Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chubb Limited)
CB latest price $100.8064 (2.21%) ($100.4606 - $100.8974) on Thu. Oct. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $100.8064(2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CB advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CB advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(71%)    SPY(63%)    XLI(63%)    VT(61%)    XLB(60%)
Factors Impacting CB price   CB will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.88(1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.56(3.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.47(4.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $45.5b

Chubb Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance, personal accident and supplemental health insurance (A&H), reinsurance, and life insurance. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance. The company was founded on January 14, 2016 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

$. CB price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.89%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.56%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.51%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2014	94.62	96.47	97.56	98.88	99.04	99.74	100.81(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	137	50	110	216	0.99	62%	0.08	53.2	0.85%	0	2.4	66	0
2	Oct_29_2014	94.54	96.17	96.84	97.9	98.02	98.88	98.62(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	87	70	65	153	1.24	58%	0.04	44.9	0.82%	0	1.6	62	0
3	Oct_28_2014	94.5	95.96	96.37	97.44	97.45	98.35	99.23(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	107	60	100	127	1.31	58%	0.05	33.3	0.82%	0	2.3	55	0
4	Oct_27_2014	94.45	95.75	95.91	97.01	97	97.15	98.44(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	69	10	62	91	1.61	58%	0.04	29.6	0.81%	0	2.2	58	0
5	Oct_24_2014	94.41	95.59	95.44	96.45	96.69	96.56	97.28(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-0	6	26	1.18	54%	0.03	15.5	0.82%	0	1.6	51	0

6	Oct_23_2014	94.38	95.53	95.24	96.04	96.35	96.84	95.92(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	50	29	7	2.04	54%	0.03	1.9	0.8%	0	0.4	45	0
7	Oct_22_2014	94.35	95.5	95.18	95.58	95.92	96.82	96.32(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	90	80	112	23	1.95	54%	0.04	-18.1	0.81%	0	0.8	54	0
8	Oct_21_2014	94.31	95.49	95.23	95.09	94.87	95.85	97.1(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	72	70	92	11	1.34	55%	0.04	-30.1	0.8%	0	1.6	59	0
9	Oct_20_2014	94.27	95.4	95.06	94.64	94.12	95.02	95.64(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	63	50	87	-11	1.34	53%	0.02	-47.5	0.78%	0	0.3	51	0
10	Oct_17_2014	94.25	95.43	95.14	94.3	93.98	93.89	95.2(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	22	-20	41	-37	1.54	52%	0.02	-51.5	0.78%	0	-0.2	50	0

11	Oct_16_2014	94.23	95.5	95.29	94.35	93.97	93.23	93.66(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-92	-70	-94	-86	1.82	49%	0.01	-39.8	0.77%	0	-1.8	40	0
12	Oct_15_2014	94.22	95.68	95.47	94.71	94.7	94.08	93.84(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-82	-50	-86	-68	2.13	49%	0.01	-25.5	0.78%	0	-2	45	0
13	Oct_14_2014	94.21	95.79	95.56	95.38	95.41	94.72	94.86(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-50	-62	-44	1.34	51%	0.01	-4.5	0.76%	0	-1.1	44	0
14	Oct_13_2014	94.2	95.84	95.63	95.54	95.88	95.31	93.93(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-72	-30	-81	-43	2.19	49%	0.02	2.4	0.76%	0	-2.4	46	0
15	Oct_10_2014	94.18	95.94	95.8	96.08	96.23	96.1	95.46(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-0	-43	-11	1.13	52%	0.03	21.1	0.73%	0	-0.7	46	0

16	Oct_9_2014	94.15	95.94	95.8	96.36	96.51	96.44	95.48(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	12	-0	9	20	1.68	52%	0.02	25	0.73%	0	-0.6	45	0
17	Oct_8_2014	94.13	95.92	95.88	96.31	96.46	96.36	97.15(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-0	18	8	1.53	54%	0.05	21.1	0.7%	0	1.7	49	0
18	Oct_7_2014	94.08	95.84	95.79	95.78	96.05	96.58	95.67(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	7	50	15	-16	1.2	51%	0.04	-4.2	0.68%	0	-0.3	50	0
19	Oct_6_2014	94.04	95.83	95.76	95.73	95.77	96.56	96.65(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	82	60	105	12	1.06	54%	0.04	-12.7	0.67%	0	1.2	54	0
20	Oct_3_2014	94	95.79	95.72	95.48	95.33	95.52	96.87(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	35	10	52	-15	1.7	55%	0.05	-25	0.67%	0	1.7	56	0

21	Oct_2_2014	93.95	95.74	95.69	95.37	95.15	94.98	95.22(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-20	-25	-37	1.21	52%	0.03	-31.3	0.64%	0	-0.9	53	0
22	Oct_1_2014	93.92	95.77	95.87	95.41	95.4	95.13	94.48(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-20	-35	-24	1.35	52%	0.02	-29.7	0.64%	0	-2.1	47	0
23	Sep_30_2014	93.9	95.86	96.03	95.79	95.54	95.33	95.44(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-25	-20	-33	-0	1.58	55%	0.03	-8.9	0.64%	0	-0.8	50	0
24	Sep_29_2014	93.87	95.91	96.08	95.78	95.71	95.66	95.41(-0.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-13	-10	-20	8	1.26	55%	0.03	0	0.64%	0	-0.9	51	0
25	Sep_26_2014	93.84	95.95	96.11	95.98	95.83	95.76	96.3(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-3	-10	-10	20	1.14	55%		23.2	0.63%	0	0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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