Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $109.6727 (-0.89%) ($109.2476 - $110.6582) on Wed. Jul. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $109.6727(-0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(74%)    IVE(69%)    IWD(69%)    XLI(69%)    SDY(68%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-12%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.3(3.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.29(4.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.13(5.32%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $59.388b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.54%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.7%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2017	96.85	104.13	105.29	106.3	106.7	109.88	109.67(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	160	220	167	139	5.74	62%	0.2	75.6	1.25%	0	2.5	76	0
2	Jul_25_2017	96.66	103.62	104.73	105.21	105.19	107.03	110.66(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	182	120	199	132	14.26	71%	0.21	61.9	1.24%	0	3.5	74	0
3	Jul_24_2017	96.46	103.07	103.98	103.76	103.73	103.52	104.51(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-20	9	22	5.98	68%	0.16	52.3	1.4%	0	1.1	61	0
4	Jul_21_2017	96.31	102.84	103.87	103.74	103.62	103.35	102.98(-0.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-22	-20	-32	7	4.26	66%	0.14	37.8	1.42%	0	0.1	51	0
5	Jul_20_2017	96.18	102.69	103.86	104.01	103.97	103.94	103.68(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-0	-1	30	3.76	68%	0.1	32.7	1.42%	0	0.6	65	0

6	Jul_19_2017	96.08	102.48	103.72	104.08	104.04	103.9	104.19(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10	-6	31	2.86	68%	0.14	28.5	1.44%	0	1	61	0
7	Jul_18_2017	95.95	102.39	103.61	104.15	104.11	104	103.44(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-12	42	3.98	68%	0.11	34.1	1.45%	0	0.6	69	0
8	Jul_17_2017	95.84	102.36	103.54	104.22	104.33	104.18	104.4(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	4	62	2.97	68%	0.14	39.8	1.44%	0	1.2	72	0
9	Jul_14_2017	95.71	102.29	103.4	104.03	104.17	104.23	104.33(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	3	70	4.48	68%	0.15	42.2	1.44%	0	1.2	72	0
10	Jul_13_2017	95.57	102.16	103.11	103.67	103.85	104.47	104.04(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	50	27	79	3.05	64%	0.12	42.2	1.45%	0	1.2	72	0

11	Jul_12_2017	95.46	101.98	102.91	103.3	103.39	104.12	104.51(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	55	50	44	89	3.61	60%	0.12	39.5	1.48%	0	1.6	76	0
12	Jul_11_2017	95.35	101.81	102.44	103.02	102.86	103.23	103.82(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	20	25	64	2.56	60%	0.09	42.1	1.51%	0	1.4	53	0
13	Jul_10_2017	95.26	101.7	102.07	102.77	102.71	102.66	103.44(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10	8	42	2.95	62%	0.11	42.1	1.51%	0	1.3	49	0
14	Jul_7_2017	95.16	101.59	101.71	102.7	102.62	102.5	102.56(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-5	24	2.77	62%	0.09	43.3	1.52%	0	0.8	46	0
15	Jul_6_2017	95.07	101.5	101.43	102.45	102.64	102.75	102.16(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	10	6	15	2.92	64%	0.08	36.5	1.52%	0	0.5	50	0

16	Jul_5_2017	94.99	101.36	101.15	102.44	102.4	102.73	103.1(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	20	23	17	3.48	64%	0.13	28.4	1.52%	0	1.3	60	0
17	Jul_3_2017	94.87	101.22	101.06	101.76	102.02	102.54	102.6(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	40	34	12	2.4	66%	0.12	11.8	1.53%	0	1.1	54	0
18	Jun_30_2017	94.76	101.13	101.07	101.24	101.39	102.07	103.07(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30	50	38	7	4.7	66%	0.15	-0.8	1.52%	0	1.6	54	0
19	Jun_29_2017	94.62	101.13	101.04	100.6	100.83	101.5	101.33(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	32	50	43	-0	3.55	64%	0.14	-12.9	1.51%	0	0.2	49	0
20	Jun_28_2017	94.49	101.04	101.1	100.25	100.19	100.72	102.11(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	25	40	35	-7	4.12	65%	0.15	-14.7	1.5%	0	0.9	56	0

21	Jun_27_2017	94.35	100.98	100.93	99.68	99.76	100.15	99.69(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	30	5	-28	3.38	63%	0.12	-21.9	1.49%	0	-1.1	54	0
22	Jun_26_2017	94.24	101.06	101.12	100.28	99.92	99.66	100(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-30	-13	-18	2.86	63%	0.13	3.5	1.49%	0	-0.9	51	0
23	Jun_23_2017	94.12	101.14	101.3	100.9	100.65	99.37	99.86(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-100	-57	-19	12.09	63%	0.12	31.8	1.49%	0	-1.2	47	0
24	Jun_22_2017	94.01	101.19	101.49	101.57	101.67	100.18	99.6(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-64	-100	-81	-14	3.65	63%	0.1	70.1	1.49%	0	-1.5	43	0
25	Jun_21_2017	93.92	101.21	101.63	102.06	102.45	101.94	99.25(-3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-31	-20	-44	10	6.27	58%		100	1.49%	0	-1.8	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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