Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chubb Limited)
CB latest price $106.3672 (0.75%) ($105.5572 - $106.6144) on Tue. Dec. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $106.3672(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CB advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CB declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(71%)    XLF(71%)    VYM(69%)    SPY(63%)    XLI(63%)
Factors Impacting CB price   CB will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.98(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.13(2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.52(1.77%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $48.01b

Chubb Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance, personal accident and supplemental health insurance (A&H), reinsurance, and life insurance. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance. The company was founded on January 14, 2016 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

$. CB price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(80%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.19%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.86%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.56%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2014	98.14	104.52	104.13	104.98	105.14	105.72	106.37(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	40	87	17	1.19	57%	0.16	46.9	0.93%	0	1.4	53	0
2	Dec_22_2014	97.98	104.36	104.01	103.98	104.21	105.05	105.57(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	44	60	66	-21	1.19	57%	0.16	34.9	0.94%	0	0.9	53	0
3	Dec_19_2014	97.82	104.2	104.1	103.3	103.39	104.56	104.99(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	60	80	87	-23	2.49	57%	0.14	26.2	0.94%	0	0.6	52	0
4	Dec_18_2014	97.68	104.09	104.14	102.92	102.9	103.36	104.84(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	40	30	65	-37	1.63	58%	0.13	23.9	0.94%	0	0.5	53	0
5	Dec_17_2014	97.55	103.96	104.21	102.9	102.77	102.22	103.15(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-40	-38	-71	2.03	56%	0.1	27.5	0.93%	0	-0.6	49	0

6	Dec_16_2014	97.45	103.88	104.42	103.18	103.42	102.43	101.36(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-88	-60	-92	-74	1.6	54%	0.08	31.8	0.91%	0	-1.6	43	0
7	Dec_15_2014	97.37	103.9	104.79	104.03	104.17	103.32	102.15(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-91	-50	-107	-42	2.26	55%	0.09	46	0.9%	0	-1.1	48	0
8	Dec_12_2014	97.28	103.85	105.06	105.01	104.94	104.41	103.13(-1.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-45	-40	-67	21	1.48	57%	0.09	59.6	0.9%	0	-0.4	58	0
9	Dec_11_2014	97.19	103.75	105.19	105.51	105.6	105.03	104.74(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-40	-35	63	1.46	59%	0.1	64.2	0.88%	0	0.5	68	0
10	Dec_10_2014	97.09	103.57	105.11	105.7	105.79	105.46	104.54(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-16	-20	-47	77	1.58	59%	0.11	64.8	0.88%	0	0.5	69	0

11	Dec_9_2014	96.98	103.4	105.02	105.84	105.92	106.16	105.62(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	20	16	125	1.28	60%	0.12	69	0.86%	0	1.2	82	0
12	Dec_8_2014	96.86	103.19	104.78	105.65	105.66	106.11	107(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	78	30	54	150	1.5	62%	0.14	74.3	0.85%	0	2	97	0
13	Dec_5_2014	96.72	102.87	104.32	105.15	105.17	105.68	105.63(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	73	30	49	145	1.24	61%	0.13	78.4	0.84%	0	1.6	97	0
14	Dec_4_2014	96.59	102.62	104.01	104.84	104.79	105.21	105.68(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	79	30	55	149	1.34	61%	0.11	77.5	0.84%	0	1.9	97	0
15	Dec_3_2014	96.48	102.35	103.66	104.46	104.41	104.66	105.27(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	20	37	139	1.91	61%	0.11	82.6	0.84%	0	1.9	94	0

16	Dec_2_2014	96.37	102.08	103.26	104.07	104.11	104.37	104.64(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	20	31	126	1.4	61%	0.11	83	0.84%	0	1.8	88	0
17	Dec_1_2014	96.26	101.8	102.91	103.78	103.79	104.16	104.54(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	30	39	118	1.46	61%	0.1	80.1	0.84%	0	1.9	78	0
18	Nov_28_2014	96.16	101.54	102.53	103.36	103.48	103.85	104.06(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	30	44	105	0.58	61%	0.14	83.7	0.84%	0	1.8	80	0
19	Nov_26_2014	96.03	101.36	102.19	103.06	103.17	103.42	103.77(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	20	40	94	1.05	61%	0.1	97.7	0.83%	0	1.8	79	0
20	Nov_25_2014	95.93	101.11	101.89	102.74	102.78	103.12	103.34(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	20	38	84	1.69	61%	0.09	104.8	0.83%	0	1.8	79	0

21	Nov_24_2014	95.84	100.9	101.65	102.32	102.36	102.91	103.19(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	63	40	56	83	1.17	61%	0.07	105.6	0.83%	0	1.8	81	0
22	Nov_21_2014	95.77	100.66	101.46	101.91	101.89	102.43	102.44(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	40	64	87	1.61	62%	0.08	101.5	0.83%	0	1.3	83	0
23	Nov_20_2014	95.69	100.41	101.29	101.56	101.39	101.81	102.54(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	20	47	76	1.38	62%	0.09	87.1	0.84%	0	1.4	76	0
24	Nov_19_2014	95.6	100.09	101.1	101.19	101.08	101.35	102.22(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	20	35	58	1.95	62%	0.08	82.5	0.84%	0	1.3	58	0
25	Nov_18_2014	95.52	99.8	100.93	100.91	100.91	100.97	101.23(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	14	52	1.03	61%		85	0.83%	0	0.9	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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