Trading Signals: CHKP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: CHKP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Check Point Software Technologies Ltd)
CHKP latest price $76.6400 (1.11%) ($75.8000 - $76.9300) on Thu. Nov. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $76.6400(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CHKP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CHKP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CHKP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(52%)    QQQ(50%)    VT(50%)    XLK(50%)    IWM(45%)
Factors Impacting CHKP price   CHKP will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.34(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.74(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.99(5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $11.149b

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. engages in the development and market of software and hardware solutions for information technology security. The company products include threat prevention, next generation firewalls, mobile security, and security management. Its solutions cater to the following: point of sale systems, automated teller machines, private and public cloud, and telecommunications providers. The company was founded by Gil Shwed, Marius Nacht, and Shlomo Kramer in July 1993 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.

$. CHKP price fluctuates within 3.9% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 2.6%(26%) Average negative next day return: -2.28%(74%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 3.24%(37%) Average negative next three day return: -3.31%(63%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 6.51%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.7%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2014	69	72.99	74.74	75.34	75.33	75.95	76.64(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	60	52	91	1.02	63%	0.15	77.2	1.2%	0	1.3	88	0
2	Nov_12_2014	68.9	72.52	74.45	74.91	74.9	75.2	75.8(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	30	37	89	1.31	63%	0.13	68.8	1.2%	0	1.1	91	0
3	Nov_11_2014	68.81	72.09	74.22	74.53	74.58	74.71	74.85(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	10	15	107	0.77	62%	0.12	58.3	1.19%	0	0.9	94	0
4	Nov_10_2014	68.73	71.68	74.08	74.33	74.34	74.6	74.73(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	20	18	133	0.66	62%	0.1	50.8	1.19%	0	1	81	0
5	Nov_7_2014	68.66	71.27	73.89	74.12	74.09	74.44	74.67(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	30	21	159	0.55	61%	0.1	43.4	1.19%	0	1.1	82	0

6	Nov_6_2014	68.59	70.85	73.7	74.04	73.92	74.09	74.51(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	10	15	187	0.88	61%	0.1	38.7	1.2%	0	1.2	82	0
7	Nov_5_2014	68.52	70.56	73.36	73.92	73.98	74.09	73.89(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	55	-20	4	209	0.82	61%	0.1	40	1.2%	0	1.1	83	0
8	Nov_4_2014	68.45	70.36	72.76	73.86	73.87	73.75	73.84(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	-10	-18	205	0.89	61%	0.12	44.9	1.21%	0	1.2	83	0
9	Nov_3_2014	68.37	70.12	72.27	73.78	73.89	74.21	73.7(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	72	30	17	236	0.98	61%	0.12	46.7	1.21%	0	1.3	84	0
10	Oct_31_2014	68.29	69.9	71.75	73.61	73.72	73.99	74.25(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	89	30	34	253	0.84	56%	0.13	48.3	1.23%	0	1.6	87	0

11	Oct_30_2014	68.2	69.66	71.13	73.3	73.29	73.57	73.91(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	83	30	26	254	1.02	56%	0.12	49.6	1.24%	0	1.7	87	0
12	Oct_29_2014	68.12	69.38	70.45	72.72	72.95	73.45	73.59(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	109	60	65	240	1.04	56%	0.13	45.3	1.24%	0	1.8	67	0
13	Oct_28_2014	68.03	69.08	69.78	71.48	72.15	73.02	73.47(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	102	110	76	178	1.28	56%	0.12	27.3	1.24%	0	2.1	58	0
14	Oct_27_2014	67.95	68.84	69.07	70.51	70.87	72.45	72.84(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	102	170	93	130	1.4	56%	0.1	15.9	1.24%	0	2.2	60	0
15	Oct_24_2014	67.88	68.64	68.4	69.61	69.81	71.29	72.7(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	116	160	126	87	1.13	60%	0.1	1.3	1.25%	0	2.5	57	0

16	Oct_23_2014	67.81	68.46	67.73	68.68	68.81	69.29	71(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	57	50	74	6	2.79	60%	0.1	-20.4	1.24%	0	1.9	52	0
17	Oct_22_2014	67.74	68.36	67.46	67.88	68.14	69.29	67.38(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	30	12	-59	1.35	54%	0.04	-42.6	1.08%	0	-0.8	45	0
18	Oct_21_2014	67.71	68.52	67.72	67.81	67.79	68.33	68.63(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	25	50	45	-34	2.02	57%	0.06	-46.3	1.06%	0	0.1	54	0
19	Oct_20_2014	67.67	68.55	67.77	67.38	67.27	67.95	68.35(0.49%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	29	70	55	-50	0.69	57%	0.06	-57.1	1.06%	0	-0.2	46	0
20	Oct_17_2014	67.63	68.62	67.89	66.99	66.88	67.25	68.02(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	24	30	53	-65	0.74	57%	0.04	-65.2	1.07%	0	-0.4	44	0

21	Oct_16_2014	67.6	68.73	68.06	66.64	66.46	66.59	67(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	10	-12	-108	1.12	55%	0.03	-74.6	1.05%	0	-1.2	37	0
22	Oct_15_2014	67.58	68.92	68.24	67	66.66	66.51	67.03(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-30	-30	-107	1.29	55%	0.01	-69.3	1.06%	0	-1.3	39	0
23	Oct_14_2014	67.57	69.12	68.35	67.64	67.41	66.32	66.49(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-120	-62	-111	1.21	56%	-0.01	-61	1.05%	0	-1.9	32	0
24	Oct_13_2014	67.58	69.3	68.64	68.22	68.21	66.81	66.4(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-120	-140	-123	-111	1.31	56%	0.01	-59.7	1.06%	0	-2.4	39	0
25	Oct_10_2014	67.57	69.51	68.94	68.91	69.07	68.5	66.27(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-85	-50	-89	-71	1.73	54%		-54.6	1.07%	0	-2.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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