Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $71.1288 (-1.95%) ($70.5823 - $73.0462) on Mon. Apr. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $71.1288(-1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(69%)    IVE(68%)    IWD(68%)    SDY(67%)    XLB(67%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-12%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.69(-2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.38(-1.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.9(0.32%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   33.9%
Market Cap   $38.517b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.93%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.2%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.53%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.34%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2016	63.02	70.9	72.38	72.69	72.71	72.25	71.13(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-40	-26	78	8.08	64%	0.13	53.7	1.92%	0	0.1	64	INF
2	Apr_22_2016	62.94	70.8	72.17	73	73.13	72.81	72.55(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-30	-8	87	10.1	67%	0.16	57.9	2.02%	0	0.9	68	INF
3	Apr_21_2016	62.84	70.63	71.77	73.02	73.08	73.17	72.86(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	10	-5	81	6.51	67%	0.14	57.9	2.03%	0	1.2	62	INF
4	Apr_20_2016	62.75	70.37	71.31	72.95	73.01	73.46	73.15(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	50	16	82	5.36	67%	0.14	54.9	2.03%	0	1.5	64	INF
5	Apr_19_2016	62.66	70.16	70.89	72.83	72.82	72.98	73.74(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	10	29	82	6.28	67%	0.13	64.7	2.02%	0	2	68	INF

6	Apr_18_2016	62.58	69.94	70.4	72.05	72.3	72.56	72.7(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	40	20	58	4.82	67%	0.14	68.2	2.03%	0	1.8	67	INF
7	Apr_15_2016	62.49	69.75	70.06	71.2	71.54	72.66	72.63(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	120	42	48	5.51	64%	0.16	66.7	2.05%	0	2.1	70	INF
8	Apr_14_2016	62.39	69.59	69.8	70.32	70.54	72.05	72.52(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	60	160	66	43	5.37	65%	0.13	71.8	2.09%	0	2.4	69	INF
9	Apr_13_2016	62.31	69.36	69.53	69.42	69.51	70.42	72.59(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	48	100	55	28	9.37	65%	0.14	69.9	2.1%	0	3	75	INF
10	Apr_12_2016	62.22	69.05	69.25	68.7	68.67	69.03	69.81(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	40	15	-2	5.13	63%	0.08	60.1	2.06%	0	0.8	52	INF

11	Apr_11_2016	62.17	68.9	69.23	68.54	68.53	68.6	68.46(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	10	3	-10	3.9	61%	0.08	42.9	2.05%	0	-0.4	43	INF
12	Apr_8_2016	62.12	68.83	69.31	68.74	68.61	68.31	68.2(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-40	-15	-13	4.91	61%	0.08	44.3	2.09%	0	-0.5	45	INF
13	Apr_7_2016	62.07	68.72	69.41	69.19	68.96	68.47	68.04(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-60	-22	-8	4.8	58%	0.06	46.5	2.1%	0	-0.5	42	INF
14	Apr_6_2016	62.03	68.63	69.4	69.63	69.36	68.92	69(-0.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-16	-60	-21	1	4.93	58%	0.11	58.3	2.14%	0	0.3	57	INF
15	Apr_5_2016	61.96	68.48	69.43	69.86	69.71	69.46	69.02(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-30	-14	19	4.39	58%	0.08	66.4	2.15%	0	0.3	65	INF

16	Apr_4_2016	61.91	68.45	69.5	70.01	70.04	69.8	69.46(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-20	-0	39	4.35	58%	0.11	88.8	2.15%	0	0.6	65	INF
17	Apr_1_2016	61.84	68.32	69.48	69.93	69.84	69.97	70.44(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	10	-1	48	4.88	58%	0.15	103.8	2.14%	0	1.3	70	INF
18	Mar_31_2016	61.75	68.09	69.38	69.66	69.64	70.28	70.21(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	60	28	69	4.35	58%	0.08	114	2.16%	0	1.3	74	INF
19	Mar_30_2016	61.7	67.77	69.18	69.13	69.07	69.71	70.19(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	60	26	66	4.89	58%	0.08	103.4	2.17%	0	1.4	70	INF
20	Mar_29_2016	61.65	67.44	68.82	68.96	68.53	68.99	69.73(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	30	12	60	4.09	58%	0.08	102.5	2.17%	0	1.2	70	INF

21	Mar_28_2016	61.6	67.07	68.53	68.93	68.6	68.43	69.09(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-30	6	52	3.43	58%	-0.06	92.5	2.17%	0	0.9	51	INF
22	Mar_24_2016	61.64	66.7	68.31	68.96	68.74	68.07	69.07(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-7	-80	-23	42	7.04	58%	0.03	79	2.18%	0	0.9	58	INF
23	Mar_23_2016	61.62	66.31	67.96	69.07	69.13	68.78	67.59(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-30	-18	47	5.35	58%	-0.02	76.2	2.16%	0	0.5	58	INF
24	Mar_22_2016	61.63	65.98	67.82	69.19	69.28	69.4	69.3(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	20	13	72	3.63	62%	0.03	71	2.15%	0	1.1	71	INF
25	Mar_21_2016	61.61	65.54	67.47	68.62	68.77	69.48	69.62(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	80	27	73	4.32	62%		67.5	2.23%	0	1.3	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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