Trading Signals: C Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: C Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Citigroup Inc.)
C latest price $49.1460 (0.6%) ($48.6541 - $49.1649) on Tue. Sep. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $49.1460(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   C advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   C advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support C advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(84%)    IWM(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(70%)    XLI(70%)
Factors Impacting C price   C will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-32%)    IGOV(-13%)    GLD(-12%)    UUP(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.99(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.48(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.26(3.99%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $102.315b

Citigroup, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Banking; Institutional Clients Group; and Corporate and Other. The Global Consumer Banking segment provides traditional banking services to retail customers through retail banking, including commercial banking, and Citi-branded cards and Citi retail services. The Institutional Clients Group segment provides corporate, institutional, public sector and high-net-worth clients around the world with a full range of wholesale banking products and services. This segment includes fixed income and equity sales and trading, foreign exchange, prime brokerage, derivative services, equity and fixed income research, corporate lending, investment banking and advisory services, private banking, cash management, trade finance and securities services. The Corporate and Other segment includes certain unallocated costs of global staff functions, other corporate expenses and unallocated global operations and technology expenses, Corporate Treasury, certain North America and international legacy consumer loan portfolios, other legacy assets and discontinued operations. The company was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. C price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.6%(21%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(79%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.18%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2014	45.76	47.26	48.48	48.99	48.91	48.9	49.15(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-10	10	176	11.45	66%	0.15	52	1%	0	1.3	80	INF
2	Aug_29_2014	45.69	47.09	48.25	48.93	48.93	48.74	48.85(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	-30	-3	185	8.98	66%	0.11	48.5	0.99%	0	1.3	79	INF
3	Aug_28_2014	45.64	46.92	47.99	48.79	48.91	48.92	48.61(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	42	10	-5	182	10.26	66%	0.09	41.6	0.99%	0	1.3	77	INF
4	Aug_27_2014	45.6	46.79	47.78	48.73	48.82	49.12	49.05(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	82	50	38	212	13.4	66%	0.11	38.6	0.99%	0	1.8	85	INF
5	Aug_26_2014	45.55	46.69	47.49	48.34	48.47	48.91	49.31(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	91	70	54	202	18.39	66%	0.13	32.4	0.99%	0	2.3	86	INF

6	Aug_25_2014	45.49	46.55	47.13	47.88	47.96	48.53	48.83(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	85	90	54	178	17.51	66%	0.09	24.2	0.99%	0	2.3	86	INF
7	Aug_22_2014	45.45	46.44	46.82	47.48	47.54	48.04	48.17(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	88	80	64	158	20	64%	0.07	16.4	0.98%	0	2	75	INF
8	Aug_21_2014	45.42	46.38	46.58	47.07	47.11	47.4	48.3(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	66	50	46	127	24.16	64%	0.07	5.3	0.98%	0	2.4	78	INF
9	Aug_20_2014	45.39	46.38	46.28	46.7	46.74	47.03	47.1(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	50	25	87	9.04	61%	0.04	-2.6	0.93%	0	1.1	57	INF
10	Aug_19_2014	45.37	46.32	46.12	46.5	46.57	46.83	47.01(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	40	39	56	13.08	61%	0.04	-8.6	0.93%	0	1	44	INF

11	Aug_18_2014	45.35	46.31	45.94	46.26	46.32	46.46	46.83(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	30	25	14	13.2	61%	0.04	-16.8	0.94%	0	0.8	49	INF
12	Aug_15_2014	45.33	46.3	45.83	46.05	46.1	46.31	46.08(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	40	13	-23	16.22	58%	0.02	-19.5	0.92%	0	-0.3	40	INF
13	Aug_14_2014	45.32	46.3	45.77	46	45.98	46.18	46.47(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	30	31	-44	9.69	58%	-0.02	-6.7	0.93%	0	0.2	40	INF
14	Aug_13_2014	45.33	46.34	45.73	45.8	45.8	45.89	46.11(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	10	15	-81	8.6	58%	-0.02	-0.7	0.92%	0	-0.3	35	INF
15	Aug_12_2014	45.34	46.38	45.83	45.68	45.7	45.77	45.82(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	10	11	-96	9.25	58%	-0.04	9.2	0.92%	0	-0.8	31	INF

16	Aug_11_2014	45.36	46.43	45.91	45.58	45.63	45.7	45.77(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	10	8	-108	9.13	58%	-0.02	17	0.93%	0	-0.9	39	INF
17	Aug_8_2014	45.37	46.44	46.03	45.57	45.54	45.62	45.83(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	10	6	-108	12	58%	-0.04	16.7	0.93%	0	-0.8	43	INF
18	Aug_7_2014	45.39	46.38	46.17	45.5	45.57	45.55	45.46(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	0	-3	-113	12.38	58%	-0.02	7.7	0.93%	0	-1	37	INF
19	Aug_6_2014	45.4	46.34	46.35	45.66	45.6	45.45	45.53(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-30	-34	-105	13.04	54%	0	6.8	0.93%	0	-0.9	43	INF
20	Aug_5_2014	45.4	46.32	46.55	46.01	45.91	45.59	45.3(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-60	-35	-74	15.92	54%	0	16.4	0.96%	0	-1	35	INF

21	Aug_4_2014	45.4	46.31	46.72	46.3	46.33	45.75	45.72(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-90	-45	-54	14.28	54%	0.02	26.4	0.96%	0	-0.6	44	INF
22	Aug_1_2014	45.39	46.3	46.83	46.55	46.63	46.22	45.5(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-56	-60	-63	-33	21.83	54%	0	37	0.96%	0	-0.8	51	INF
23	Jul_31_2014	45.39	46.31	46.98	46.92	46.96	46.92	46.26(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-0	-22	42	23.55	58%	0.02	52.3	0.94%	0	-0.1	67	INF
24	Jul_30_2014	45.38	46.27	47.02	47.14	47.13	47.05	47.28(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10	-1	100	15.33	64%	0.04	59.1	0.9%	0	1	77	INF
25	Jul_29_2014	45.36	46.16	47	47.17	47.2	47.01	46.73(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-30	-16	130	13.17	65%		58.8	0.89%	0	0.6	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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