Trading Signals: BRK.B Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: BRK.B Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B)
BRK.B latest price $77.8100 (-1.21%) ($77.3800 - $78.4000) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $77.8100(-1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BRK.B advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BRK.B advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BRK.B advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(80%)    IWM(70%)    EWG(65%)    XAR(65%)    XLK(65%)
Factors Impacting BRK.B price   BRK.B will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.01(2.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.19(3.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.83(2.61%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $186.819b

Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. is engaged in the provision of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, freight rail transportation, finance, manufacturing, retailing, and services. It operates through following segments: GEICO, General Re, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, LLC, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, McLane Company, Manufacturing, Service and Retailing, and Finance and Financial products. The GEICO segments involves in underwriting private passenger automobile insurance mainly by direct response methods. The General Re offers underwriting excess-of-loss, quota-share, and facultative reinsurance. The Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group segment consists of underwriting excess-of-loss and quota-share reinsurance for insurers and reinsurers. The Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group segment comprises of underwriting multiple lines of property and casualty insurance policies. The BNSF segment operates railroad systems in North America. The Berkshire Hathaway Energy segments deals with regulated electric and gas utility, including power generation and distribution activities, and domestic real estate brokerage and brokerage franchisor. The McLane Company segment offers wholesale distribution of groceries and non-food items. The Manufacturing segment includes industrial and end-user products, building products, and apparel. The Service and Retailing segment involves providing fractional aircraft ownership programs, aviation pilot training, electronic components distribution, and retailing. The Finance and Financial Products segment includes manufactured housing and consumer financing; transportation equipment, manufacturing and leasing; and furniture leasing. The company was founded by Oliver Chace in 1839 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. BRK.B price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.84%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.68%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.62%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2011	73.29	75.83	75.19	76.01	76.5	77.8	77.81(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	48	140	54	28	4.77	71%	0.03	-28.6	2.35%	0	1.2	55	NAN
2	Nov_30_2011	73.27	75.79	74.84	75	75.25	76.56	78.76(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	41	130	53	6	10.93	71%	0.04	-46.9	2.34%	0	1.7	60	NAN
3	Nov_29_2011	73.24	75.61	74.5	74.12	74.16	75.2	75.13(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	18	100	33	-27	4.01	70%	0	-67.3	2.27%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
4	Nov_28_2011	73.24	75.74	74.55	73.96	73.91	73.94	75.48(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	0	20	-39	6.46	70%	-0.03	-66.5	2.32%	0	-0.2	44	NAN
5	Nov_25_2011	73.26	75.95	74.67	73.94	73.76	73.12	72.89(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-70	-27	-61	2.77	65%	-0.11	-53.5	2.28%	0	-1.6	33	NAN

6	Nov_23_2011	73.34	76.32	74.99	74.22	74.3	73.88	72.75(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-40	-20	-61	6.46	66%	-0.05	-37.5	2.3%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
7	Nov_22_2011	73.38	76.6	75.28	74.6	74.64	74.4	74.36(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-20	-13	-58	4.37	66%	0.01	-25.9	2.3%	0	-1.3	39	NAN
8	Nov_21_2011	73.37	76.69	75.64	74.92	74.81	74.72	74.32(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10	-12	-45	5.98	66%	-0.05	-20.5	2.3%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
9	Nov_18_2011	73.41	76.84	75.92	75.23	75.18	74.88	75.37(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-8	-41	5.78	62%	-0.03	-4.3	2.31%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
10	Nov_17_2011	73.43	76.95	76.1	75.55	75.45	74.91	74.3(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-50	-23	-49	6.27	62%	-0.04	9.3	2.35%	0	-1.7	35	NAN

11	Nov_16_2011	73.46	77.05	76.55	75.88	76	75.49	74.67(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-40	-15	-45	6.36	62%	-0.03	20.4	2.36%	0	-1.5	34	NAN
12	Nov_15_2011	73.48	77.06	76.85	76.03	76.22	76	75.93(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10	-17	-46	4.2	62%	0.01	22.3	2.35%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
13	Nov_14_2011	73.47	77.03	76.83	76.48	76.3	76.51	75.86(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	10	-6	-34	4.37	62%	0	30.7	2.36%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
14	Nov_11_2011	73.47	76.91	77.04	76.72	76.67	76.44	76.97(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-20	6	-24	4.85	66%	0.01	31.2	2.35%	0	0	50	NAN
15	Nov_10_2011	73.46	76.81	77.31	76.78	76.72	76.1	75.99(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-60	-27	-29	4.4	59%	0	38.2	2.46%	0	-0.4	48	NAN

16	Nov_9_2011	73.46	76.73	77.74	77.34	77.11	76.9	75.4(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-30	-19	-3	8.54	64%	-0.01	47.2	2.62%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
17	Nov_8_2011	73.47	76.71	78.03	77.76	77.62	77.35	78.16(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-30	7	23	5.38	61%	0.03	54.7	2.83%	0	0.7	61	NAN
18	Nov_7_2011	73.45	76.48	77.81	77.23	77.46	77.32	77.1(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-0	-9	10	4.35	61%	0.03	48	2.94%	0	0.3	57	NAN
19	Nov_4_2011	73.43	76.34	77.84	77.39	77.19	77.9	77.24(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	60	-2	26	5.58	58%	0.03	54.2	2.94%	0	0.4	62	NAN
20	Nov_3_2011	73.41	76.08	77.87	77.93	77.41	77.6	78.82(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-0	12	47	6.36	58%	0.07	62	2.98%	0	1.2	59	NAN

21	Nov_2_2011	73.36	75.82	77.59	78.27	77.78	76.48	77.49(2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-140	-21	45	5.98	57%	0.03	69.8	2.97%	0	0.7	59	NAN
22	Nov_1_2011	73.34	75.61	77.59	78.37	78.52	77.22	75.52(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-16	-110	-35	41	9.44	58%	0.03	76.6	2.97%	0	-0	54	NAN
23	Oct_31_2011	73.32	75.5	77.28	78.42	78.85	79.09	77.86(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	40	-5	59	6.54	60%	0.05	72	2.94%	0	0.9	62	NAN
24	Oct_28_2011	73.28	75.13	76.82	78.29	78.27	79.82	79.98(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	140	31	71	6.53	60%	0.07	65.9	2.93%	0	1.9	65	NAN
25	Oct_27_2011	73.23	74.67	76.28	77.79	77.66	78.61	80.49(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	80	48	79	12.27	59%		76.5	2.93%	0	2.4	71	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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