Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $242.0000 (-1.63%) ($240.0000 - $256.0000) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.2% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $242.0000(-1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(4%)    VIXM(4%)    XHB(2%)    BND(1%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    XLP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.6% (StdDev 3.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $264.99
5 Day Moving Average   $245.2(-1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $253(-4.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $264.99(-8.68%)
To recent high   -33.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $1.099b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 5.7% (three month std-dev: 3.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(36%) Average negative next day return: -2.26%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 8.29%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -4.16%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 11.12%(27%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.31%(73%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2016	352.84	264.99	253	245.2	245.88	246.25	242(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	20	-6	-116	0	31%	-0.92	-63.7	3.2%	0	-1.5	28	0
2	Oct_11_2016	356.12	266.15	256.32	248	247.88	245	246(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-51	-80	-27	-122	0	31%	-0.91	-77.2	3.21%	0	-1.4	29	0
3	Oct_10_2016	359.39	267.63	259.27	248.8	249.75	245.5	246(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-123	-110	-112	-157	0	31%	-0.81	-79	3.21%	0	-1.4	35	0
4	Oct_7_2016	362.33	270.29	261.92	251.2	252.33	250.75	242(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-128	-30	-118	-158	0	29%	-0.83	-83.1	3.2%	0	-2	32	0
5	Oct_6_2016	365.37	272.31	265.61	258.8	257.58	254	250(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-110	-51	-104	0	30%	-0.76	-80.7	3.23%	0	-1.6	38	0

6	Oct_5_2016	368.18	274.98	269.39	262	262.45	253.9	256(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-152	-220	-161	-123	0	30%	-0.79	-71.9	3.22%	0	-1.3	51	0
7	Oct_4_2016	371.12	277.61	272.58	266	266.7	261.15	250(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-178	-140	-201	-109	0	30%	-0.75	-66.7	3.22%	0	-1.8	48	0
8	Oct_3_2016	373.92	280.07	275.8	271.2	270.62	271	258(-7.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	0	-38	-21	0	30%	-0.71	-67.5	3.23%	0	-1.6	45	0
9	Sep_30_2016	376.59	282.65	278.36	274	272	272.25	280(5.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-20	36	8	0	33%	-0.64	-63.7	3.1%	0	-0.2	41	0
10	Sep_29_2016	379	284.3	278.15	273.6	271.76	270.25	266(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-60	-68	-37	0	26%	-0.72	-60.3	3.02%	0	-1.2	46	0

11	Sep_28_2016	381.73	286.3	278.06	278	275.01	271.75	276(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-66	-120	-72	-47	0	27%	-0.73	-62.2	3.22%	0	-0.7	40	0
12	Sep_27_2016	384.53	287.94	276.84	280.4	279.64	273.28	276(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-101	-170	-107	-81	0	27%	-0.68	-62.6	3.23%	0	-0.7	39	0
13	Sep_26_2016	387.18	289.69	276.68	281.2	282.64	278.28	272(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-134	-90	-143	-107	0	27%	-0.68	-65.1	3.23%	0	-1	43	0
14	Sep_23_2016	389.84	291.95	279.3	281.2	284.75	286	278(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	50	-10	-53	0	27%	-0.65	-63.6	3.22%	0	-0.8	41	0
15	Sep_22_2016	392.39	294.18	279.5	283.2	284.19	287	288(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	65	80	97	-32	0	28%	-0.55	-64.3	3.22%	0	-0.3	41	0

16	Sep_21_2016	394.57	296.49	280.76	278	280.81	283.5	288(2.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	64	100	102	-50	0	35%	-0.53	-64.3	3.22%	0	-0.4	45	0
17	Sep_20_2016	396.69	298.57	282.58	272.8	274.69	281.37	280(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	42	190	79	-70	0	35%	-0.53	-68.3	3.46%	0	-0.9	41	0
18	Sep_19_2016	398.8	301.11	284.28	271.6	271.31	278.12	282(1.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	81	170	129	-62	0	35%	-0.46	-70.7	3.47%	0	-0.9	41	0
19	Sep_16_2016	400.63	303.4	286.87	275.2	272.38	268	278(6.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-140	19	-99	0	33%	-0.45	-68	3.51%	0	-1.1	38	0
20	Sep_15_2016	402.45	306.38	290.51	275.6	275.88	264.5	262(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-255	-290	-267	-220	0	29%	-0.5	-66.5	3.41%	0	-2	30	0

21	Sep_14_2016	404.49	310.19	295.12	284	283.88	276.75	262(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-245	-180	-258	-207	0	27%	-0.59	-64.4	3.41%	0	-2.3	27	0
22	Sep_13_2016	406.9	314.05	300.19	293.6	293.56	287.25	274(-8.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-114	-150	-109	-128	0	26%	-0.71	-63.5	3.5%	0	-2.2	32	0
23	Sep_12_2016	409.82	317.64	304.21	298.4	298.94	291	300(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-163	-180	-168	-148	0	28%	-0.61	-62.7	3.49%	0	-1.1	38	0
24	Sep_9_2016	412.35	319.37	305.93	300.4	303.19	299.88	280(-7.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-162	-50	-165	-151	0	23%	-0.7	-64.8	3.35%	0	-2.4	30	0
25	Sep_8_2016	415.24	322.14	310.47	307.6	308.44	306.88	304(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-30	-0	-73	0	25%		-64.9	3.23%	0	-1.4	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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