Trading Signals: C Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: C Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Citigroup Inc.)
C latest price $50.1675 (-0.82%) ($50.0918 - $50.8296) on Mon. Sep. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $50.1675(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   C advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   C advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support C advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(84%)    IWM(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(70%)    XLI(70%)
Factors Impacting C price   C will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-32%)    IGOV(-13%)    GLD(-12%)    UUP(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.12(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.69(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.43(1.49%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $104.442b

Citigroup, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Banking; Institutional Clients Group; and Corporate and Other. The Global Consumer Banking segment provides traditional banking services to retail customers through retail banking, including commercial banking, and Citi-branded cards and Citi retail services. The Institutional Clients Group segment provides corporate, institutional, public sector and high-net-worth clients around the world with a full range of wholesale banking products and services. This segment includes fixed income and equity sales and trading, foreign exchange, prime brokerage, derivative services, equity and fixed income research, corporate lending, investment banking and advisory services, private banking, cash management, trade finance and securities services. The Corporate and Other segment includes certain unallocated costs of global staff functions, other corporate expenses and unallocated global operations and technology expenses, Corporate Treasury, certain North America and international legacy consumer loan portfolios, other legacy assets and discontinued operations. The company was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. C price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.12%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.11%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.47%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.67%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2014	46.36	49.43	49.69	50.12	50.29	50.61	50.17(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	50	16	56	16.66	67%	0.11	114.8	1%	0	1.3	61	0
2	Sep_19_2014	46.31	49.33	49.59	49.98	50.03	50.55	50.58(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	52	80	48	65	22.15	67%	0.13	118.9	0.99%	0	2.1	69	0
3	Sep_18_2014	46.25	49.21	49.47	49.77	49.69	49.98	50.75(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	44	40	40	57	27.31	67%	0.11	133.3	1%	0	2.8	73	0
4	Sep_17_2014	46.2	49.03	49.34	49.5	49.51	49.51	49.55(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	0	14	37	20.38	64%	0.09	119.4	0.96%	0	0.9	56	0
5	Sep_16_2014	46.16	48.91	49.32	49.39	49.37	49.41	49.52(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	0	9	29	13.22	64%	0.11	102.6	0.96%	0	0.8	52	0

6	Sep_15_2014	46.11	48.79	49.28	49.19	49.21	49.5	49.48(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	40	17	22	12.81	64%	0.11	90.1	0.96%	0	0.8	57	0
7	Sep_12_2014	46.06	48.63	49.22	49.14	49.02	49.32	49.54(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	40	22	28	18.34	61%	0.09	75.5	0.97%	0	0.9	64	0
8	Sep_11_2014	46.02	48.48	49.13	49.12	48.98	48.93	49.4(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-20	6	24	14.08	61%	0.07	75.3	0.99%	0	0.9	62	0
9	Sep_10_2014	45.99	48.32	49.09	49.17	49.05	48.72	49.02(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-50	-25	37	13.01	61%	0.09	74.6	0.99%	0	0.6	69	0
10	Sep_9_2014	45.95	48.17	49.12	49.24	49.26	49.03	48.48(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-30	-29	68	14.59	61%	0.07	72.9	0.99%	0	0.2	67	0

11	Sep_8_2014	45.92	48.04	49.16	49.37	49.45	49.38	49.23(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10	-0	116	13.56	64%	0.09	71.4	0.98%	0	0.9	77	0
12	Sep_5_2014	45.88	47.87	49.07	49.3	49.35	49.5	49.47(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	20	10	141	17.49	66%	0.09	69.9	0.98%	0	1.1	83	0
13	Sep_4_2014	45.84	47.68	48.95	49.13	49.21	49.52	49.63(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	50	27	159	15.7	66%	0.09	62.7	0.99%	0	1.4	78	0
14	Sep_3_2014	45.8	47.47	48.71	49.01	48.98	49.21	49.4(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	30	18	161	15.12	66%	0.09	55.9	1%	0	1.4	79	0
15	Sep_2_2014	45.76	47.26	48.48	48.99	48.91	48.9	49.15(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-10	10	176	11.45	66%	0.15	52	1%	0	1.3	80	0

16	Aug_29_2014	45.69	47.09	48.25	48.93	48.93	48.74	48.85(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	-30	-3	185	8.98	66%	0.11	48.5	0.99%	0	1.3	79	0
17	Aug_28_2014	45.64	46.92	47.99	48.79	48.91	48.92	48.61(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	42	10	-5	182	10.26	66%	0.09	41.6	0.99%	0	1.3	77	0
18	Aug_27_2014	45.6	46.79	47.78	48.73	48.82	49.12	49.05(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	82	50	38	212	13.4	66%	0.11	38.6	0.99%	0	1.8	85	0
19	Aug_26_2014	45.55	46.69	47.49	48.34	48.47	48.91	49.31(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	91	70	54	202	18.39	66%	0.13	32.4	0.99%	0	2.3	86	0
20	Aug_25_2014	45.49	46.55	47.13	47.88	47.96	48.53	48.83(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	85	90	54	178	17.51	66%	0.09	24.2	0.99%	0	2.3	86	0

21	Aug_22_2014	45.45	46.44	46.82	47.48	47.54	48.04	48.17(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	88	80	64	158	20	64%	0.07	16.4	0.98%	0	2	75	0
22	Aug_21_2014	45.42	46.38	46.58	47.07	47.11	47.4	48.3(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	66	50	46	127	24.16	64%	0.07	5.3	0.98%	0	2.4	78	0
23	Aug_20_2014	45.39	46.38	46.28	46.7	46.74	47.03	47.1(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	50	25	87	9.04	61%	0.04	-2.6	0.93%	0	1.1	57	0
24	Aug_19_2014	45.37	46.32	46.12	46.5	46.57	46.83	47.01(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	40	39	56	13.08	61%	0.04	-8.6	0.93%	0	1	44	0
25	Aug_18_2014	45.35	46.31	45.94	46.26	46.32	46.46	46.83(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	30	25	14	13.2	61%		-16.8	0.94%	0	0.8	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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