Trading Signals: CME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: CME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(CME Group Inc. Class A)
CME latest price $83.5608 (0.78%) ($82.6698 - $83.8548) on Thu. Apr. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $83.5608(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CME declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CME declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(59%)    SPLV(59%)    XLF(59%)    IVE(58%)    SDY(57%)
Factors Impacting CME price   CME will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-19%)    GDXJ(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $78.84(-5.65%)
Resistance Level   $86.32
5 Day Moving Average   $82.68(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.82(-1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.32(-3.2%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $29.892b

CME Group, Inc. operates as a security and commodity exchange company. It provides the risk management and investment needs of customers around the globe. The company offers a wide range of products across various asset classes based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, agricultural commodities, metals, weather and real estate. CME Group brings buyers and sellers together through its CME Globex electronic trading platform across the globe and its open outcry trading facilities in Chicago and New York City. The company also provides clearing and settlement services for exchange-traded contracts, as well as for cleared over-the-counter derivatives transactions. It also offers market data services-including live quotes, delayed quotes, market reports and a comprehensive historical data service and has expanded into the index services business through CME Group Index Services. CME Group was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. CME price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.93%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 0.66%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.85%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.83%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2016	83.66	86.32	84.82	82.68	82.88	83.17	83.56(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	30	13	-112	2.69	54%	-0.01	-57.5	1.51%	0	-1.2	33	INF
2	Apr_13_2016	83.67	86.57	85.27	82.91	82.61	82.83	82.92(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	10	-15	-121	4.8	50%	-0.02	-52.1	1.51%	0	-1.6	26	INF
3	Apr_12_2016	83.69	86.88	85.76	83.67	83.18	82.58	82.72(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-70	-25	-103	3.2	50%	-0.04	-40.2	1.58%	0	-1.9	30	INF
4	Apr_11_2016	83.72	87.18	86.24	84.49	84.17	82.38	82.39(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-97	-160	-91	-115	4.38	50%	-0.04	-26.5	1.58%	0	-2.4	28	INF
5	Apr_8_2016	83.75	87.44	86.79	85.79	85.58	83.79	81.83(-3.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.4	-115	-150	-120	-99	6.51	50%	-0.05	-9.1	1.58%	0	-3.4	24	INF

6	Apr_7_2016	83.79	87.69	87.4	87.23	87.19	85.96	84.71(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-67	-100	-72	-51	1.49	52%	0	24.2	1.53%	0	-2.8	30	INF
7	Apr_6_2016	83.79	87.8	87.8	87.93	87.98	87.37	86.69(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-40	-50	-45	-24	1.06	54%	0.04	57.6	1.51%	0	-1.3	37	INF
8	Apr_5_2016	83.76	87.76	87.93	88.15	88.36	88.41	86.83(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-5	10	-5	-6	1.56	54%	0.02	65.1	1.52%	0	-1	36	INF
9	Apr_4_2016	83.74	87.71	88.05	88.24	88.27	88.59	88.86(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	30	23	5	0.78	54%	0.06	69.7	1.49%	0	1.1	51	INF
10	Apr_1_2016	83.69	87.59	87.97	87.96	87.84	88.3	89.05(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	30	22	2	1.07	54%	0.06	70.2	1.51%	0	1.4	66	INF

11	Mar_31_2016	83.64	87.44	87.9	87.63	87.58	87.94	88.23(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	30	19	2	1.2	54%	0.02	68.1	1.52%	0	0.8	67	INF
12	Mar_30_2016	83.62	87.3	87.92	87.63	87.49	87.38	87.79(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-20	3	7	0.95	54%	0.02	69	1.53%	0	0.4	64	INF
13	Mar_29_2016	83.6	87.14	88.02	87.69	87.58	87.22	87.26(-0.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-12	-30	-19	11	1.35	54%	0.02	63.7	1.53%	0	0.1	65	INF
14	Mar_28_2016	83.58	86.97	88.15	87.84	87.79	87.6	87.46(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-15	29	0.82	54%	0.02	55.8	1.53%	0	0.3	68	INF
15	Mar_24_2016	83.56	86.85	88.12	87.97	87.92	87.93	87.42(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-0	-8	38	1.47	54%	0.04	56.7	1.53%	0	0.4	57	INF

16	Mar_23_2016	83.53	86.74	88.01	88.2	88.06	87.99	88.51(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10	1	49	1.35	54%	0.05	63.3	1.53%	0	1.1	67	INF
17	Mar_22_2016	83.49	86.53	87.8	88.21	88.15	87.91	87.8(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-13	49	1.46	57%	0.04	63.5	1.53%	0	0.8	69	INF
18	Mar_21_2016	83.46	86.34	87.61	88.41	88.3	88.13	88(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-20	-12	60	1.36	57%	0.06	69	1.56%	0	1	74	INF
19	Mar_18_2016	83.41	86.14	87.37	88.52	88.42	88.38	88.14(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10	3	78	3.99	54%	0.04	75.6	1.56%	0	1.2	78	INF
20	Mar_17_2016	83.38	85.98	87.2	88.27	88.29	88.47	88.57(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	16	83	1.8	54%	0.05	81.5	1.59%	0	1.5	67	INF

21	Mar_16_2016	83.34	85.72	86.95	87.78	87.82	88.46	88.53(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	50	29	82	1.77	54%	0.07	80	1.59%	0	1.8	66	INF
22	Mar_15_2016	83.28	85.49	86.61	87.32	87.24	88.1	88.83(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	70	50	85	1.82	54%	0.08	71.3	1.59%	0	2.2	71	INF
23	Mar_14_2016	83.21	85.18	86.17	86.69	86.64	87.17	88.54(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	52	40	45	71	2.19	56%	0.07	70.6	1.59%	0	2.5	71	INF
24	Mar_11_2016	83.15	84.9	85.65	86.07	86.05	86.37	86.89(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	30	14	42	1.44	52%	0.07	76.8	1.61%	0	1.7	67	INF
25	Mar_10_2016	83.09	84.64	85.46	85.99	85.75	86.12	86.1(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	20	12	38	1.2	52%		79.5	1.66%	0	1.1	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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