Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $139.1000 (-3.95%) ($132.0000 - $150.0000) on Tue. Apr. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.25% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $139.1000(-3.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -10.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    TLT(5%)    VIXM(4%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-7%)    XOP(-6%)    TBT(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XLP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.625% (StdDev 5.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $115.6(-16.89%)
Resistance Level   $147.64
5 Day Moving Average   $130.1(6.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.49(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $147.64(-5.78%)
To recent high   -29.2%
To recent low   23.7%
Market Cap   $632m

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 9.81% (three month std-dev: 5.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.72%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.32%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -12.12%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.67%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2017	193.62	147.64	136.49	130.1	130.45	139.43	139.1(-3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	71	490	117	-69	0	46%	-0.63	-61.1	5.25%	0	-0.6	40	INF
2	Apr_17_2017	194.84	148.97	138.22	128.29	127.47	129.45	144.82(13.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	35	90	78	-93	0	45%	-0.62	-68.7	5.25%	0	-0.3	45	INF
3	Apr_13_2017	196.06	149.43	139.94	127.92	127.31	121.46	127.26(13.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-110	-340	-91	-165	0	40%	-0.67	-76.6	4.95%	0	-1.5	38	INF
4	Apr_12_2017	197.38	151.17	143.03	131.66	133.71	125.49	112.46(-11.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-158	-380	-150	-182	0	34%	-0.74	-74.9	4.65%	0	-2.8	24	INF
5	Apr_11_2017	198.85	154	148.01	137.58	141.37	133.17	126.88(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-153	-320	-151	-160	0	35%	-0.58	-64.3	4.49%	0	-2.1	28	INF

6	Apr_10_2017	200.01	157.04	151.91	143.59	146.53	141.93	130.02(-9.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-131	-160	-135	-119	0	35%	-0.54	-41.8	4.63%	0	-2.1	36	INF
7	Apr_7_2017	201.09	159.9	155.03	149.36	152.07	149.58	143(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-60	-49	-66	0	35%	-0.55	-23.8	4.54%	0	-1.5	36	INF
8	Apr_6_2017	202.21	161.54	156.48	153.85	155	151.14	145.96(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-150	-63	-50	0	34%	-0.64	-10.5	4.57%	0	-1.5	48	INF
9	Apr_5_2017	203.52	162.44	157.9	156.28	157.9	154.55	142.02(-9.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-66	-120	-73	-44	0	34%	-0.69	-6.1	4.57%	0	-1.9	42	INF
10	Apr_4_2017	204.94	162.76	160	159.9	160.38	158.87	156.96(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-60	-36	-17	0	37%	-0.66	-7.2	4.43%	0	-0.6	45	INF

11	Apr_3_2017	206.3	162.56	159.93	161.48	161.13	161.24	158.88(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-0	-14	-25	0	35%	-0.62	-8.5	4.44%	0	-0.4	36	INF
12	Mar_31_2017	207.59	162.69	160.63	161.53	162.17	161.89	165.42(4.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	-0	21	-26	0	35%	-0.41	-14	4.5%	0	0.3	39	INF
13	Mar_30_2017	208.45	162.68	159.49	159.66	161.22	161.01	158.14(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	20	-8	-62	0	32%	-0.42	-20.8	4.49%	0	-0.4	43	INF
14	Mar_29_2017	209.32	163.11	159.74	159.84	160.01	162.45	160.12(-2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	110	17	-53	0	32%	-0.3	-23	4.49%	0	-0.3	51	INF
15	Mar_28_2017	209.94	163.49	160.25	160.1	159.1	161.44	164.84(3.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	36	80	55	-22	0	32%	-0.28	-26	4.51%	0	0.1	62	INF

16	Mar_27_2017	210.54	163.42	162.24	158.21	158.15	157.57	159.12(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-30	4	-26	0	32%	-0.27	-39.7	4.48%	0	-0.4	56	INF
17	Mar_24_2017	211.11	164.12	164.84	159.67	158.25	156.77	156.08(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-90	-31	-15	0	32%	-0.25	-42.9	4.48%	0	-0.8	51	INF
18	Mar_23_2017	211.63	164.82	166.77	159.26	159.76	158.74	159.04(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-40	-12	-2	0	35%	-0.17	-53	4.51%	0	-0.6	50	INF
19	Mar_22_2017	212	165.47	167.23	159.56	159.83	159.74	161.42(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	0	-20	-7	0	35%	-0.16	-56.9	4.57%	0	-0.4	50	INF
20	Mar_21_2017	212.35	166.17	165.8	160.46	160.8	160.78	155.4(-6.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	10	-37	-27	0	35%	-0.22	-52.9	4.53%	0	-1	47	INF

21	Mar_20_2017	212.81	167.63	165.64	166.98	165.18	159.93	166.42(8.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-250	-66	-18	0	37%	-0.2	-34.3	4.48%	0	-0.1	53	INF
22	Mar_17_2017	213.23	168.68	165.12	171.13	171.91	160.83	154(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-148	-440	-180	-53	0	36%	-0.29	-17	4.41%	0	-1.2	43	INF
23	Mar_16_2017	213.85	170.46	166.43	175.38	180.8	170.44	160.56(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-123	-310	-155	-26	0	36%	-0.26	-0.8	4.42%	0	-0.8	48	INF
24	Mar_15_2017	214.41	171.63	167.09	175.68	182.57	183	165.92(-11.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-35	130	-51	13	0	36%	-0.24	4.9	4.41%	0	-0.5	49	INF
25	Mar_14_2017	214.93	172.28	167.28	171.3	178.2	191.16	188.02(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	175	630	203	89	0	40%		-2.2	4.19%	0	1.3	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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