Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $348.0000 (4.82%) ($332.0000 - $350.0000) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $348.0000(4.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(4%)    VIXM(4%)    IPO(3%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    IBUY(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $336(3.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $338(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $337.37(3.15%)
To recent high   -38.5%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $1.581b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 4.19% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.48%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.16%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.64%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	458.51	337.37	338	336	333.69	335.55	348(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	73	20	76	63	0	28%	-0.06	-57.8	3.42%	0	0.8	57	INF
2	Aug_4_2016	458.78	337.7	335.26	334.4	334.07	330.3	332(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-41	-80	-55	2	0	24%	-0.09	-71.1	3.43%	0	-0.4	53	INF
3	Aug_3_2016	459.18	338.93	334.43	337.6	337.17	331.84	332(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-103	-110	-128	-27	0	24%	-0.09	-67.9	3.44%	0	-0.4	44	INF
4	Aug_2_2016	459.59	340.98	333.76	340.4	341.3	337.84	326(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-76	-60	-93	-23	0	29%	-0.1	-72.8	3.44%	0	-0.8	35	INF
5	Aug_1_2016	460.04	343.48	333.02	342.8	343.76	342.5	342(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-20	-11	-6	0	30%	-0.05	-82.4	3.47%	0	-0.1	38	INF

6	Jul_29_2016	460.27	345.74	331.91	340	341.76	344.76	340(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	32	80	44	-4	0	30%	-0.05	-82.9	3.5%	0	-0.3	42	INF
7	Jul_28_2016	460.51	348.41	330.64	336	337.01	345.01	348(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	119	180	154	14	0	30%	-0.05	-84.8	3.5%	0	-0	44	INF
8	Jul_27_2016	460.73	350.49	329.89	330.8	330.56	338.75	346(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	145	170	191	8	0	28%	0	-89.7	3.5%	0	-0.2	43	INF
9	Jul_26_2016	460.71	354.67	330.97	326.4	325.44	329	338(3.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	91	70	132	-33	0	25%	-0	-76.3	3.58%	0	-0.5	32	INF
10	Jul_25_2016	460.73	359.08	333.35	322	321.69	322.38	328(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	10	11	-93	0	25%	0.02	-68.1	3.79%	0	-0.9	26	INF

11	Jul_22_2016	460.63	363.93	336.19	322.8	320.96	321.88	320(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-33	0	-7	-112	0	25%	-0.11	-61	3.78%	0	-1.2	18	INF
12	Jul_21_2016	461.14	369.63	339.99	324.4	323.02	321	322(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-49	-60	-22	-130	0	25%	-0.13	-56.2	3.79%	0	-1.2	17	INF
13	Jul_20_2016	461.76	374.92	343.65	328.8	326.52	320.04	324(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-151	-160	-141	-182	0	25%	-0.1	-52.3	3.79%	0	-1.3	21	INF
14	Jul_19_2016	462.22	380.52	348.79	336.4	334.52	325.04	316(-4.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-211	-220	-209	-215	0	25%	-0.09	-45.1	3.78%	0	-1.7	11	INF
15	Jul_18_2016	462.63	384.84	355.12	346.4	345.65	333	332(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-219	-260	-219	-218	0	26%	-0.05	-48.3	3.74%	0	-1.5	16	INF

16	Jul_15_2016	462.86	388.14	361.05	351.6	353.65	344	328(-4.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-240	-170	-243	-229	0	26%	-0.05	-59.6	3.75%	0	-1.8	16	INF
17	Jul_14_2016	463.08	392.67	368.11	357.6	359.03	358.31	344(-4.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-108	-0	-88	-169	0	28%	0	-70.8	3.72%	0	-1.6	17	INF
18	Jul_13_2016	463.08	396.27	373.16	360.4	361.03	363.31	362(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	50	44	-124	0	29%	0.12	-86.8	3.68%	0	-1.2	24	INF
19	Jul_12_2016	462.53	398.81	380.28	363.2	361.01	359.76	366(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	-40	-24	-145	0	29%	0.12	-100	3.68%	0	-1.2	24	INF
20	Jul_11_2016	461.96	402.76	386.57	365.6	365.13	358.76	358(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-122	-130	-108	-164	0	28%	0.13	-106.4	3.66%	0	-1.6	42	INF

21	Jul_8_2016	461.37	409	393.54	372.4	371.25	362.25	358(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-198	-180	-205	-177	0	28%	0.13	-92.9	3.69%	0	-1.6	44	INF
22	Jul_7_2016	460.78	415.4	401.38	380.4	379.62	371.5	358(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-173	-160	-182	-144	0	28%	0.14	-84	3.7%	0	-1.7	38	INF
23	Jul_6_2016	460.12	422.4	408.68	387.6	386.25	380.25	376(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-186	-120	-204	-133	0	29%	0.21	-78.4	3.68%	0	-1.3	42	INF
24	Jul_5_2016	459.14	427.94	414.84	400	396.75	387.75	378(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-169	-180	-194	-94	0	27%	0.23	-74.8	3.69%	0	-1.4	44	INF
25	Jul_1_2016	458.08	434.6	417.29	410.8	411.38	392.25	392(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-208	-320	-242	-107	0	33%		-65	3.89%	0	-1.1	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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