Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $446.0000 (-8.23%) ($442.0000 - $504.0000) on Mon. Jun. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.77% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $446.0000(-8.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH declines -2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(5%)    TLT(4%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(3%)    BND(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.885% (StdDev 3.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.7%

Resistance Level   $519.75
5 Day Moving Average   $481.6(-7.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $497.65(-10.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $519.75(-14.19%)
To recent high   -24.1%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $2.026b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 5.71% (three month std-dev: 3.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 3.7%(46%) Average negative next day return: -2.95%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 6.69%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -5.7%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 6.7%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.56%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2016	463.01	519.75	497.65	481.6	484.81	475.13	446(-8.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-235	-120	-245	-205	0	53%	-0.04	-44.7	3.77%	0	-2.5	19	0
2	Jun_10_2016	463.21	523.89	508.18	495.2	492.94	487.63	486(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-178	-90	-184	-159	0	57%	0.06	-42.4	3.61%	0	-1.6	39	0
3	Jun_9_2016	462.94	525.66	513.75	498	503.25	494.5	488(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-82	-90	-72	-110	0	61%	0.07	-44.9	3.61%	0	-1.7	38	0
4	Jun_8_2016	462.63	528.15	519.38	500.4	505.38	498.25	500(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-218	-70	-235	-166	0	61%	0.1	-39.2	3.7%	0	-1.3	45	0
5	Jun_7_2016	462.17	530.7	525.6	505.6	510.75	512	488(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-88	50	-86	-93	0	63%	0.07	-22.3	3.69%	0	-2.1	37	0

6	Jun_6_2016	461.85	533.33	533.49	516.4	519.13	512.5	514(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-70	-15	-37	0	66%	0.14	3.9	3.7%	0	-1.1	50	0
7	Jun_3_2016	461.19	534.35	535.75	523.6	525	509.5	500(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-254	-200	-295	-132	0	58%	0.11	34.7	4.13%	0	-2	48	0
8	Jun_2_2016	460.69	535.98	540.16	532	537.5	525.75	500(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-195	-120	-231	-88	0	59%	0.11	76.8	4.15%	0	-2.4	49	0
9	Jun_1_2016	460.18	536.47	543.4	540.8	543.75	540.5	526(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-117	-30	-142	-41	0	63%	0.19	108.5	4.11%	0	-0.7	49	0
10	May_31_2016	459.32	535.24	545.41	548.4	547.75	549.25	542(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	20	-1	26	0	62%	0.24	108.4	4.14%	0	0.4	48	0

11	May_27_2016	458.21	532.65	543.85	553.2	551	547	550(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-60	14	37	0	63%	0.27	68.3	4.09%	0	0.7	54	0
12	May_26_2016	456.97	528.51	541.01	550	550.75	546.25	542(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-50	-97	-15	0	63%	0.25	42.2	4.13%	0	0.5	54	0
13	May_25_2016	455.81	524.5	538.63	549.6	549.5	555	544(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	70	35	35	0	63%	0.27	22.6	4.12%	0	0.6	56	0
14	May_24_2016	454.58	520.59	537.59	546	544.75	555.25	564(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	163	130	185	98	0	67%	0.34	4	4.09%	0	1.4	68	0
15	May_23_2016	453.04	517.14	535.73	542	538.75	544	566(5.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	135	50	150	91	0	67%	0.36	-8.6	4.3%	0	1.6	70	0

16	May_20_2016	451.43	516.32	532.36	533.6	534.5	534.25	534(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	0	47	50	0	66%	0.27	-16.8	4.24%	0	0.6	67	0
17	May_19_2016	450.23	516.74	532.14	530.8	529.44	533.5	540(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	50	11	50	0	66%	0.29	-19.3	4.26%	0	0.7	75	0
18	May_18_2016	448.91	517.55	530.89	526	526.44	534.75	526(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	125	110	130	109	0	66%	0.26	-20.9	4.26%	0	0.3	74	0
19	May_17_2016	447.76	519.33	528.84	527.6	523.44	525.38	544(3.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	82	0	75	103	0	68%	0.33	-16.7	4.23%	0	0.7	77	0
20	May_16_2016	446.3	519.77	524.17	528.8	524.81	518.13	524(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-54	-110	-86	42	0	68%	0.27	-13.9	4.24%	0	0.1	58	0

21	May_13_2016	445.11	521.34	520.74	531.2	531.08	521.5	520(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-106	-130	-143	6	0	68%	0.26	-10.6	4.24%	0	-0	42	0
22	May_12_2016	443.94	522.79	515.52	533.6	534.33	531.5	516(-3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-76	-30	-103	5	0	68%	0.26	-11.8	4.28%	0	-0.2	44	0
23	May_11_2016	442.79	524.4	510.07	536	533.45	540.65	534(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	82	80	90	59	0	68%	0.33	-12.2	4.24%	0	0.3	43	0
24	May_10_2016	441.32	525.02	503.02	529.6	527.33	537.15	550(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	192	120	230	79	0	68%	0.4	-17.9	4.24%	0	0.7	45	0
25	May_9_2016	439.54	524.57	497.25	518.8	514.38	526.25	536(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	158	140	199	34	0	68%		-26.8	4.27%	0	0.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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