Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $221.8200 (-0.29%) ($219.7200 - $224.4000) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $221.8200(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(64%)    IFRA(58%)    IWD(57%)    DIA(56%)    IVE(56%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-27%)    TLT(-15%)    VXX(-9%)    SHY(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0.1 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $218.49(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $209.92(5.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $201.04(10.34%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   28%
Market Cap   $120.117b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 5.96% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.09%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -3.32%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.87%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.39%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2021	180.8	201.04	209.92	218.49	219.29	222.37	221.82(-0.29%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	185	110	154	278	4.3	82%	0.39	70	1.67%	0.1	1.7	91	0.2
2	Feb_24_2021	180.1	198.96	207.47	214.11	215.4	220.39	222.47(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	254	180	244	284	4.85	82%	0.41	56.8	1.68%	0.7	2	92	1.4
3	Feb_23_2021	179.36	197.12	204.86	210.07	209.99	216.2	220.18(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	267	210	267	265	4.09	82%	0.39	49.4	1.68%	1.3	2.2	88	1.3
4	Feb_22_2021	178.66	195.39	202.47	206.51	205.84	210.4	218.06(3.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	271	150	275	258	4.56	82%	0.4	42.2	1.68%	1.5	2.5	90	1.1
5	Feb_19_2021	177.95	193.96	199.86	202.5	202.78	203.78	209.91(5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	146	40	133	185	4.9	80%	0.37	33.5	1.62%	1.7	2.2	89	1.5

6	Feb_18_2021	177.3	192.99	197.99	200.19	200.54	201.29	199.92(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	30	5	134	2.34	76%	0.3	26.1	1.51%	-1	1.1	80	1.3
7	Feb_17_2021	176.77	192.57	197.18	199.75	199.66	201.77	202.3(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	116	70	91	189	2.29	76%	0.32	21.5	1.5%	0.7	1.6	88	1.4
8	Feb_16_2021	176.2	192.09	196.18	198.74	198.71	199.8	202.38(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	128	40	105	197	3.67	76%	0.5	18.6	1.5%	1.3	1.8	70	1.2
9	Feb_12_2021	175.32	191.63	194.45	197.76	197.55	197.54	197.99(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	-0	13	150	1.76	74%	0.31	15.5	1.48%	0.4	1.2	66	1.5
10	Feb_11_2021	174.77	191.53	193	196.76	197.14	197.62	198.35(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	20	35	132	2.17	74%	0.32	13	1.48%	0.1	1.3	57	1.3

11	Feb_10_2021	174.22	191.34	191.61	195.42	195.96	197.57	197.72(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	82	70	71	116	2.82	74%	0.3	7.6	1.5%	1	1.3	56	1
12	Feb_9_2021	173.7	191.26	189.94	194.17	194.35	196.66	197.28(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	111	90	115	98	2.33	79%	0.31	13.4	1.5%	0.9	1.2	55	1.1
13	Feb_8_2021	173.16	191.04	188.86	193.21	192.76	194.35	197.45(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	106	50	117	72	2.7	79%	0.27	18.8	1.66%	1.5	1.3	52	1.1
14	Feb_5_2021	172.7	190.83	187.76	190.66	191.04	192.04	193(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	40	74	15	2.24	81%	0.24	16.2	1.65%	1.3	0.5	45	1.1
15	Feb_4_2021	172.29	190.87	187.54	188.63	189.15	191.18	191.65(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	53	80	75	-13	2.25	65%	0.24	18.1	1.76%	-0	0.2	39	1.1

16	Feb_3_2021	171.87	190.96	187.5	187.17	187.17	190.05	191.45(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	80	110	110	-12	2.98	68%	0.26	25.6	2.01%	0.7	0.1	42	0.7
17	Feb_2_2021	171.43	190.6	187.49	185.03	185.45	187.12	192.5(4.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	65	70	101	-42	5.25	70%	0.23	17.4	2.03%	1.6	0.4	41	-0.1
18	Feb_1_2021	171.03	190.12	187.53	183.97	183.73	184.29	184.72(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	20	-1	-93	2.69	67%	0.19	13.5	2.03%	0.1	-1	36	-1.3
19	Jan_29_2021	170.71	190.06	188.49	184.49	184.45	183.79	182.84(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-30	-14	-95	4.41	69%	0.2	19.6	2.03%	-0.2	-1.3	32	-2.7
20	Jan_28_2021	170.37	190.02	189.93	186.31	185.79	183.17	184.34(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-88	-110	-83	-104	3.31	63%	0.19	31.9	2.04%	0	-1	33	-2.2

21	Jan_27_2021	170.05	189.74	191.1	187.88	187.63	185.11	180.74(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-119	-100	-124	-104	4.08	59%	0.2	35.3	2.11%	-1.9	-1.6	26	-3
22	Jan_26_2021	169.71	189.73	192.85	190.2	190.03	188.41	187.21(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-60	-65	-44	2.47	59%	0.11	42.2	2.11%	-1.1	-0.4	61	0.3
23	Jan_25_2021	169.53	189.41	193.57	191.57	191.19	190.15	187.34(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-40	-61	-16	3.75	59%	0.24	45.7	2.15%	-1.9	-0.3	64	0.8
24	Jan_22_2021	169.12	189.03	194.34	193.03	192.54	191.65	191.94(-0.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-16	-40	-30	25	2.03	62%	0.28	50.6	2.13%	0.3	0.4	74	1.5
25	Jan_21_2021	168.65	188.31	194.6	194.12	193.3	192.24	192.19(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-24	-50	-48	47	1.94	62%		49.7	2.13%	-0	0.5	77	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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