Trading Signals: CDW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: CDW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 27, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CDW Corp.)
CDW latest price $22.7900 (1.6%) ($22.2600 - $23.0000) on Mon. Aug. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $22.7900(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CDW advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CDW advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CDW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(68%)    IWM(65%)    QQQ(62%)    XLK(62%)    XLY(61%)
Factors Impacting CDW price   CDW will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-4%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22(3.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.64(5.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.85(9.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $3.25b

CDW Corp. engages in the provision of information technology solutions including mobility, security, data center optimization, cloud computing, virtualization and collaboration. It operates through the following segments: Corporate, Small Business, and Public. The Corporate segment serves the private sector business customers. The Small Business segment also caters to the private sector businesses but with smaller number of employees. The Public segment involves government agencies, education, and healthcare institutions. The company was founded in 1984 by Michael P. Krasny and is headquartered in Lincolnshire, IL.

$. CDW price fluctuates within 5.13% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.11%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.91%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.86%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.95%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2013	20.29	20.85	21.64	22	21.91	22.28	22.79(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	49	110	27	116	0.1	80%	0.5	72.7	2.08%	0	1.8	76	0
2	Aug_2_2013	20.19	20.67	21.39	21.78	21.63	21.73	22.43(3.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	10	13	104	0.23	80%	0.4	74.4	2.11%	0	1.7	78	0
3	Aug_1_2013	20.11	20.51	21.23	21.61	21.53	21.54	21.66(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10	-3	106	0.18	78%	0.35	79.9	2.08%	0	1.2	75	0
4	Jul_31_2013	20.04	20.38	21.14	21.67	21.58	21.54	21.5(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-30	10	134	0.05	78%	0.3	0	2.12%	0	1.2	73	0
5	Jul_30_2013	19.98	20.26	21.03	21.49	21.46	21.52	21.6(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	20	13	138	0.09	78%	0.4	0	2.16%	0	1.4	78	0

6	Jul_29_2013	19.9	20.1	20.88	21.21	21.19	21.65	21.7(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	150	22	129	0.09	78%	0.4	0	2.19%	0	1.7	71	0
7	Jul_26_2013	19.82	19.94	20.67	20.94	20.87	21.4	21.59(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	170	26	115	0.14	78%	0.46	0	2.24%	0	1.8	73	0
8	Jul_25_2013	19.73	19.78	20.46	20.79	20.56	20.73	21.98(6.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	41	20	19	108	0.23	78%	0.61	0	2.22%	0	2.4	77	0
9	Jul_24_2013	19.61	19.78	20.21	20.56	20.54	20.34	20.57(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-70	0	0	0.04	70%	0.26	0	1.78%	0	27.4	71	0
10	Jul_23_2013	19.56	19.78	20.07	20.52	20.59	20.38	20.22(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-60	-8	-3	0.04	70%	0.2	0	1.81%	0	27.3	65	0

11	Jul_22_2013	19.52	19.78	20.01	20.5	20.55	20.73	20.34(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	70	10	4	0.49	70%	0.26	0	1.84%	0	27.5	76	0
12	Jul_19_2013	19.47	19.78	19.9	20.34	20.36	20.8	20.84(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	150	35	14	0.63	79%	0.46	0	1.72%	0	28.5	77	0
13	Jul_18_2013	19.38	19.78	19.73	20.07	19.98	20.37	20.83(2.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	27	120	32	13	0.16	79%	0.57	0	1.77%	0	31.6	78	0
14	Jul_17_2013	19.27	19.78	19.55	19.82	19.67	19.93	20.37(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	70	27	11	0.14	76%	0.42	0	1.79%	0	36.4	50	0
15	Jul_16_2013	19.19	19.78	19.42	19.57	19.47	19.59	20.1(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	30	13	5	0.24	76%	0.42	0	1.86%	0	41	50	0

16	Jul_15_2013	19.11	19.78	19.25	19.45	19.39	19.42	19.56(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	0	6	2	0.18	71%	0.21	0	1.84%	0	46.6	50	0
17	Jul_12_2013	19.07	19.78	19.16	19.38	19.38	19.35	19.51(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10	3	1	0.11	71%	0.21	0	1.92%	0	46.5	50	0
18	Jul_11_2013	19.03	19.78	19.05	19.33	19.32	19.36	19.58(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	10	6	2	0.11	71%	0.37	0	2%	0	46.6	50	0
19	Jul_10_2013	18.96	19.78	19.05	19.23	19.23	19.4	19.1(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	60	3	1	0.33	63%	0.05	0	2.01%	0	49	50	0
20	Jul_9_2013	18.95	19.78	19.05	19.25	19.13	19.28	19.5(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	40	21	8	0.21	80%	0.42	0	1.88%	0	47.6	50	0

21	Jul_8_2013	18.87	19.78	19.05	19.02	19	19.07	19.23(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	20	11	4	0.11	80%	0.32	0	2.02%	0	50.6	50	0
22	Jul_5_2013	18.81	19.78	19.05	18.9	18.85	18.98	19.22(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	40	11	4	0.11	80%	0.43	0	2.18%	0	50.6	50	0
23	Jul_3_2013	18.73	19.78	19.05	18.73	18.76	18.93	19.08(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	185	70	217	87	0.1	80%	0.48	0	2.44%	0	53	50	0
24	Jul_2_2013	18.64	19.78	19.05	14.91	18.53	18.71	19.22(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	12.3	229	800	269	108	0.22	80%	1.08	0	2.58%	0	54.9	50	0
25	Jul_1_2013	18.44	19.78	19.05	11.07	18.53	18.71	18.34(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	55.9	590	-10000	694	278	0.39	48%		0	1.43%	0	141.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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