Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chubb Limited)
CB latest price $127.1969 (0.25%) ($126.7389 - $127.3782) on Wed. Dec. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $127.1969(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CB advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)    SDY(70%)    XLF(70%)    VYM(69%)
Factors Impacting CB price   CB will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.82(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.65(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.71(1.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $57.412b

Chubb Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance, personal accident and supplemental health insurance (A&H), reinsurance, and life insurance. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance. The company was founded on January 14, 2016 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

$. CB price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -0.95%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.78%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2016	120.53	124.71	126.65	126.82	126.9	127.12	127.2(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	15	85	0.98	48%	0.07	69.7	0.93%	0	1.1	72	0
2	Dec_20_2016	120.44	124.39	126.53	126.54	126.72	127.03	126.88(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	20	25	101	1.26	48%	0.07	67.2	0.93%	0	1	74	0
3	Dec_19_2016	120.36	124.1	126.27	126.59	126.47	126.69	127.12(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	15	109	0.95	48%	0.07	68.9	0.93%	0	1.2	73	0
4	Dec_16_2016	120.28	123.77	125.86	126.52	126.54	126.4	126.61(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	35	-10	8	116	2.74	48%	0.06	67.9	0.93%	0	1.2	76	0
5	Dec_15_2016	120.21	123.43	125.43	126.48	126.56	126.25	126.27(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-20	-22	110	1.59	48%	0.04	64.7	0.94%	0	1.1	76	0

6	Dec_14_2016	120.16	123.1	125.12	126.45	126.53	126.69	125.82(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	10	-11	127	1.66	48%	0.04	63.5	0.94%	0	1.1	75	0
7	Dec_13_2016	120.11	122.78	124.77	126.49	126.55	126.87	127.14(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	20	54	165	1.63	50%	0.04	63.9	0.94%	0	1.7	84	0
8	Dec_12_2016	120.06	122.45	124.28	125.88	126.02	126.37	126.76(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	72	20	45	152	1.44	53%	0.04	67.2	0.94%	0	1.9	77	0
9	Dec_9_2016	120.01	122.15	123.7	125.09	125.27	126.23	126.4(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	91	60	73	143	1.24	50%	0.05	72.5	0.96%	0	2	79	0
10	Dec_8_2016	119.95	121.84	123.14	124.2	124.36	125.67	126.13(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	114	80	107	136	1.95	50%	0.03	73.7	0.99%	0	2.3	80	0

11	Dec_7_2016	119.91	121.52	122.6	123.6	123.41	124.31	126.01(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	102	50	95	122	2.45	50%	0.03	78.6	0.99%	0	2.8	80	0
12	Dec_6_2016	119.87	121.19	122.03	122.82	122.79	123.06	124.12(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	53	10	41	87	2.32	47%	0.01	84.3	0.98%	0	2.4	77	0
13	Dec_5_2016	119.86	120.92	121.72	122.47	122.57	123.06	122.81(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-0	14	69	1.4	46%	0	74.5	0.97%	0	1.7	58	0
14	Dec_2_2016	119.86	120.65	121.49	122.09	122.32	122.51	121.95(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	20	12	57	1.66	46%	-0.01	43.8	0.97%	0	1	55	0
15	Dec_1_2016	119.87	120.5	121.27	121.87	121.88	122.62	123.1(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	40	46	60	1.81	46%	0	29.9	0.97%	0	2	64	0

16	Nov_30_2016	119.87	120.28	120.91	121.42	121.44	122.13	122.12(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	40	71	57	2.92	46%	-0.01	14.4	0.95%	0	1.6	63	0
17	Nov_29_2016	119.88	120.15	120.64	121.12	121.01	121.13	122.35(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	0	28	30	1.72	46%	-0.01	19.8	0.95%	0	2	67	0
18	Nov_28_2016	119.89	120.08	120.49	120.89	120.87	120.76	120.94(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-10	-9	20	1.58	43%	-0.02	36.1	0.95%	0	0.9	67	0
19	Nov_25_2016	119.91	120.1	120.48	120.8	120.97	120.89	120.83(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-0	6	40	0.53	43%	-0.03	55.2	0.95%	0	0.7	72	0
20	Nov_23_2016	119.95	120.1	120.46	120.55	120.77	120.98	120.87(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	12	46	1.08	43%	-0.02	65.5	0.95%	0	0.7	61	0

21	Nov_22_2016	119.97	120.11	120.38	120.31	120.43	121.04	120.6(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	40	44	57	1.65	43%	0.01	53.8	0.95%	0	0.4	59	0
22	Nov_21_2016	119.96	119.94	120.28	120.07	119.96	120.57	121.21(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	30	49	52	1.62	43%	-0.03	33.6	0.95%	0	0.9	57	0
23	Nov_18_2016	119.99	119.72	120.04	120.04	119.67	119.82	120.5(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-0	14	27	1.99	43%	-0.02	21.4	0.95%	0	0.5	45	0
24	Nov_17_2016	120.02	119.52	119.76	120.14	119.97	119.35	119.58(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-40	-21	-3	1.26	43%	-0.02	12.6	0.95%	0	0	39	0
25	Nov_16_2016	120.04	119.42	119.69	120.36	120.24	119.52	119.66(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-40	-66	-26	2.15	43%		10.3	0.95%	0	0.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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