Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $47.0000 (6.33%) ($44.4400 - $48.0000) on Thu. Jan. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.9% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $47.0000(6.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(5%)    BND(2%)    SHY(2%)    SIL(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-7%)    XOP(-6%)    TBT(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    EWJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.45% (StdDev 4.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.32(3.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.05(6.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.91(7.04%)
To recent high   -52.4%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $213m

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 4.33% (three month std-dev: 4.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.32%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.85%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 3.84%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -4.04%(78%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 3.42%(28%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.81%(72%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2018	63.13	43.91	44.05	45.32	45.18	45.21	47(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-0	13	42	0	23%	-0.14	36.5	4.9%	0	1.6	57	INF
2	Jan_10_2018	63.22	43.78	43.51	45.08	44.96	44.3	44.2(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-110	-6	28	0	43%	-0.19	43.5	5.02%	0	0.2	54	INF
3	Jan_9_2018	63.34	43.77	43.12	44.77	45	45.14	44.06(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	40	2	9	0	46%	-0.19	38.6	7%	0	0.2	46	INF
4	Jan_8_2018	63.46	43.75	43.09	44.35	44.48	45.62	45.32(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	190	14	9	0	46%	-0.2	11.7	7.06%	0	0.9	53	INF
5	Jan_5_2018	63.59	43.53	43	43.39	43.86	44.86	46(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	15	190	20	-1	0	46%	-0.11	-39.3	7.07%	0	1.4	51	INF

6	Jan_4_2018	63.66	43.23	42.76	42.59	42.88	43.35	45.84(7.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	5	100	12	-15	0	46%	-0.17	-80.8	7.07%	0	1.5	51	INF
7	Jan_3_2018	63.77	43.02	42.43	41.78	42.14	42.87	42.62(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	150	7	-30	0	45%	-0.23	-122.3	7.01%	0	-0.2	45	INF
8	Jan_2_2018	63.92	43.08	42.74	41.26	42.21	42.41	41.98(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	100	7	-32	0	45%	-0.2	-152.3	7.05%	0	-0.6	46	INF
9	Dec_29_2017	64.05	43.54	42.94	41.66	41.59	41.41	40.5(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-40	-14	-36	0	45%	-0.31	-112.3	7.04%	0	-1.1	44	INF
10	Dec_28_2017	64.25	44.24	43.44	42.54	42.46	42	42(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-80	-5	-16	0	45%	-0.43	-78.6	7.04%	0	-0.6	57	INF

11	Dec_27_2017	64.53	44.74	43.78	42.94	43.4	41.77	41.8(4.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-230	-11	-5	0	47%	-0.45	-76.7	7.04%	0	-0.7	58	INF
12	Dec_26_2017	64.82	45.41	44.1	43.18	43.68	42.92	40(-9.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-90	-26	-2	0	47%	-0.64	-69.2	7.07%	0	-1.2	49	INF
13	Dec_22_2017	65.24	46.15	44.55	43.18	44.54	45.03	44(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	90	3	23	0	48%	-0.47	-60.9	6.99%	0	-0.4	51	INF
14	Dec_21_2017	65.55	46.74	44.54	44.38	44.82	44.45	44.88(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-30	2	8	0	48%	-0.43	-61.6	7.01%	0	-0.4	37	INF
15	Dec_20_2017	65.83	47.23	44.16	44.51	44.77	44.05	44.02(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-100	-13	-21	0	53%	-0.45	-61.8	7%	0	-0.6	31	INF

16	Dec_19_2017	66.13	47.98	43.8	44.79	45.41	45.19	43.02(-6.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	10	-5	-36	0.01	50%	-0.45	-55.3	7.18%	0	-0.8	35	INF
17	Dec_18_2017	66.43	48.8	43.69	45.14	45.59	45.49	46(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	10	3	-52	0.01	47%	-0.42	-50.8	7.22%	0	-0.4	34	INF
18	Dec_15_2017	66.71	49.55	43.46	44.75	45.22	45.62	44(-3.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	90	2	-74	0	50%	-0.45	-48.8	7.24%	0	-0.8	32	INF
19	Dec_14_2017	67.01	50.24	44.16	44.69	44.77	45.68	45.52(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	150	16	-75	0.01	54%	-0.43	-49.8	7.31%	0	-0.7	32	INF
20	Dec_13_2017	67.3	50.95	45.01	43.73	43.76	44.82	45.4(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	170	17	-80	0	54%	-0.41	-53.5	7.57%	0	-0.8	35	INF

21	Dec_12_2017	67.58	51.63	45.65	42.65	42.7	43.85	44.8(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	190	15	-98	0	54%	-0.47	-59.5	7.58%	0	-0.9	29	INF
22	Dec_11_2017	67.9	52.34	46.68	42.65	41.78	42.71	44.02(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	140	6	-111	0	54%	-0.47	-66.3	7.59%	0	-1.1	27	INF
23	Dec_8_2017	68.22	53.24	47.76	42.02	42.07	41.55	43.7(7.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-80	-11	-125	0.01	54%	-0.52	-68.4	7.59%	0	-1.3	25	INF
24	Dec_7_2017	68.58	54.05	49.02	43.68	43.55	40.84	40.72(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-440	-41	-127	0	58%	-0.58	-76.4	7.54%	0	-1.9	27	INF
25	Dec_6_2017	68.98	55.16	50.53	46.58	46.73	42.59	40(-3.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-66	-610	-50	-113	0	58%		-82.8	7.79%	0	-2.4	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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