Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $186.1200 (2.98%) ($182.0000 - $204.0000) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.31% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $186.1200(2.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -13.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    TLT(5%)    VIXM(4%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-6%)    XLE(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XLP(-5%)    USO(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.155% (StdDev 4.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $231.21
5 Day Moving Average   $196.25(-5.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $206.54(-9.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $231.21(-19.5%)
To recent high   -35.4%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $845m

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 12.82% (three month std-dev: 4.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 5.69%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.17%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 3.91%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -11.49%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 6.09%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.59%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2017	247.4	231.21	206.54	196.25	197.13	188.8	186.12(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-142	-280	-114	-227	0	47%	-0.55	-43.4	4.31%	0	-1.5	19	0
2	Jan_19_2017	248.76	235.04	212.76	200.62	202.48	194.55	180.74(-7.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-184	-250	-165	-241	0	47%	-0.52	-39	4.29%	0	-2	21	0
3	Jan_18_2017	250.06	239.02	220.09	204.48	206.6	205.45	196.38(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-119	-10	-90	-207	0	50%	-0.47	-36.6	4.18%	0	-1.7	24	0
4	Jan_17_2017	251.25	241.46	225.47	209.6	209.2	210.41	204(-4.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-39	30	2	-161	0	48%	-0.71	-35.9	4.16%	0	-1.6	28	0
5	Jan_13_2017	253.05	243.59	231.92	213.6	212.13	207.75	214(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-79	-170	-52	-161	0	48%	-0.44	-38.4	4.15%	0	-1.4	38	0

6	Jan_12_2017	254.18	244.82	237.56	218.8	217.38	208	208(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-191	-320	-191	-192	0	48%	-0.52	-39	4.14%	0	-1.9	34	0
7	Jan_11_2017	255.52	246.39	243.11	227.2	227.13	216.5	200(-9.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-212	-330	-223	-180	0	48%	-0.53	-37.3	4.11%	0	-2.6	27	0
8	Jan_10_2017	256.88	248.43	249.85	238	237.63	226.75	222(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-191	-330	-208	-141	0	52%	-0.44	-35.2	3.92%	0	-1.9	36	0
9	Jan_9_2017	258.02	249.98	253.91	243.6	245	237.75	224(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-183	-190	-206	-112	0	52%	-0.41	-26.6	3.92%	0	-2	47	0
10	Jan_6_2017	259.09	251.78	256.75	252.8	251.63	248.5	240(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-90	-100	-107	-39	0	54%	-0.39	-3.7	3.85%	0	-1	53	0

11	Jan_5_2017	260.1	252.63	258.2	259.2	257.5	252.25	250(-1.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-49	-160	-68	9	0	56%	-0.34	16	3.83%	0	-0.2	62	0
12	Jan_4_2017	260.99	253.1	259.28	261.6	261.34	254.75	254(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-91	-180	-125	11	0	56%	-0.32	26.4	3.84%	0	0.1	64	0
13	Jan_3_2017	261.83	253.44	259.58	263.6	261.34	262.75	250(-7.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-40	-20	-71	54	0	52%	-0.65	33.6	3.85%	0	-0.3	63	0
14	Dec_30_2016	263.53	253.48	258.88	265.6	263.46	267.93	270(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	95	90	86	120	0	58%	-0.24	34.6	3.87%	0	1.5	60	0
15	Dec_29_2016	264.16	252.22	256.11	261.2	259.71	264.18	272(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	110	100	111	106	0	56%	-0.28	21.7	3.92%	0	1.9	55	0

16	Dec_28_2016	264.89	250.83	252.32	257.2	254.94	259	262(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	90	59	60	0	56%	-0.32	8.8	3.92%	0	1.2	53	0
17	Dec_27_2016	265.75	250.17	249.57	256.8	254.94	255.25	264(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	10	59	45	0	56%	-0.61	13.6	3.92%	0	1.5	51	0
18	Dec_23_2016	267.39	249.66	246.54	255.2	253.56	250.88	260(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-90	2	2	0	54%	-0.27	20.1	3.9%	0	1.1	48	0
19	Dec_22_2016	268.12	249.64	245.33	251.2	252.69	251.88	248(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-0	-36	-28	0	52%	-0.32	14.1	3.87%	0	-0.2	50	0
20	Dec_21_2016	268.97	249.92	246.17	250	250.38	256.25	252(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	170	71	17	0	52%	-0.27	1.4	3.87%	0	0.2	55	0

21	Dec_20_2016	269.71	249.99	246.4	246.4	246.75	253.5	260(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	145	200	176	52	0	52%	-0.31	-21.2	3.87%	0	1.1	59	0
22	Dec_19_2016	270.54	248.9	246.1	241.2	240.5	244.5	256(6.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	71	110	92	6	0	52%	-0.31	-60.2	3.86%	0	0.8	54	0
23	Dec_16_2016	271.39	247.84	246.43	236.8	237.38	240	240(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	26	80	43	-27	0	52%	-0.4	-91.5	3.77%	0	-0.8	39	0
24	Dec_15_2016	272.48	248.38	247.48	238.8	237.25	236.5	242(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-40	-12	-49	0	52%	-0.38	-87.9	3.85%	0	-0.7	36	0
25	Dec_14_2016	273.53	249.79	247.97	242	240.88	234.75	234(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-88	-190	-92	-75	0	50%		-59	3.83%	0	-1.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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