Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 9, 2018

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $44.0600 (-2.78%) ($42.2000 - $46.3400) on Tue. Jan. 9, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $44.0600(-2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(5%)    BND(2%)    SHY(2%)    SIL(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -3.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-7%)    XOP(-6%)    TBT(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    EWJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.5% (StdDev 7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.77(-1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.12(2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.77(0.66%)
To recent high   -61%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $200m

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 4.14% (three month std-dev: 7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.7%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.85%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.65%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.31%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2018	63.34	43.77	43.12	44.77	45	45.14	44.06(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	40	2	9	0	46%	-0.19	38.6	7%	0	0.2	46	0
2	Jan_8_2018	63.46	43.75	43.09	44.35	44.48	45.62	45.32(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	190	14	9	0	46%	-0.2	11.7	7.06%	0	0.9	53	0
3	Jan_5_2018	63.59	43.53	43	43.39	43.86	44.86	46(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	15	190	20	-1	0	46%	-0.11	-39.3	7.07%	0	1.4	51	0
4	Jan_4_2018	63.66	43.23	42.76	42.59	42.88	43.35	45.84(7.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	5	100	12	-15	0	46%	-0.17	-80.8	7.07%	0	1.5	51	0
5	Jan_3_2018	63.77	43.02	42.43	41.78	42.14	42.87	42.62(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	150	7	-30	0	45%	-0.23	-122.3	7.01%	0	-0.2	45	0

6	Jan_2_2018	63.92	43.08	42.74	41.26	42.21	42.41	41.98(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	100	7	-32	0	45%	-0.2	-152.3	7.05%	0	-0.6	46	0
7	Dec_29_2017	64.05	43.54	42.94	41.66	41.59	41.41	40.5(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-40	-14	-36	0	45%	-0.31	-112.3	7.04%	0	-1.1	44	0
8	Dec_28_2017	64.25	44.24	43.44	42.54	42.46	42	42(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-80	-5	-16	0	45%	-0.43	-78.6	7.04%	0	-0.6	57	0
9	Dec_27_2017	64.53	44.74	43.78	42.94	43.4	41.77	41.8(4.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-230	-11	-5	0	47%	-0.45	-76.7	7.04%	0	-0.7	58	0
10	Dec_26_2017	64.82	45.41	44.1	43.18	43.68	42.92	40(-9.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-90	-26	-2	0	47%	-0.64	-69.2	7.07%	0	-1.2	49	0

11	Dec_22_2017	65.24	46.15	44.55	43.18	44.54	45.03	44(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	90	3	23	0	48%	-0.47	-60.9	6.99%	0	-0.4	51	0
12	Dec_21_2017	65.55	46.74	44.54	44.38	44.82	44.45	44.88(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-30	2	8	0	48%	-0.43	-61.6	7.01%	0	-0.4	37	0
13	Dec_20_2017	65.83	47.23	44.16	44.51	44.77	44.05	44.02(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-100	-13	-21	0	53%	-0.45	-61.8	7%	0	-0.6	31	0
14	Dec_19_2017	66.13	47.98	43.8	44.79	45.41	45.19	43.02(-6.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	10	-5	-36	0.01	50%	-0.45	-55.3	7.18%	0	-0.8	35	0
15	Dec_18_2017	66.43	48.8	43.69	45.14	45.59	45.49	46(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	10	3	-52	0.01	47%	-0.42	-50.8	7.22%	0	-0.4	34	0

16	Dec_15_2017	66.71	49.55	43.46	44.75	45.22	45.62	44(-3.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	90	2	-74	0	50%	-0.45	-48.8	7.24%	0	-0.8	32	0
17	Dec_14_2017	67.01	50.24	44.16	44.69	44.77	45.68	45.52(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	150	16	-75	0.01	54%	-0.43	-49.8	7.31%	0	-0.7	32	0
18	Dec_13_2017	67.3	50.95	45.01	43.73	43.76	44.82	45.4(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	170	17	-80	0	54%	-0.41	-53.5	7.57%	0	-0.8	35	0
19	Dec_12_2017	67.58	51.63	45.65	42.65	42.7	43.85	44.8(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	190	15	-98	0	54%	-0.47	-59.5	7.58%	0	-0.9	29	0
20	Dec_11_2017	67.9	52.34	46.68	42.65	41.78	42.71	44.02(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	140	6	-111	0	54%	-0.47	-66.3	7.59%	0	-1.1	27	0

21	Dec_8_2017	68.22	53.24	47.76	42.02	42.07	41.55	43.7(7.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-80	-11	-125	0.01	54%	-0.52	-68.4	7.59%	0	-1.3	25	0
22	Dec_7_2017	68.58	54.05	49.02	43.68	43.55	40.84	40.72(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-440	-41	-127	0	58%	-0.58	-76.4	7.54%	0	-1.9	27	0
23	Dec_6_2017	68.98	55.16	50.53	46.58	46.73	42.59	40(-3.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-66	-610	-50	-113	0	58%	-0.55	-82.8	7.79%	0	-2.4	24	0
24	Dec_5_2017	69.36	56.4	52.57	49.1	50.3	46.26	41.66(-5.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-64	-490	-53	-95	0.01	58%	-0.53	-95.8	7.78%	0	-2.6	27	0
25	Dec_4_2017	69.73	57.66	54.47	51.96	52.77	50.87	44(-15.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-47	-210	-40	-69	0.01	58%		-110.4	7.75%	0	-2.9	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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