Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 14, 2020

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $178.0500 (-0.69%) ($177.7800 - $183.3300) on Mon. Dec. 14, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $178.0500(-0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(64%)    IFRA(59%)    IWD(58%)    DIA(57%)    IVE(57%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-27%)    TLT(-16%)    VXX(-10%)    SHY(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV -0.3 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $179.02(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $177.88(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $175.94(1.2%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $96.415b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(70%) Average negative next day return: -0.47%(30%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.28%(35%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 2.38%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.67%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2020	155.91	175.94	177.88	179.02	179	179.01	178.05(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	0	18	39	2.48	57%	0.26	71	2.19%	-0.3	0.7	58	-0.6
2	Dec_11_2020	155.5	175.63	177.48	179.15	178.68	178.38	179.29(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	-20	-20	28	2.65	59%	0.28	86.8	2.19%	1.5	1.2	65	0.3
3	Dec_10_2020	155.07	175.13	177.05	179.74	178.92	178.38	178.85(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10	2	45	3.01	59%	0.27	97.8	2.21%	-0.5	1.2	63	0.9
4	Dec_9_2020	154.65	174.67	176.63	178.89	179.1	178.99	180.07(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-0	27	51	2.83	61%	0.29	108.5	2.22%	1	1.6	66	1
5	Dec_8_2020	154.2	174.26	176.27	177.65	177.83	178.85	178.84(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	40	15	43	1.99	61%	0.29	113.6	2.24%	-0.3	1.5	66	1.6

6	Dec_7_2020	153.76	173.85	175.84	176.54	176.52	179.2	178.71(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	71	110	74	60	4.27	61%	0.28	120.7	2.24%	0.2	1.7	61	1.1
7	Dec_4_2020	153.33	173.01	175.19	175.51	175.4	176.8	182.21(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	85	50	93	61	5.93	61%	0.29	92.2	2.24%	1.9	2.4	72	1.2
8	Dec_3_2020	152.89	172.05	174.2	175.51	173.96	173.84	174.63(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10	-6	15	2.89	58%	0.24	94.4	2.19%	0.9	0.7	67	0.9
9	Dec_2_2020	152.53	171.15	174.02	174.09	174.11	174	173.87(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-0	-10	18	1.95	59%	0.25	73	2.2%	0.3	0.5	65	1
10	Dec_1_2020	152.15	170.85	173.84	174.69	174.49	174.08	173.26(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-12	23	2.71	61%	0.28	86.3	2.21%	0.3	0.5	53	1

11	Nov_30_2020	151.72	170.37	173.85	175	175.02	174.22	173.59(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-30	-16	28	2.35	61%	0.3	85.6	2.22%	0.3	0.6	58	1.1
12	Nov_27_2020	151.26	169.59	173.68	174.72	175.2	174.89	175.08(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-0	-10	44	0.95	61%	0.48	67	2.21%	-3.1	0.9	76	1.1
13	Nov_25_2020	150.54	168.61	173.12	174.29	174.56	175.83	174.63(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	60	18	61	2.51	61%	0.32	43.5	2.2%	-0.5	0.8	71	1.3
14	Nov_24_2020	150.06	167.49	172.61	173.91	173.91	175.5	176.9(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	60	68	101	3.3	62%	0.31	32	2.19%	1	1.3	81	1.1
15	Nov_23_2020	149.59	166.53	172.1	172.91	173	173.3	174.78(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	10	33	86	2.4	62%	0.17	22.8	2.2%	1.7	1.2	57	1.1

16	Nov_20_2020	149.33	165.92	171.69	172.59	172.32	172.32	172.23(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-0	-13	78	2.38	62%	0.3	19.5	2.2%	-0.8	0.9	60	1.2
17	Nov_19_2020	148.88	165.68	170.69	172.49	172.69	172.7	172.9(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	0	18	98	2.01	62%	0.32	19.5	2.2%	-0.1	1.1	66	1.3
18	Nov_18_2020	148.41	165.45	169.75	171.74	172.31	172.32	172.74(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	10	8	103	3.14	62%	0.32	20.3	2.2%	0.7	1.1	67	1.3
19	Nov_17_2020	147.94	165.13	168.1	171.08	171.35	172.68	171.91(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	60	12	108	2.11	62%	0.32	20.7	2.2%	-0.5	1	69	1.6
20	Nov_16_2020	147.47	164.92	167.63	171.16	171.08	172.31	173.19(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	81	50	59	146	3.9	62%	0.35	26.6	2.2%	0.7	1.3	62	1.6

21	Nov_13_2020	146.96	164.58	166.61	170.68	170.76	170.02	171.71(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-30	8	124	2.11	62%	0.33	29.4	2.2%	1.7	1.2	56	1.5
22	Nov_12_2020	146.48	164.37	165.17	168.6	171.27	169.85	169.13(-0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10	-10	81	2.19	62%	0.32	28.1	2.21%	-1.1	0.8	50	1.1
23	Nov_11_2020	146.01	164.13	163.78	167.39	169.69	171.51	169.46(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	120	22	61	2.34	62%	0.3	29.4	2.21%	-1.2	0.9	49	1.8
24	Nov_10_2020	145.57	163.81	162	164.55	167.3	172.68	172.3(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	140	280	164	67	3.49	65%	0.32	23.3	2.19%	0.7	1.5	53	1.7
25	Nov_9_2020	145.1	163.26	160.47	163.62	163.7	167.88	170.82(5.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	131	180	161	41	5.97	65%		29.2	2.28%	1.3	1.4	50	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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