	1.4	75%	0.24	67	0.87%	0	0.6	76	0
20	Dec_15_2017	131.82	145.15	148.93	148.72	148.82	148.08	148.04(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-27	-30	-65	86	2.24	75%	0.23	65.4	0.87%	0	0.6	80	0

21	Dec_14_2017	131.52	144.6	148.87	149.07	149.33	148.82	147.4(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-20	-56	138	2.22	76%	0.23	66.4	0.88%	0	0.6	80	0
22	Dec_13_2017	131.22	144.07	148.76	149.39	149.59	149.57	148.57(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	40	0	-14	203	1.29	76%	0.23	67.8	0.87%	0	0.8	85	0
23	Dec_12_2017	130.92	143.49	148.38	149.48	149.51	149.84	149.96(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	88	20	32	255	1.33	80%	0.25	70.2	0.86%	0	1.2	86	0
24	Dec_11_2017	130.59	142.82	147.59	149.17	149.14	149.6	149.65(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	87	20	28	263	1.02	80%	0.25	72.1	0.87%	0	1.3	87	0
25	Dec_8_2017	130.26	142.07	146.54	149.18	149.02	149.18	149.75(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	101	0	38	289	1.49	81%		70.9	0.86%	0	1.4	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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