Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $189.9800 (1.8%) ($182.0400 - $195.6000) on Tue. Jan. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.37% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $189.9800(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    TLT(5%)    VIXM(4%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-6%)    XLE(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XLP(-5%)    USO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.185% (StdDev 4.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $206.21
5 Day Moving Average   $190.32(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $188.51(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $206.21(-7.87%)
To recent high   -34%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $863m

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 11.51% (three month std-dev: 4.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.09%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.71%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2017	239.9	206.21	188.51	190.32	189.85	189.72	189.98(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10	-15	-68	0	52%	-0.47	-70.5	4.37%	0	-0.7	37	INF
2	Jan_30_2017	241.03	209.98	189.74	188.74	191.05	190.69	186.62(-3.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	20	8	-77	0	52%	-0.4	-68.7	4.38%	0	-1	34	INF
3	Jan_27_2017	242	214.08	192.28	188.98	190.97	189.97	194.06(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10	-9	-98	0	50%	-0.46	-58.7	4.38%	0	-0.7	32	INF
4	Jan_26_2017	243.13	217.36	193.51	187.39	190.48	191.41	187.98(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	80	-3	-126	0	50%	-0.52	-55.1	4.36%	0	-1	26	INF
5	Jan_25_2017	244.39	221.11	194.72	185.94	190.52	191.97	192.94(5.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	130	35	-145	0	49%	-0.44	-54.4	4.35%	0	-0.9	26	INF

6	Jan_24_2017	245.47	224.44	197.39	186.63	189.18	189.56	182.12(-3.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-63	60	-23	-183	0	47%	-0.27	-50.8	4.3%	0	-1.4	22	INF
7	Jan_23_2017	246.13	227.88	201.51	191.01	191.81	189.07	187.8(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-85	-90	-46	-201	0	47%	-0.51	-48.5	4.31%	0	-1.3	20	INF
8	Jan_20_2017	247.4	231.21	206.54	196.25	197.13	188.8	186.12(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-142	-280	-114	-227	0	47%	-0.55	-43.4	4.31%	0	-1.5	19	INF
9	Jan_19_2017	248.76	235.04	212.76	200.62	202.48	194.55	180.74(-7.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-184	-250	-165	-241	0	47%	-0.52	-39	4.29%	0	-2	21	INF
10	Jan_18_2017	250.06	239.02	220.09	204.48	206.6	205.45	196.38(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-119	-10	-90	-207	0	50%	-0.47	-36.6	4.18%	0	-1.7	24	INF

11	Jan_17_2017	251.25	241.46	225.47	209.6	209.2	210.41	204(-4.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-39	30	2	-161	0	48%	-0.71	-35.9	4.16%	0	-1.6	28	INF
12	Jan_13_2017	253.05	243.59	231.92	213.6	212.13	207.75	214(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-79	-170	-52	-161	0	48%	-0.44	-38.4	4.15%	0	-1.4	38	INF
13	Jan_12_2017	254.18	244.82	237.56	218.8	217.38	208	208(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-191	-320	-191	-192	0	48%	-0.52	-39	4.14%	0	-1.9	34	INF
14	Jan_11_2017	255.52	246.39	243.11	227.2	227.13	216.5	200(-9.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-212	-330	-223	-180	0	48%	-0.53	-37.3	4.11%	0	-2.6	27	INF
15	Jan_10_2017	256.88	248.43	249.85	238	237.63	226.75	222(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-191	-330	-208	-141	0	52%	-0.44	-35.2	3.92%	0	-1.9	36	INF

16	Jan_9_2017	258.02	249.98	253.91	243.6	245	237.75	224(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-183	-190	-206	-112	0	52%	-0.41	-26.6	3.92%	0	-2	47	INF
17	Jan_6_2017	259.09	251.78	256.75	252.8	251.63	248.5	240(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-90	-100	-107	-39	0	54%	-0.39	-3.7	3.85%	0	-1	53	INF
18	Jan_5_2017	260.1	252.63	258.2	259.2	257.5	252.25	250(-1.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-49	-160	-68	9	0	56%	-0.34	16	3.83%	0	-0.2	62	INF
19	Jan_4_2017	260.99	253.1	259.28	261.6	261.34	254.75	254(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-91	-180	-125	11	0	56%	-0.32	26.4	3.84%	0	0.1	64	INF
20	Jan_3_2017	261.83	253.44	259.58	263.6	261.34	262.75	250(-7.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-40	-20	-71	54	0	52%	-0.65	33.6	3.85%	0	-0.3	63	INF

21	Dec_30_2016	263.53	253.48	258.88	265.6	263.46	267.93	270(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	95	90	86	120	0	58%	-0.24	34.6	3.87%	0	1.5	60	INF
22	Dec_29_2016	264.16	252.22	256.11	261.2	259.71	264.18	272(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	110	100	111	106	0	56%	-0.28	21.7	3.92%	0	1.9	55	INF
23	Dec_28_2016	264.89	250.83	252.32	257.2	254.94	259	262(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	90	59	60	0	56%	-0.32	8.8	3.92%	0	1.2	53	INF
24	Dec_27_2016	265.75	250.17	249.57	256.8	254.94	255.25	264(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	10	59	45	0	56%	-0.61	13.6	3.92%	0	1.5	51	INF
25	Dec_23_2016	267.39	249.66	246.54	255.2	253.56	250.88	260(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-90	2	2	0	54%		20.1	3.9%	0	1.1	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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