Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $270.0000 (-0.74%) ($256.0000 - $274.0000) on Fri. Dec. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.87% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $270.0000(-0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    TLT(5%)    VIXM(4%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-6%)    XLE(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XLP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.935% (StdDev 3.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $265.6(1.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $258.88(4.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $253.48(6.52%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   38.8%
Market Cap   $1.226b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 4.45% (three month std-dev: 3.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(21%) Average negative next day return: -1.49%(79%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.88%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 5.31%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.92%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2016	263.53	253.48	258.88	265.6	263.46	267.93	270(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	95	90	86	120	0	58%	-0.24	34.6	3.87%	0	1.5	60	INF
2	Dec_29_2016	264.16	252.22	256.11	261.2	259.71	264.18	272(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	110	100	111	106	0	56%	-0.28	21.7	3.92%	0	1.9	55	INF
3	Dec_28_2016	264.89	250.83	252.32	257.2	254.94	259	262(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	90	59	60	0	56%	-0.32	8.8	3.92%	0	1.2	53	INF
4	Dec_27_2016	265.75	250.17	249.57	256.8	254.94	255.25	264(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	10	59	45	0	56%	-0.61	13.6	3.92%	0	1.5	51	INF
5	Dec_23_2016	267.39	249.66	246.54	255.2	253.56	250.88	260(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-90	2	2	0	54%	-0.27	20.1	3.9%	0	1.1	48	INF

6	Dec_22_2016	268.12	249.64	245.33	251.2	252.69	251.88	248(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-0	-36	-28	0	52%	-0.32	14.1	3.87%	0	-0.2	50	INF
7	Dec_21_2016	268.97	249.92	246.17	250	250.38	256.25	252(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	170	71	17	0	52%	-0.27	1.4	3.87%	0	0.2	55	INF
8	Dec_20_2016	269.71	249.99	246.4	246.4	246.75	253.5	260(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	145	200	176	52	0	52%	-0.31	-21.2	3.87%	0	1.1	59	INF
9	Dec_19_2016	270.54	248.9	246.1	241.2	240.5	244.5	256(6.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	71	110	92	6	0	52%	-0.31	-60.2	3.86%	0	0.8	54	INF
10	Dec_16_2016	271.39	247.84	246.43	236.8	237.38	240	240(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	26	80	43	-27	0	52%	-0.4	-91.5	3.77%	0	-0.8	39	INF

11	Dec_15_2016	272.48	248.38	247.48	238.8	237.25	236.5	242(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-40	-12	-49	0	52%	-0.38	-87.9	3.85%	0	-0.7	36	INF
12	Dec_14_2016	273.53	249.79	247.97	242	240.88	234.75	234(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-88	-190	-92	-75	0	50%	-0.38	-59	3.83%	0	-1.5	38	INF
13	Dec_13_2016	274.58	251.94	249.37	246.4	246	238	234(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-147	-230	-165	-94	0	47%	-0.34	-22.7	3.86%	0	-1.6	38	INF
14	Dec_12_2016	275.53	254.55	251.16	251.6	250.88	247	234(-6.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-114	-120	-133	-58	0	50%	-0.31	13.1	4%	0	-1.6	52	INF
15	Dec_9_2016	276.4	256.93	253.52	251.6	255.5	254	250(-3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-60	-13	21	0	49%	-0.26	48.1	4.03%	0	-0.5	64	INF

16	Dec_8_2016	277.13	256.92	254.67	257.2	256	254.75	258(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-50	-14	27	0	49%	-0.24	63.1	4.13%	0	0.1	55	INF
17	Dec_7_2016	277.79	256.2	254.24	254.8	254.87	257	256(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	60	12	20	0	51%	-0.22	73.1	4.14%	0	-0	42	INF
18	Dec_6_2016	278.4	254.59	254.02	252.8	253.37	257.25	260(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	110	69	25	0	49%	-0.26	68.4	4.17%	0	0.3	41	INF
19	Dec_5_2016	279.13	252.83	251.9	250.8	251.87	252.75	262(4.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	33	40	49	-15	0	49%	-0.24	66.2	4.19%	0	0.5	38	INF
20	Dec_2_2016	279.79	250.58	249.16	249.6	250.75	249.5	250(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-20	-40	-78	0	47%	-0.34	61.1	4.18%	0	-0	36	INF

21	Dec_1_2016	280.74	248.62	249.13	252	253.13	251	246(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-38	-50	-28	-67	0	49%	-0.42	57	4.17%	0	-0.1	52	INF
22	Nov_30_2016	281.91	246.36	251.54	253.6	254.88	252	246(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-60	-46	-56	0	49%	-0.43	49	4.17%	0	-0	55	INF
23	Nov_29_2016	283.13	244.05	254.55	255.2	255.5	255.25	250(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-0	-16	-11	0	49%	-0.38	43.1	4.16%	0	0.2	64	INF
24	Nov_28_2016	284.22	241.73	258.08	252.8	254.25	257.75	256(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	110	68	49	0	49%	-0.36	34.6	4.16%	0	0.5	65	INF
25	Nov_25_2016	285.25	239.33	260.48	248.4	249.38	255.75	262(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	102	190	107	86	0	47%		27.6	4.16%	0	0.8	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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