Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chubb Limited)
CB latest price $102.3844 (0.45%) ($101.4623 - $102.4400) on Tue. Aug. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $102.3844(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CB advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(71%)    XLF(70%)    VYM(69%)    SPY(63%)    XLI(63%)
Factors Impacting CB price   CB will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-9%)    IYT(-7%)    GDXJ(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.62(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.88(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.08(1.29%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $46.212b

Chubb Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance, personal accident and supplemental health insurance (A&H), reinsurance, and life insurance. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance. The company was founded on January 14, 2016 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

$. CB price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.17%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.48%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.14%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.32%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2015	99.15	101.08	101.88	101.62	101.4	101.85	102.38(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	20	30	20	1.46	46%	-0.01	73.9	0.89%	0	0.8	67	INF
2	Aug_17_2015	99.16	100.79	101.86	101.52	101.4	101.51	101.93(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	10	31	33	1.39	46%	0	66.3	0.89%	0	0.6	67	INF
3	Aug_14_2015	99.16	100.54	101.92	101.54	101.13	100.95	101.63(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-20	2	43	1.33	48%	0	62.5	0.89%	0	0.5	69	INF
4	Aug_13_2015	99.16	100.3	101.85	101.58	101.37	100.75	100.99(-0.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-25	-50	-46	39	1.52	48%	-0.01	61.1	0.9%	0	0.3	69	INF
5	Aug_12_2015	99.17	100.1	101.84	101.8	101.67	101.31	101.13(-0.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-31	-30	-59	55	1.82	47%	-0.02	61.9	0.9%	0	0.5	70	INF

6	Aug_11_2015	99.19	99.86	101.76	102.17	102.06	102	101.92(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-13	96	1.8	47%	-0.02	66.7	0.91%	0	0.9	75	INF
7	Aug_10_2015	99.21	99.57	101.56	102.24	102.37	102.03	102.04(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-20	-9	124	1.59	47%	-0.02	66.3	0.91%	0	1	84	INF
8	Aug_7_2015	99.23	99.3	101.29	102.35	102.42	102.12	101.81(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-20	-27	139	1.47	48%	-0.02	69.7	0.92%	0	1.1	80	INF
9	Aug_6_2015	99.25	99.02	100.99	102.15	102.39	102.12	102.07(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	30	15	164	1.95	48%	-0.03	68.5	0.92%	0	1.3	83	INF
10	Aug_5_2015	99.28	98.71	100.65	101.87	102.11	102.71	102.99(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	101	50	70	193	2.39	48%	-0.01	67.4	0.91%	0	1.8	87	INF

11	Aug_4_2015	99.29	98.31	100.22	101.28	101.43	102.08	102.28(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	95	50	64	189	2.37	48%	-0.02	68.9	0.91%	0	1.8	88	INF
12	Aug_3_2015	99.31	98.02	99.63	100.77	100.77	101.51	102.63(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	99	50	72	178	2.66	48%	0	73.8	0.91%	0	2.3	91	INF
13	Jul_31_2015	99.31	97.66	99.02	100.08	100.25	100.79	100.8(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	94	40	72	159	4.03	45%	-0.02	74.9	0.89%	0	1.8	80	INF
14	Jul_30_2015	99.33	97.42	98.59	99.65	99.65	100.04	100.63(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	64	30	40	134	1.53	44%	-0.01	78.8	0.89%	0	2	81	INF
15	Jul_29_2015	99.34	97.13	98.19	99.25	99.27	99.71	100.08(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	30	41	126	1.92	44%	-0.01	72.5	0.9%	0	2	80	INF

16	Jul_28_2015	99.35	96.83	97.8	98.99	98.94	99.27	99.73(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	20	51	129	2.55	44%	-0.04	58.4	0.9%	0	2	82	INF
17	Jul_27_2015	99.39	96.55	97.42	98.3	98.62	98.82	99.16(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	20	45	96	3.01	44%	-0.03	36.4	0.91%	0	1.9	62	INF
18	Jul_24_2015	99.42	96.37	97.15	97.78	97.97	98.61	98.64(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	50	37	80	2.06	44%	-0.05	22.5	0.91%	0	1.8	65	INF
19	Jul_23_2015	99.47	96.17	96.9	97.36	97.42	98.43	98.65(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	86	70	86	85	3.2	44%	-0.05	-3.3	0.91%	0	2.1	62	INF
20	Jul_22_2015	99.52	96.06	96.61	96.97	96.9	97.33	98.78(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	74	30	74	72	4.58	42%	-0.05	-18.7	0.91%	0	2.6	68	INF

21	Jul_21_2015	99.57	95.99	96.23	96.45	96.53	96.42	96.27(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10	2	32	3.13	35%	-0.09	-36.1	0.85%	0	0.3	64	INF
22	Jul_20_2015	99.66	96.05	96.28	96.4	96.42	96.47	96.58(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	0	-7	42	2.12	35%	-0.08	-32.7	0.89%	0	0.5	66	INF
23	Jul_17_2015	99.74	96.09	96.2	96.41	96.34	96.64	96.51(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	13	51	1.7	32%	-0.08	-29.4	0.89%	0	0.4	53	INF
24	Jul_16_2015	99.82	96.2	96.16	96.35	96.43	96.38	96.71(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-0	24	62	2.76	32%	-0.08	-20.9	0.93%	0	0.4	60	INF
25	Jul_15_2015	99.9	96.25	95.99	96.19	96.36	96.04	96.18(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-8	-20	-20	28	3.8	32%		-19.4	0.92%	0	-0.1	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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