Trading Signals: CEMB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: CEMB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Emerging Market Corporate Bond ETF)
CEMB latest price $51.0100 (0.2%) ($50.4600 - $51.0700) on Thu. May. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $51.0100(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   CEMB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CEMB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(66%)    EMHY(65%)    HYG(55%)    JNK(55%)    VCSH(51%)
Factors Impacting CEMB price   CEMB will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-11%)    IBUY(-6%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.85(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.8(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.76(0.49%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. CEMB price fluctuates within 0.43% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.19%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2016	47.82	50.76		50.85	50.82	50.88	51.01(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	10	16	11	0	74%	0.1	69.8	0.52%	0	1.1	52	0
2	May_11_2016	47.77	50.73	50.8	50.75	50.78	50.82	50.91(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	10	12	13	0	74%	0.08	74.4	0.52%	0	0.8	63	0
3	May_10_2016	47.73	50.71	50.78	50.72	50.73	50.75	50.8(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	0	7	4	0	75%	0.1	75.6	0.52%	0	0.4	48	0
4	May_9_2016	47.68	50.69	50.77	50.7	50.66	50.74	50.6(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	10	-2	-5	0	75%	0.08	70.9	0.53%	0	-0.3	46	0
5	May_6_2016	47.64	50.66	50.79	50.7	50.67	50.72	50.92(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	0	11	6	0	78%	0.08	72.3	0.52%	0	0.8	53	0

6	May_5_2016	47.6	50.6	50.78	50.74	50.69	50.59	50.5(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-20	-17	7	0	77%	0.08	74	0.51%	0	-0.3	57	0
7	May_4_2016	47.56	50.57	50.76	50.85	50.77	50.63	50.78(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-20	-22	14	0	80%	0.11	85.7	0.51%	0	0.5	53	0
8	May_3_2016	47.51	50.54	50.77	50.85	50.89	50.79	50.72(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-12	28	0.01	80%	0.08	95.2	0.51%	0	0.4	55	0
9	May_2_2016	47.47	50.49	50.79	50.84	50.9	50.91	50.8(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	0	-7	44	0.01	80%	0.08	91.6	0.5%	0	0.6	58	0
10	Apr_29_2016	47.43	50.42	50.78	50.83	50.88	51	50.9(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	20	15	68	0	80%	0.11	86.2	0.5%	0	0.9	64	0

11	Apr_28_2016	47.38	50.33	50.71	50.82	50.84	50.88	51.05(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	10	31	83	0	80%	0.08	82.9	0.5%	0	1.2	67	0
12	Apr_27_2016	47.34	50.24	50.67	50.66	50.76	50.75	50.75(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	0	-8	68	0.01	79%	0.08	69.8	0.5%	0	0.8	66	0
13	Apr_26_2016	47.3	50.14	50.63	50.7	50.75	50.8	50.71(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	10	-1	84	0	79%	0.08	68.1	0.5%	0	0.8	58	0
14	Apr_25_2016	47.26	50.05	50.59	50.7	50.77	50.77	50.74(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	0	12	109	0.02	79%	0.06	68.5	0.5%	0	0.9	64	0
15	Apr_22_2016	47.23	49.95	50.52	50.73	50.69	50.7	50.86(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-0	6	120	0	80%	0.08	71.2	0.5%	0	1.2	68	0

16	Apr_21_2016	47.19	49.85	50.42	50.59	50.67	50.76	50.25(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	37	20	8	123	0.01	78%	0.06	70.5	0.49%	0	0.5	66	0
17	Apr_20_2016	47.16	49.79	50.37	50.66	50.56	50.69	50.93(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	10	28	170	0	82%	0.06	80.3	0.45%	0	1.6	76	0
18	Apr_19_2016	47.13	49.67	50.28	50.56	50.45	50.58	50.88(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	72	10	32	191	0.01	82%	0.08	83.4	0.46%	0	1.7	80	0
19	Apr_18_2016	47.09	49.56	50.16	50.44	50.37	50.43	50.71(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	0	32	198	0	82%	0.06	87.2	0.46%	0	1.6	73	0
20	Apr_15_2016	47.06	49.44	50.03	50.28	50.28	50.32	50.19(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	10	13	192	0	72%	0.06	85.7	0.45%	0	1.1	72	0

21	Apr_14_2016	47.03	49.34	49.92	50.21	50.21	50.3	50.59(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	10	31	187	0	76%	0.06	86.1	0.48%	0	1.8	74	0
22	Apr_13_2016	47	49.21	49.78	50.03	50.05	50.24	50.42(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	30	26	165	0.01	76%	0.06	85.9	0.48%	0	1.7	67	0
23	Apr_12_2016	46.97	49.08	49.6	49.97	49.9	50.13	50.29(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	30	44	168	0.01	72%	0.06	87.9	0.48%	0	1.8	71	0
24	Apr_11_2016	46.94	48.96	49.46	49.84	49.8	49.87	49.93(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	10	39	158	0	71%	0.04	90.5	0.48%	0	1.4	69	0
25	Apr_8_2016	46.92	48.85	49.33	49.73	49.65	49.67	49.81(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-0	8	142	0	71%		88.5	0.48%	0	1.4	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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