Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $280.0000 (-7.89%) ($278.0000 - $308.0000) on Fri. Sep. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.35% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $280.0000(-7.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(4%)    VIXM(4%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    IBUY(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.675% (StdDev 3.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -8.5%

Resistance Level   $319.37
5 Day Moving Average   $300.4(-6.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $305.93(-8.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $319.37(-12.33%)
To recent high   -42.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $1.272b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 5.06% (three month std-dev: 3.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 4.97%(59%) Average negative next day return: -5.69%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 6.84%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -3.95%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 5.41%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.29%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2016	412.35	319.37	305.93	300.4	303.19	299.88	280(-7.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-162	-50	-165	-151	0	23%	-0.7	-64.8	3.35%	0	-2.4	30	0
2	Sep_8_2016	415.24	322.14	310.47	307.6	308.44	306.88	304(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-30	-0	-73	0	25%	-0.65	-64.9	3.23%	0	-1.4	33	0
3	Sep_7_2016	417.94	324.14	313.69	307.6	309	306.5	310(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	-50	-57	-94	0	24%	-0.61	-60.9	3.25%	0	-1.1	36	0
4	Sep_6_2016	420.49	325.91	315.76	308	309.38	310	298(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	30	-36	-89	0	20%	-0.94	-53.9	3.24%	0	-2	28	0
5	Sep_2_2016	424.46	328.29	319.23	310.8	310.19	311.5	310(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	13	20	36	-58	0	20%	-0.57	-51.8	3.23%	0	-1.4	28	0

6	Sep_1_2016	426.89	330.2	321.07	312.4	310.56	308.75	316(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-60	-36	-85	0	20%	-0.55	-49.2	3.27%	0	-1.2	40	0
7	Aug_31_2016	429.25	331.08	323.17	314	313.94	308.88	306(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-113	-110	-114	-111	0	17%	-0.56	-54	3.24%	0	-2.2	35	0
8	Aug_30_2016	431.68	332.53	326.27	320.4	319.06	312.38	310(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-159	-160	-172	-119	0	17%	-0.56	-51.3	3.24%	0	-2.2	30	0
9	Aug_29_2016	434.1	333.5	328.98	324.8	325.75	319	312(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-137	-140	-149	-102	0	17%	-0.61	-51.1	3.26%	0	-2.4	30	0
10	Aug_26_2016	436.77	335.08	332.25	328.8	329.87	325.75	318(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-117	-80	-128	-82	0	17%	-0.57	-38.9	3.27%	0	-2.3	34	0

11	Aug_25_2016	439.29	336.26	334.01	330.8	332.12	332.5	324(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	20	-33	-45	0	17%	-0.53	-22.2	3.27%	0	-1.8	35	0
12	Aug_24_2016	441.64	337.47	334.95	333.6	332.62	334	338(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	25	20	36	-10	0	18%	-0.48	5.7	3.26%	0	0.1	55	0
13	Aug_23_2016	443.78	337.82	335.43	333.2	332.56	331.75	332(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-20	-3	-22	0	23%	-0.58	19.6	3.25%	0	-0.9	52	0
14	Aug_22_2016	446.36	338.16	336.77	334	333.56	331.25	332(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-50	-53	-30	0	23%	-0.47	36.8	3.35%	0	-0.9	56	0
15	Aug_19_2016	448.46	338.05	337.96	336.4	335.44	333.38	328(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-50	-55	-23	0	23%	-0.43	39.5	3.34%	0	-1.3	44	0

16	Aug_18_2016	450.38	337.8	339.99	337.6	337.19	335.88	338(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-10	-30	-14	1	0	23%	-0.33	37.8	3.36%	0	0	49	0
17	Aug_17_2016	451.88	337.08	339.49	336.4	336.25	337.5	336(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	20	-14	-10	0	23%	-0.31	20.4	3.37%	0	-0.1	43	0
18	Aug_16_2016	453.27	336.55	339.21	338	335.88	338.5	336(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	40	47	13	0	23%	-0.2	5.2	3.42%	0	-0.1	45	0
19	Aug_15_2016	454.2	335.66	338.38	338	336	335	344(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-60	10	-2	0	23%	-0.25	-11.8	3.41%	0	0.9	54	0
20	Aug_12_2016	455.33	335.03	338.07	340	337.75	333.25	334(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-76	-110	-89	-35	0	23%	-0.2	-24.3	3.39%	0	-0.1	56	0

21	Aug_11_2016	456.24	334.77	338.7	340	341	337	332(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-72	-100	-90	-18	0	23%	-0.16	-29.9	3.4%	0	-0.3	59	0
22	Aug_10_2016	456.98	335.33	340.29	342.8	342.5	342.25	344(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-10	-17	24	0	24%	-0.15	-31.5	3.39%	0	0.8	64	0
23	Aug_9_2016	457.65	336.04	340.39	340.4	340.27	345	346(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	100	73	64	0	24%	-0.1	-37.9	3.42%	0	0.8	64	0
24	Aug_8_2016	458.1	336.82	339.54	336.4	336.52	342.75	344(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	120	130	131	87	0	24%	-0.09	-48.4	3.42%	0	0.5	67	0
25	Aug_5_2016	458.51	337.37	338	336	333.69	335.55	348(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	73	20	76	63	0	28%		-57.8	3.42%	0	0.8	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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