Trading Signals: CDW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: CDW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 27, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CDW Corp.)
CDW latest price $28.0600 (-1.89%) ($27.9000 - $28.7900) on Thu. Apr. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $28.0600(-1.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CDW advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CDW advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CDW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(69%)    IWM(67%)    VT(65%)    XLK(64%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting CDW price   CDW will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.85(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.95(4.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.19(7.14%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   22.1%
Market Cap   $4.001b

CDW Corp. engages in the provision of information technology solutions including mobility, security, data center optimization, cloud computing, virtualization and collaboration. It operates through the following segments: Corporate, Small Business, and Public. The Corporate segment serves the private sector business customers. The Small Business segment also caters to the private sector businesses but with smaller number of employees. The Public segment involves government agencies, education, and healthcare institutions. The company was founded in 1984 by Michael P. Krasny and is headquartered in Lincolnshire, IL.

$. CDW price fluctuates within 4.2% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.67%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.2%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.13%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.84%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2014	24.03	26.19	26.95	27.85	27.97	28.39	28.06(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	120	27	187	0.52	66%	0.33	40.7	1.74%	0	1.7	85	NAN
2	Apr_2_2014	23.95	26.11	26.68	27.51	27.55	28.2	28.6(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	82	170	48	183	0.4	68%	0.34	40.1	1.71%	0	2.4	92	NAN
3	Apr_1_2014	23.87	26	26.36	27.05	27.01	27.55	28.43(3.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	73	140	46	153	1.1	68%	0.29	43.5	1.71%	0	2.8	79	NAN
4	Mar_31_2014	23.8	25.87	26.04	26.62	26.58	26.89	27.44(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	80	38	119	0.85	66%	0.17	50.6	1.68%	0	2.3	70	NAN
5	Mar_28_2014	23.76	25.78	25.83	26.19	26.23	26.47	26.71(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	70	25	81	0.87	65%	0.17	48.9	1.64%	0	1.6	63	NAN

6	Mar_27_2014	23.72	25.75	25.64	25.91	25.89	26.27	26.36(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	100	22	46	0.38	65%	0.17	50.5	1.64%	0	1.1	57	NAN
7	Mar_26_2014	23.68	25.71	25.49	25.71	25.68	26	26.32(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	80	26	7	0.33	65%	0.13	45.9	1.64%	0	1.1	41	NAN
8	Mar_25_2014	23.65	25.63	25.38	25.55	25.47	25.52	26.25(3.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	0	14	-27	0.38	65%	0.17	35.3	1.65%	0	1	41	NAN
9	Mar_24_2014	23.61	25.53	25.3	25.39	25.4	25.36	25.29(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10	-4	-57	0.75	62%	0.13	24.7	1.6%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
10	Mar_21_2014	23.58	25.51	25.34	25.42	25.44	25.41	25.32(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10	5	-55	1.16	62%	0.13	27.8	1.59%	0	-0.3	43	NAN

11	Mar_20_2014	23.55	25.48	25.38	25.32	25.39	25.45	25.39(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	20	8	-69	0.44	62%	0.17	22	1.6%	0	-0.1	41	NAN
12	Mar_19_2014	23.51	25.45	25.51	25.21	25.23	25.46	25.5(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	70	7	-62	0.49	62%	0.17	24.3	1.61%	0	0.1	51	NAN
13	Mar_18_2014	23.47	25.42	25.62	25.19	25.16	25.32	25.44(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	40	9	-39	0.35	62%	0.13	33.8	1.62%	0	0	59	NAN
14	Mar_17_2014	23.44	25.38	25.68	25.22	25.17	24.99	25.47(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-60	-6	-20	0.5	62%	0.17	44	1.63%	0	0.1	63	NAN
15	Mar_14_2014	23.4	25.38	25.73	25.26	25.35	25	24.79(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-90	-26	-8	0.66	60%	0.09	49	1.6%	0	-0.7	55	NAN

16	Mar_13_2014	23.38	25.33	25.88	25.45	25.61	25.36	24.85(-2.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-18	-50	-32	26	0.42	60%	0.13	65.9	1.61%	0	-0.6	55	NAN
17	Mar_12_2014	23.35	25.29	25.96	25.84	25.77	25.7	25.39(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-30	-23	74	0.61	63%	0.09	76.2	1.59%	0	0.1	59	NAN
18	Mar_11_2014	23.33	25.18	25.91	26.1	26.07	25.86	25.59(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-60	-7	106	0.62	63%	0.17	74	1.59%	0	0.4	62	NAN
19	Mar_10_2014	23.29	25.07	25.8	26.21	26.2	25.83	25.68(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-100	-18	109	0.5	63%	0.09	71.6	1.59%	0	0.6	63	NAN
20	Mar_7_2014	23.27	24.96	25.71	26.26	26.28	26.29	25.75(-3.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	0	-13	124	3.79	63%	0.13	71.3	1.58%	0	0.7	67	NAN

21	Mar_6_2014	23.24	24.85	25.61	26.35	26.29	26.57	26.8(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	70	27	155	0.2	68%	0.22	71.6	1.5%	0	1.8	70	NAN
22	Mar_5_2014	23.19	24.67	25.4	26.1	26.08	26.27	26.7(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	50	36	156	0.31	68%	0.17	70.9	1.5%	0	2	77	NAN
23	Mar_4_2014	23.15	24.5	25.19	25.7	25.76	26.01	26.14(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	70	31	145	0.18	68%	0.13	64	1.5%	0	1.7	78	NAN
24	Mar_3_2014	23.12	24.34	25.04	25.33	25.37	25.89	25.93(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	150	33	136	0.2	68%	0.13	54.8	1.52%	0	1.7	77	NAN
25	Feb_28_2014	23.09	24.22	24.87	25.07	25	25.52	26.17(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	67	140	45	134	0.81	68%		51.3	1.49%	0	2.3	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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