Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $90.8841 (0%) ($89.9394 - $91.7248) on Tue. Sep. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $90.8841(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(69%)    XLB(67%)    IWM(63%)    XLF(63%)    SPY(62%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $93.08
5 Day Moving Average   $91.22(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.43(-1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.08(-2.36%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $49.214b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2014	91.97	93.08	92.43	91.22	90.84	90.57	90.88(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-50	-30	-25	-126	5.29	53%	0.01	-18.8	0.85%	0	-1.8	26	INF
2	Sep_15_2014	91.96	93.18	92.78	91.66	91.08	90.66	90.88(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-79	-50	-65	-120	7.05	53%	0.01	-0.9	0.85%	0	-2.1	27	INF
3	Sep_12_2014	91.95	93.24	93.16	92.19	91.8	91.11	91.02(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-69	-70	-62	-88	6.91	48%	0	23.1	0.85%	0	-2.2	36	INF
4	Sep_11_2014	91.95	93.29	93.49	92.8	92.48	91.5	91.52(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-89	-80	-94	-72	5.46	48%	0.03	58.8	0.88%	0	-1.9	35	INF
5	Sep_10_2014	91.92	93.29	93.76	93.36	93.21	92.48	91.81(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-77	-60	-88	-42	8.16	48%	0.02	87.7	0.88%	0	-1.5	40	INF

6	Sep_9_2014	91.9	93.3	93.97	93.8	93.84	93.47	93.09(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-30	-43	-2	3.58	51%	0.05	115.7	0.87%	0	-0.2	54	INF
7	Sep_8_2014	91.85	93.19	94.04	94.06	94.12	93.93	93.53(-0.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-18	-10	-30	20	3.5	51%	0.02	116.7	0.87%	0	0.3	61	INF
8	Sep_5_2014	91.83	93.01	94	94.27	94.35	94.22	94.07(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10	-6	47	4.31	59%	0.07	110.6	0.88%	0	0.8	76	INF
9	Sep_4_2014	91.77	92.74	93.96	94.29	94.38	94.3	94.32(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-0	-7	59	4.6	59%	0.07	96.2	0.93%	0	0.9	79	INF
10	Sep_3_2014	91.71	92.44	93.86	94.24	94.3	94.49	94(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	20	7	78	4.67	59%	0.07	80.4	0.93%	0	0.8	80	INF

11	Sep_2_2014	91.65	92.15	93.77	94.17	94.19	94.45	94.4(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	20	29	95	4.04	61%	0.12	67.5	0.93%	0	1.1	78	INF
12	Aug_29_2014	91.54	91.85	93.6	94	93.99	94.11	94.53(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	10	22	100	4.44	58%	0.08	55.3	0.95%	0	1.1	83	INF
13	Aug_28_2014	91.47	91.48	93.32	93.7	93.81	93.93	94.17(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	10	13	99	3.23	58%	0.08	43.9	0.96%	0	1.1	86	INF
14	Aug_27_2014	91.4	91.14	93.06	93.58	93.59	93.87	94.08(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	20	16	118	3.28	58%	0.07	36.9	0.96%	0	1.3	88	INF
15	Aug_26_2014	91.34	90.91	92.78	93.43	93.51	93.68	93.66(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	20	26	139	2.87	58%	0.08	28.4	0.96%	0	1.2	88	INF

16	Aug_25_2014	91.27	90.75	92.57	93.3	93.39	93.31	93.58(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-0	8	151	3.02	58%	0.08	18.4	0.97%	0	1.3	88	INF
17	Aug_22_2014	91.2	90.57	92.27	93.13	93.23	93.33	93.01(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	10	3	161	4.61	58%	0.05	5	0.97%	0	1.2	83	INF
18	Aug_21_2014	91.15	90.44	91.94	92.86	93.11	93.46	93.58(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	77	30	41	185	4.12	60%	0.07	-9.3	0.97%	0	1.6	91	INF
19	Aug_20_2014	91.09	90.44	91.43	92.46	92.63	93.13	93.35(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	77	40	42	180	5.34	53%	0.09	-24.8	0.98%	0	1.6	88	INF
20	Aug_19_2014	91.01	90.29	90.9	92.02	92.18	92.76	93(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	74	50	50	147	3.64	53%	0.09	-32.8	1.08%	0	1.3	64	INF

21	Aug_18_2014	90.93	90.36	90.4	91.73	91.65	92.13	92.72(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	30	40	119	3.48	53%	0.09	-32.3	1.09%	0	1	56	INF
22	Aug_15_2014	90.85	90.46	89.95	91.3	91.38	91.6	91.65(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	20	36	94	4.1	51%	0.08	-33.8	1.08%	0	0.5	55	INF
23	Aug_14_2014	90.78	90.62	89.5	90.88	91.09	91.6	91.58(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	10	30	56	4.18	51%	0.09	-35	1.1%	0	0.4	51	INF
24	Aug_13_2014	90.7	90.79	89.07	90.23	90.46	91.17	91.14(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	60	34	16	4.66	52%	0.08	-37	1.1%	0	0.1	48	INF
25	Aug_12_2014	90.63	91	88.88	89.6	89.95	91.01	91.58(1.11%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	73	90	98	-4	4.18	53%		-40.4	1.1%	0	0.2	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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