Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $95.0000 (3.26%) ($92.0000 - $112.0000) on Mon. Oct. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.98% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $95.0000(3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 16.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(5%)    VIXM(5%)    BND(2%)    SHY(2%)    IGOV(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -3.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-7%)    XOP(-6%)    TBT(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    EWJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.49% (StdDev 6.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.24(-3.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.3(7.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.56(16.48%)
To recent high   -15.9%
To recent low   78.6%
Market Cap   $431m

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 13.22% (three month std-dev: 6.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.82%(29%) Average negative next day return: -3.87%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.04%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -4.81%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.41%(14%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.7%(86%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2017	72.89	81.56	88.3	98.24	98.3	95.37	95(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	44	-210	9	148	0.01	66%	0.23	68.1	6.98%	0	1.2	70	0
2	Oct_13_2017	72.72	80.55	86.25	95.64	98.74	94.88	92(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-180	-23	124	0	66%	0.15	71.3	6.97%	0	1.1	65	0
3	Oct_12_2017	72.61	79.97	84.31	92.64	95.59	101.23	92.4(-6.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	510	24	118	0	66%	0.14	75.5	6.98%	0	1.2	61	0
4	Oct_11_2017	72.51	79.1	82.51	89.2	90.35	102.61	98.78(-12.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	141	990	140	144	0.01	66%	0.19	72.3	6.93%	0	2	66	0
5	Oct_10_2017	72.37	77.41	80.09	84.36	82.9	89.95	113(37.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	134	540	140	114	0.03	72%	0.39	68.1	6.73%	0	3.8	72	0

6	Oct_9_2017	72.09	74.82	75.57	77.36	77.3	78.09	82.02(6.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	70	36	35	0.01	63%	-0.18	88.1	4.94%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Oct_6_2017	72.22	73.82	74.7	75.75	76.5	75.85	77(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-30	2	4	0	64%	-0.28	78.9	4.98%	0	0.6	52	0
8	Oct_5_2017	72.42	73.07	74.83	74.75	75.94	76.52	75.2(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	100	-3	-11	0	64%	-0.37	75.7	5%	0	0.4	45	0
9	Oct_4_2017	72.69	72.5	74.9	74.62	75.51	77.16	74.56(-4.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	14	190	20	-3	0	64%	-0.47	69.4	5%	0	0.3	51	0
10	Oct_3_2017	73.03	71.58	75.18	74.91	74.88	75.36	78(5.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	28	19	0	64%	-0.38	64.9	5.01%	0	0.8	62	0

11	Oct_2_2017	73.31	70.5	74.31	74.91	73.97	73.85	74(2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	10	-5	1	0	62%	-0.48	60.5	4.97%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Sep_29_2017	73.66	69.66	74.5	73.52	73.85	74.41	72(-3.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	70	-8	21	0	62%	-0.5	57.5	4.99%	0	0.3	63	0
13	Sep_28_2017	74.03	68.87	75.46	74.92	74.41	74.08	74.56(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-50	3	72	0	62%	-0.59	60	4.98%	0	0.7	65	0
14	Sep_27_2017	74.47	67.97	75.61	75.22	75	73.29	76(6.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-170	-18	90	0	62%	-0.56	60.1	4.98%	0	0.9	64	0
15	Sep_26_2017	74.89	66.91	74.7	75.54	75.34	74.73	71.04(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-60	-20	118	0	60%	-0.68	59.8	4.9%	0	0.4	68	0

16	Sep_25_2017	75.4	66.13	74.15	75.14	75.64	76.7	74(-6.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	120	12	147	0	60%	-0.65	57	4.88%	0	0.8	69	0
17	Sep_22_2017	75.89	65.23	73.01	75.54	74.63	75.95	79(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	90	8	161	0	57%	-0.6	58.2	5.04%	0	1.4	72	0
18	Sep_21_2017	76.35	63.99	71.27	76.14	75.03	74.57	76.08(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	-90	2	186	0	59%	-0.59	64.4	5.05%	0	1.3	72	0
19	Sep_20_2017	76.8	62.94	69.98	76.12	76.86	73.31	77.6(12.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	47	-290	-5	204	0	61%	-0.56	67.5	5.12%	0	1.7	72	0
20	Sep_19_2017	77.23	61.8	67.72	73.8	76.23	75.49	69(-9.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	30	-34	181	0	60%	-0.85	63.5	4.97%	0	0.9	69	0

21	Sep_18_2017	77.89	61.12	66.47	72.8	74.6	80.42	76(-7.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	114	620	77	225	0	64%	-0.65	58.2	4.9%	0	1.8	76	0
22	Sep_15_2017	78.4	60.13	64.47	69.88	70.49	76.97	82(7.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	163	670	142	224	0.01	69%	-0.67	51.4	4.86%	0	3	81	0
23	Sep_14_2017	78.93	58.59	61.64	65.72	65.35	68.78	76(15.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	102	350	83	157	0	66%	-0.83	40.7	4.81%	0	3.2	80	0
24	Sep_13_2017	79.59	57.5	59.51	63.12	62.78	64.01	66(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	120	52	124	0	54%	-0.91	23.6	4.42%	0	2.4	70	0
25	Sep_12_2017	80.32	57	58.31	60.83	61.06	61.91	64(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	110	28	79	0	59%		-13.5	4.58%	0	2.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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