Trading Signals: BWX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: BWX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays International Treasury Bond ETF)
BWX latest price $28.8800 (0.38%) ($28.8300 - $28.9800) on Thu. Sep. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $28.8800(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BWX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BWX declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BWX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BNDX(52%)    GLD(48%)    GDX(46%)    LQD(46%)    PCY(46%)
Factors Impacting BWX price   BWX will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-39%)    UUP(-25%)    VIXM(-2%)    XHB(-1%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.62(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.6(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.69(0.66%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BWX price fluctuates within 0.63% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.57%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2016	28.45		28.6	28.62	28.67	28.8	28.88(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	20	40	34	-21	0.15	53%	0.04	-71.4	0.51%	0	1.1	55	0
2	Sep_21_2016	28.44	28.69	28.59	28.55	28.55	28.63	28.77(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	20	17	-32	0.19	53%	0	-74.3	0.51%	0	0.4	55	0
3	Sep_20_2016	28.44	28.71	28.61	28.51	28.52	28.53	28.55(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	0	8	-34	0.2	51%	0.04	-72.7	0.5%	0	-0.7	48	0
4	Sep_19_2016	28.43	28.74	28.64	28.49	28.52	28.48	28.47(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-8	-39	0.16	51%	0	-65.5	0.5%	0	-1.1	42	0
5	Sep_16_2016	28.43	28.77	28.65	28.53	28.51	28.5	28.41(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-0	-13	-42	0.28	51%	0	-57.8	0.5%	0	-1.5	40	0

6	Sep_15_2016	28.43	28.82	28.68	28.57	28.56	28.54	28.55(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10	-8	-46	0.28	51%	0.04	-43.7	0.5%	0	-1.1	37	0
7	Sep_14_2016	28.42	28.84	28.68	28.63	28.59	28.52	28.57(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-20	-25	-59	0.45	51%	0.04	-34.5	0.5%	0	-1.1	37	0
8	Sep_13_2016	28.41	28.87	28.69	28.72	28.7	28.58	28.46(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-30	-30	-61	4.76	51%	0.04	-19.5	0.5%	0	-1.6	31	0
9	Sep_12_2016	28.4	28.9	28.73	28.82	28.83	28.66	28.68(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-40	-15	-48	0.26	54%	0.04	-3.8	0.49%	0	-1	36	0
10	Sep_9_2016	28.39	28.91	28.74	28.79	28.87	28.82	28.6(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-0	-17	-69	0.25	54%	0	-2.6	0.49%	0	-1.4	33	0

11	Sep_8_2016	28.39	28.92	28.79	28.8	28.85	28.99	28.86(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	40	21	-65	0.18	57%	0.04	0	0.48%	0	-0.3	33	0
12	Sep_7_2016	28.38	28.93	28.8	28.74	28.76	28.93	29(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	10	40	39	-76	0.25	59%	0.04	-2.7	0.48%	0	0.3	46	0
13	Sep_6_2016	28.37	28.92	28.81	28.67	28.66	28.71	28.95(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-12	10	18	-100	0.72	59%	0.04	-13.7	0.48%	0	0.1	44	0
14	Sep_2_2016	28.36	28.92	28.83	28.64	28.63	28.6	28.54(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10	-10	-111	0.38	60%	0.04	-19.7	0.49%	0	-1.7	39	0
15	Sep_1_2016	28.35	28.91	28.89	28.69	28.67	28.61	28.64(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-20	-22	-97	0.75	60%	0.04	-19.2	0.49%	0	-1.3	42	0

16	Aug_31_2016	28.34	28.92	28.96	28.77	28.75	28.67	28.57(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-20	-26	-64	1.18	60%	0	-1.4	0.49%	0	-1.7	42	0
17	Aug_30_2016	28.34	28.94	29.01	28.87	28.86	28.72	28.65(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-30	-33	-39	0.29	60%	0.04	21.2	0.49%	0	-1.5	40	0
18	Aug_29_2016	28.33	28.94	29.06	28.98	28.95	28.84	28.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-25	-30	-32	-2	0.47	63%	0	54.8	0.49%	0	-0.8	54	0
19	Aug_26_2016	28.33	28.95	29.08	29.04	29.06	29	28.8(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-6	-10	-19	32	1.52	63%	0.04	82.3	0.49%	0	-0.8	59	0
20	Aug_25_2016	28.32	28.96	29.1	29.11	29.11	29.06	29.04(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-18	60	0.62	68%	0.04	94.5	0.48%	0	0.4	66	0

21	Aug_24_2016	28.31	28.93	29.1	29.17	29.14	29.13	29.07(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10	-7	83	3.51	68%	0.07	98.8	0.48%	0	0.6	61	0
22	Aug_23_2016	28.29	28.9	29.08	29.18	29.18	29.16	29.17(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-0	8	102	0.18	68%	0.04	91.4	0.48%	0	1	66	0
23	Aug_22_2016	28.28	28.85	29.04	29.16	29.18	29.14	29.14(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-0	1	94	0.19	68%	0.04	81.7	0.48%	0	1	58	0
24	Aug_19_2016	28.27	28.8	28.99	29.12	29.14	29.19	29.14(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	10	13	85	1.23	68%	0.04	71.2	0.48%	0	1.1	62	0
25	Aug_18_2016	28.26	28.76	28.94	29.08	29.09	29.15	29.33(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	20	24	73	0.3	66%		62.6	0.47%	0	1.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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