Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $71.0400 (-4%) ($70.0000 - $77.1800) on Tue. Sep. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.9% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $71.0400(-4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 10.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(5%)    VIXM(5%)    BND(2%)    SHY(2%)    SIL(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-7%)    XOP(-6%)    TBT(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    EWJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.45% (StdDev 4.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.54(-5.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.7(-4.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.91(6.17%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   33.5%
Market Cap   $323m

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 13.81% (three month std-dev: 4.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -25.07%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -44.74%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2017	74.89	66.91	74.7	75.54	75.34	74.73	71.04(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-60	-20	118	0	60%	-0.68	59.8	4.9%	0	0.4	68	0
2	Sep_25_2017	75.4	66.13	74.15	75.14	75.64	76.7	74(-6.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	120	12	147	0	60%	-0.65	57	4.88%	0	0.8	69	0
3	Sep_22_2017	75.89	65.23	73.01	75.54	74.63	75.95	79(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	90	8	161	0	57%	-0.6	58.2	5.04%	0	1.4	72	0
4	Sep_21_2017	76.35	63.99	71.27	76.14	75.03	74.57	76.08(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	-90	2	186	0	59%	-0.59	64.4	5.05%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Sep_20_2017	76.8	62.94	69.98	76.12	76.86	73.31	77.6(12.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	47	-290	-5	204	0	61%	-0.56	67.5	5.12%	0	1.7	72	0

6	Sep_19_2017	77.23	61.8	67.72	73.8	76.23	75.49	69(-9.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	30	-34	181	0	60%	-0.85	63.5	4.97%	0	0.9	69	0
7	Sep_18_2017	77.89	61.12	66.47	72.8	74.6	80.42	76(-7.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	114	620	77	225	0	64%	-0.65	58.2	4.9%	0	1.8	76	0
8	Sep_15_2017	78.4	60.13	64.47	69.88	70.49	76.97	82(7.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	163	670	142	224	0.01	69%	-0.67	51.4	4.86%	0	3	81	0
9	Sep_14_2017	78.93	58.59	61.64	65.72	65.35	68.78	76(15.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	102	350	83	157	0	66%	-0.83	40.7	4.81%	0	3.2	80	0
10	Sep_13_2017	79.59	57.5	59.51	63.12	62.78	64.01	66(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	120	52	124	0	54%	-0.91	23.6	4.42%	0	2.4	70	0

11	Sep_12_2017	80.32	57	58.31	60.83	61.06	61.91	64(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	110	28	79	0	59%	-0.99	-13.5	4.58%	0	2.4	67	0
12	Sep_11_2017	81.12	56.75	57.35	59.14	59.34	61.55	61.42(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	270	30	55	0	59%	-0.93	-55.4	4.83%	0	1.8	64	0
13	Sep_8_2017	81.88	56.58	56.77	58.1	57.89	60.21	61.2(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	50	270	50	48	0	59%	-0.97	-98.1	4.83%	0	1.9	57	0
14	Sep_7_2017	82.68	56.48	56.1	56.86	56.45	57.13	63(15.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	26	60	26	26	0	59%	-0.93	-142.7	4.82%	0	2.8	70	0
15	Sep_6_2017	83.46	56.68	55.29	55.45	56.52	55.58	54.52(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-60	-1	-3	0	53%	-1.02	-114.8	4.4%	0	-0.7	47	0

16	Sep_5_2017	84.32	57.4	55.43	55.41	56.41	55.78	55.56(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-20	-16	-12	0	53%	-1.07	-91.7	4.45%	0	-0.4	47	0
17	Sep_1_2017	85.23	58.21	55.44	55.26	56.18	57.46	56.2(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	210	5	-15	0	53%	-0.85	-64.2	4.45%	0	-0.3	41	0
18	Aug_31_2017	85.96	59.04	55.54	55.22	56.13	57.05	55(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	22	160	32	-8	0	47%	-0.67	-58.5	4.45%	0	-0.6	41	0
19	Aug_30_2017	86.54	59.94	55.39	55.18	54.98	54.9	55.96(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-20	-3	-36	0	47%	-0.84	-56.2	4.62%	0	-0.5	41	0
20	Aug_29_2017	87.27	60.73	55.38	55.14	54.93	55.22	54.32(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	30	-1	-62	0	47%	-0.87	-54.8	4.6%	0	-0.8	25	0

21	Aug_28_2017	88.04	61.69	55.65	55.46	55.01	55.07	54.8(-2.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-20	5	-81	0	47%	-1.01	-53.1	4.64%	0	-0.9	25	0
22	Aug_25_2017	88.94	62.56	56.13	55.62	54.8	54.65	56(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-60	-6	-108	0	47%	-1.02	-53.9	4.66%	0	-0.8	23	0
23	Aug_24_2017	89.86	63.44	56.41	55.93	54.87	54.96	54.8(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-50	2	-129	0	47%	-0.98	-53.8	4.65%	0	-1.1	20	0
24	Aug_23_2017	90.75	64.4	56.91	55.61	55.01	54.95	55.8(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-37	-40	3	-156	0	47%	-1.12	-57.9	4.65%	0	-1.1	21	0
25	Aug_22_2017	91.78	65.34	58.13	55.65	54.77	54.77	55.9(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-50	-8	-166	0	43%		-62.5	4.65%	0	-1.2	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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