Trading Signals: C Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: C Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Citigroup Inc.)
C latest price $50.9055 (-0.15%) ($50.8582 - $51.1704) on Tue. Nov. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $50.9055(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   C advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   C advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support C advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(84%)    IWM(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(70%)    XLI(70%)
Factors Impacting C price   C will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-31%)    IGOV(-12%)    GLD(-12%)    UUP(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.98(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.67(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.5(2.84%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $105.978b

Citigroup, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Banking; Institutional Clients Group; and Corporate and Other. The Global Consumer Banking segment provides traditional banking services to retail customers through retail banking, including commercial banking, and Citi-branded cards and Citi retail services. The Institutional Clients Group segment provides corporate, institutional, public sector and high-net-worth clients around the world with a full range of wholesale banking products and services. This segment includes fixed income and equity sales and trading, foreign exchange, prime brokerage, derivative services, equity and fixed income research, corporate lending, investment banking and advisory services, private banking, cash management, trade finance and securities services. The Corporate and Other segment includes certain unallocated costs of global staff functions, other corporate expenses and unallocated global operations and technology expenses, Corporate Treasury, certain North America and international legacy consumer loan portfolios, other legacy assets and discontinued operations. The company was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. C price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.29%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.31%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.72%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2014	47.88	49.5	50.67	50.98	50.95	50.9	50.91(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10	7	107	9.53	60%	0.13	52.3	1.23%	0	1	83	0
2	Nov_10_2014	47.82	49.38	50.55	50.87	50.91	50.85	50.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10	0	111	11.24	60%	0.13	50	1.23%	0	1.1	74	0
3	Nov_7_2014	47.76	49.19	50.34	50.79	50.77	50.99	50.85(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	30	5	120	13.48	60%	0.13	41.8	1.23%	0	1.2	77	0
4	Nov_6_2014	47.7	49.02	50.16	50.74	50.68	50.97	51.08(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	40	26	145	13.62	60%	0.13	36.3	1.23%	0	1.5	82	0
5	Nov_5_2014	47.64	48.87	49.92	50.59	50.55	50.54	51.1(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	-0	20	151	18.55	60%	0.13	34.6	1.23%	0	1.8	83	0

6	Nov_4_2014	47.58	48.79	49.61	50.32	50.34	50.38	50.32(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	10	1	141	13.62	58%	0.11	37	1.23%	0	1.3	81	0
7	Nov_3_2014	47.53	48.69	49.43	50.18	50.19	50.55	50.58(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	50	30	148	12.12	58%	0.13	33	1.22%	0	1.7	61	0
8	Oct_31_2014	47.47	48.61	49.15	49.82	49.87	50.3	50.64(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	60	41	138	27.64	53%	0.11	26.6	1.24%	0	1.9	69	0
9	Oct_30_2014	47.42	48.54	48.82	49.49	49.4	49.84	50.28(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	60	33	117	21.03	54%	0.08	19.4	1.27%	0	1.8	66	0
10	Oct_29_2014	47.38	48.44	48.5	49.16	49.1	49.44	49.8(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	40	37	90	16.33	54%	0.06	7.2	1.28%	0	1.6	57	0

11	Oct_28_2014	47.35	48.36	48.22	48.79	48.84	48.96	49.6(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	20	20	40	16.54	54%	0.06	-15.7	1.28%	0	1.5	48	0
12	Oct_27_2014	47.32	48.32	48.1	48.57	48.62	48.75	48.8(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	9	26	12.13	52%	0.04	-29.5	1.27%	0	0.6	51	0
13	Oct_24_2014	47.3	48.33	47.94	48.37	48.54	48.73	48.99(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	40	27	3	13.29	52%	0.06	-40.2	1.27%	0	0.8	47	0
14	Oct_23_2014	47.27	48.36	47.77	48.05	48.23	48.49	48.63(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	50	22	-36	15.17	53%	0.08	-55.1	1.26%	0	0.3	45	0
15	Oct_22_2014	47.23	48.38	47.73	47.73	47.95	48.36	47.95(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	70	32	-51	16.67	52%	0.04	-66.8	1.26%	0	-0.5	48	0

16	Oct_21_2014	47.21	48.49	47.88	47.54	47.55	47.96	48.49(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	60	22	-56	17.8	52%	0.06	-66.2	1.25%	0	0	51	0
17	Oct_20_2014	47.18	48.56	47.87	47.58	47.25	47.55	47.79(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	20	16	-63	13.8	50%	0.06	-60.7	1.24%	0	-0.7	45	0
18	Oct_17_2014	47.15	48.67	48.02	47.58	47.46	47.13	47.36(0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-50	7	-72	21.98	48%	0.06	-58.4	1.24%	0	-1.2	41	0
19	Oct_16_2014	47.12	48.83	48.23	47.46	47.45	46.96	47.06(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-70	-50	-97	28.3	50%	0.04	-53.7	1.25%	0	-1.6	38	0
20	Oct_15_2014	47.1	49.02	48.39	47.73	47.74	47.8	46.99(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	10	-34	-83	55.4	52%	0.04	-45.8	1.26%	0	-2	41	0

21	Oct_14_2014	47.08	49.15	48.54	48.27	48.18	47.94	48.68(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-40	8	-58	41.37	59%	0.04	-33.3	1.2%	0	-0.5	41	0
22	Oct_13_2014	47.06	49.2	48.56	48.23	48.35	47.67	47.2(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-66	-90	-56	-97	26.03	56%	0.04	-29.9	1.19%	0	-2.2	36	0
23	Oct_10_2014	47.04	49.32	48.78	48.68	48.69	48.42	47.4(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-58	-40	-51	-79	27.77	55%	0.06	-17.9	1.19%	0	-2.4	36	0
24	Oct_9_2014	47.01	49.44	49.01	49.1	49.12	49.02	48.37(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10	0	-46	22.43	58%	0.11	-3.7	1.17%	0	-1.6	37	0
25	Oct_8_2014	46.96	49.5	49.1	49.12	49.18	48.96	49.69(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-30	4	-61	23.36	60%		-4.7	1.12%	0	0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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