Trading Signals: CEMB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: CEMB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Emerging Market Corporate Bond ETF)
CEMB latest price $50.8600 (1.21%) ($50.3100 - $51.2200) on Fri. Apr. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $50.8600(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   CEMB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CEMB advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CEMB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(66%)    EMHY(65%)    HYG(55%)    JNK(55%)    VCSH(50%)
Factors Impacting CEMB price   CEMB will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-18%)    VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.73(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.52(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.95(1.82%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. CEMB price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -0.9%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.07%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.57%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2016	47.23	49.95	50.52	50.73	50.69	50.7	50.86(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-0	6	120	0	80%	0.08	71.2	0.5%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Apr_21_2016	47.19	49.85	50.42	50.59	50.67	50.76	50.25(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	37	20	8	123	0.01	78%	0.06	70.5	0.49%	0	0.5	66	0
3	Apr_20_2016	47.16	49.79	50.37	50.66	50.56	50.69	50.93(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	10	28	170	0	82%	0.06	80.3	0.45%	0	1.6	76	0
4	Apr_19_2016	47.13	49.67	50.28	50.56	50.45	50.58	50.88(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	72	10	32	191	0.01	82%	0.08	83.4	0.46%	0	1.7	80	0
5	Apr_18_2016	47.09	49.56	50.16	50.44	50.37	50.43	50.71(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	0	32	198	0	82%	0.06	87.2	0.46%	0	1.6	73	0

6	Apr_15_2016	47.06	49.44	50.03	50.28	50.28	50.32	50.19(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	10	13	192	0	72%	0.06	85.7	0.45%	0	1.1	72	0
7	Apr_14_2016	47.03	49.34	49.92	50.21	50.21	50.3	50.59(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	10	31	187	0	76%	0.06	86.1	0.48%	0	1.8	74	0
8	Apr_13_2016	47	49.21	49.78	50.03	50.05	50.24	50.42(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	30	26	165	0.01	76%	0.06	85.9	0.48%	0	1.7	67	0
9	Apr_12_2016	46.97	49.08	49.6	49.97	49.9	50.13	50.29(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	30	44	168	0.01	72%	0.06	87.9	0.48%	0	1.8	71	0
10	Apr_11_2016	46.94	48.96	49.46	49.84	49.8	49.87	49.93(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	10	39	158	0	71%	0.04	90.5	0.48%	0	1.4	69	0

11	Apr_8_2016	46.92	48.85	49.33	49.73	49.65	49.67	49.81(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-0	8	142	0	71%	0.04	88.5	0.48%	0	1.4	71	0
12	Apr_7_2016	46.9	48.73	49.24	49.59	49.6	49.74	49.71(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	20	28	147	0	72%	0.04	84.5	0.48%	0	1.4	71	0
13	Apr_6_2016	46.88	48.61	49.17	49.48	49.46	49.64	50.1(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	87	20	57	175	0	77%	0.06	83.1	0.47%	0	2.1	80	0
14	Apr_5_2016	46.85	48.48	49.01	49.18	49.27	49.46	49.65(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	73	30	47	149	0	68%	0.04	84.8	0.47%	0	1.7	79	0
15	Apr_4_2016	46.83	48.36	48.9	49.02	49.06	49.28	49.38(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	30	39	137	0	70%	0.04	88.8	0.49%	0	1.6	75	0

16	Apr_1_2016	46.81	48.26	48.79	48.88	48.95	49.08	49.11(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	20	30	124	0	69%	0.02	93.9	0.51%	0	1.3	75	0
17	Mar_31_2016	46.8	48.15	48.7	48.83	48.9	48.84	49.14(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-0	6	126	0	63%	0.04	98.5	0.51%	0	1.5	78	0
18	Mar_30_2016	46.78	48.02	48.59	48.82	48.86	48.81	48.62(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-0	-18	129	0	59%	0.02	91.1	0.53%	0	0.9	77	0
19	Mar_29_2016	46.77	47.92	48.52	48.81	48.93	48.97	48.87(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	10	17	156	0.01	62%	0.02	86.6	0.52%	0	1.3	77	0
20	Mar_28_2016	46.76	47.79	48.42	48.75	48.81	48.91	48.66(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	20	11	158	0	57%	-0.02	80.8	0.53%	0	1.1	77	0

21	Mar_24_2016	46.77	47.67	48.33	48.68	48.72	48.9	48.86(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	30	34	165	0	57%	0.02	73.8	0.55%	0	1.4	80	0
22	Mar_23_2016	46.76	47.53	48.2	48.55	48.59	48.71	49.08(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	73	20	42	164	0.01	57%	0.02	71.3	0.55%	0	1.8	88	0
23	Mar_22_2016	46.75	47.39	48.02	48.34	48.41	48.53	48.59(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	61	20	29	155	0	56%	0.02	72.5	0.54%	0	1.5	90	0
24	Mar_21_2016	46.74	47.27	47.9	48.18	48.22	48.46	48.56(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	40	39	163	0	52%	0	73.9	0.54%	0	1.7	90	0
25	Mar_18_2016	46.74	47.16	47.77	48.04	48.01	48.28	48.32(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	40	42	167	0	52%		74.5	0.56%	0	1.5	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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