Trading Signals: CEMB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: CEMB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Emerging Market Corporate Bond ETF)
CEMB latest price $50.2900 (0.72%) ($49.9100 - $50.4300) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $50.2900(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   CEMB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CEMB advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CEMB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(66%)    EMHY(65%)    HYG(55%)    JNK(55%)    VCSH(50%)
Factors Impacting CEMB price   CEMB will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-18%)    VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.97(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.6(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.08(2.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. CEMB price fluctuates within 1.41% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(61%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(39%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 1.59%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.01%(45%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 2.28%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.41%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	46.97	49.08	49.6	49.97	49.9	50.13	50.29(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	30	44	168	0.01	72%	0.06	87.9	0.48%	0	1.8	71	INF
2	Apr_11_2016	46.94	48.96	49.46	49.84	49.8	49.87	49.93(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	10	39	158	0	71%	0.04	90.5	0.48%	0	1.4	69	INF
3	Apr_8_2016	46.92	48.85	49.33	49.73	49.65	49.67	49.81(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-0	8	142	0	71%	0.04	88.5	0.48%	0	1.4	71	INF
4	Apr_7_2016	46.9	48.73	49.24	49.59	49.6	49.74	49.71(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	20	28	147	0	72%	0.04	84.5	0.48%	0	1.4	71	INF
5	Apr_6_2016	46.88	48.61	49.17	49.48	49.46	49.64	50.1(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	87	20	57	175	0	77%	0.06	83.1	0.47%	0	2.1	80	INF

6	Apr_5_2016	46.85	48.48	49.01	49.18	49.27	49.46	49.65(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	73	30	47	149	0	68%	0.04	84.8	0.47%	0	1.7	79	INF
7	Apr_4_2016	46.83	48.36	48.9	49.02	49.06	49.28	49.38(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	30	39	137	0	70%	0.04	88.8	0.49%	0	1.6	75	INF
8	Apr_1_2016	46.81	48.26	48.79	48.88	48.95	49.08	49.11(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	20	30	124	0	69%	0.02	93.9	0.51%	0	1.3	75	INF
9	Mar_31_2016	46.8	48.15	48.7	48.83	48.9	48.84	49.14(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-0	6	126	0	63%	0.04	98.5	0.51%	0	1.5	78	INF
10	Mar_30_2016	46.78	48.02	48.59	48.82	48.86	48.81	48.62(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-0	-18	129	0	59%	0.02	91.1	0.53%	0	0.9	77	INF

11	Mar_29_2016	46.77	47.92	48.52	48.81	48.93	48.97	48.87(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	10	17	156	0.01	62%	0.02	86.6	0.52%	0	1.3	77	INF
12	Mar_28_2016	46.76	47.79	48.42	48.75	48.81	48.91	48.66(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	20	11	158	0	57%	-0.02	80.8	0.53%	0	1.1	77	INF
13	Mar_24_2016	46.77	47.67	48.33	48.68	48.72	48.9	48.86(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	30	34	165	0	57%	0.02	73.8	0.55%	0	1.4	80	INF
14	Mar_23_2016	46.76	47.53	48.2	48.55	48.59	48.71	49.08(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	73	20	42	164	0.01	57%	0.02	71.3	0.55%	0	1.8	88	INF
15	Mar_22_2016	46.75	47.39	48.02	48.34	48.41	48.53	48.59(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	61	20	29	155	0	56%	0.02	72.5	0.54%	0	1.5	90	INF

16	Mar_21_2016	46.74	47.27	47.9	48.18	48.22	48.46	48.56(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	40	39	163	0	52%	0	73.9	0.54%	0	1.7	90	INF
17	Mar_18_2016	46.74	47.16	47.77	48.04	48.01	48.28	48.32(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	40	42	167	0	52%	0.02	74.5	0.56%	0	1.5	90	INF
18	Mar_17_2016	46.73	47.04	47.67	47.93	47.88	47.98	48.21(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	10	36	177	0	55%	0	74.2	0.56%	0	1.6	90	INF
19	Mar_16_2016	46.73	46.93	47.56	47.79	47.78	47.75	48.01(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10	12	170	0.01	55%	0	71.2	0.57%	0	1.5	89	INF
20	Mar_15_2016	46.73	46.81	47.41	47.65	47.7	47.78	47.81(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	10	9	156	0	55%	-0.02	67.1	0.57%	0	1.4	79	INF

21	Mar_14_2016	46.74	46.7	47.27	47.57	47.6	47.81	47.87(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	30	30	164	0	55%	0	64.9	0.57%	0	1.7	82	INF
22	Mar_11_2016	46.74	46.6	47.11	47.46	47.49	47.63	47.77(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	20	34	155	0.01	53%	0	64	0.57%	0	1.8	80	INF
23	Mar_10_2016	46.74	46.5	46.96	47.37	47.38	47.39	47.51(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	0	13	144	0	53%	-0.02	64.9	0.57%	0	1.7	82	INF
24	Mar_9_2016	46.75	46.42	46.82	47.28	47.33	47.35	47.27(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	10	16	141	0	53%	-0.02	67.8	0.56%	0	1.5	74	INF
25	Mar_8_2016	46.76	46.34	46.73	47.12	47.2	47.38	47.43(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	61	30	34	140	0.02	55%		63.2	0.57%	0	2	81	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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