Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $576.0000 (1.41%) ($552.0000 - $580.0000) on Fri. Apr. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.37% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $576.0000(1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 18.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(4%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(3%)    XHB(2%)    BND(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.185% (StdDev 4.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $567.6(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $531.13(8.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $462.29(24.6%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   113.3%
Market Cap   $2.616b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 17.32% (three month std-dev: 4.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.95%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -11.83%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.52%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2016	393.65	462.29	531.13	567.6	561.88	563.25	576(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	195	-10	155	313	0	80%	1.2	80.5	4.37%	0	1.4	87	0
2	Apr_7_2016	388.97	451.5	516.39	560.4	561.38	550.5	568(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-130	-62	240	0	80%	1.23	80.5	4.43%	0	1.5	87	0
3	Apr_6_2016	384.26	441.3	500.4	550.4	555.13	560.5	556(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	90	-60	245	0	80%	1.22	79.8	4.48%	0	1.5	87	0
4	Apr_5_2016	379.62	430.49	485.95	536.4	546.25	572.25	550(-6.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	423	390	420	432	0.01	80%	1.26	75	4.54%	0	1.7	87	0
5	Apr_4_2016	374.89	419.73	470.04	521.2	522.13	549.75	588(8.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	540	380	557	488	0	86%	1.65	70.9	4.37%	0	2.5	97	0

6	Apr_1_2016	368.8	405.74	448.98	489.2	494.59	520.25	540(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	488	400	508	426	0	84%	1.39	61.6	4.28%	0	2.3	97	0
7	Mar_31_2016	363.76	396.61	431.95	466	468.34	494.5	518(6.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	459	410	486	378	0	84%	1.3	60.6	4.33%	0	2.5	96	0
8	Mar_30_2016	359.09	389.15	416.84	443.2	444.22	468.94	486(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	422	400	454	325	0	83%	1.12	61.8	4.32%	0	2.4	90	0
9	Mar_29_2016	355.13	382.87	405	428	425.84	442.19	474(10.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	349	250	374	275	0	83%	1.09	70.5	4.39%	0	2.7	92	0
10	Mar_28_2016	351.29	376.56	394.07	411.2	411.63	419.5	428(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	200	140	203	192	0	80%	0.73	79.8	4.15%	0	2	90	0

11	Mar_24_2016	348.73	372.67	387.53	402.4	401.63	409.5	424(4.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	147	130	140	166	0	80%	0.75	89.9	4.22%	0	2.2	92	0
12	Mar_23_2016	346.14	368.78	381.3	392.4	393.16	403.75	404(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	183	190	190	163	0	79%	0.6	99.5	4.25%	0	1.7	60	0
13	Mar_22_2016	344.07	365.7	377.72	386	384.04	393.75	410(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	187	160	199	150	0	79%	0.71	95.2	4.29%	0	2	57	0
14	Mar_21_2016	341.63	360.63	371.05	378.4	375.59	382.58	390(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	118	110	125	96	0	77%	0.55	92.2	4.31%	0	1.3	56	0
15	Mar_18_2016	339.77	356.72	366.11	374.4	372.09	374.33	384(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	85	20	91	68	0	77%	0.52	88.5	4.4%	0	1.1	59	0

16	Mar_17_2016	338	352.65	359.75	370.4	368.93	368.61	374(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-20	-7	9	0	77%	0.45	85.6	4.48%	0	0.8	58	0
17	Mar_16_2016	336.5	349.09	359.06	368.4	368.18	369.86	372(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	30	13	19	0	77%	0.46	0	4.58%	0	0.8	58	0
18	Mar_15_2016	334.96	345.33	359.66	368	367.25	369.25	372(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	30	56	48	0	77%	0.51	0	4.67%	0	0.9	60	0
19	Mar_14_2016	333.27	340.91	359.2	362.4	364.13	366.5	370(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	60	41	51	0	77%	0.53	0	4.77%	0	1	69	0
20	Mar_11_2016	331.52	336.27	357.71	356.4	360.88	365.25	364(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	91	120	96	76	0	77%	0.49	0	4.89%	0	0.8	67	0

21	Mar_10_2016	329.9	331.74	356.67	347.2	352.88	361.76	364(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	230	74	66	0	77%	0.55	0	5%	0	0.9	69	0
22	Mar_9_2016	328.11	331.74	355.25	348.4	349.01	356.51	370(7.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	160	94	38	0	77%	0.72	0	5.08%	0	10.6	71	0
23	Mar_8_2016	325.78	331.74	352.58	350.8	353.5	344	344(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-170	-11	-4	0	74%	0.33	0	5.03%	0	10	69	0
24	Mar_7_2016	324.71	331.74	349.53	356	358.5	341.5	340(6.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-219	-310	-258	-103	0	74%	0.3	0	5.18%	0	9.7	72	0
25	Mar_4_2016	323.75	331.74	347.03	359.2	366.63	363	318(-14.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-117	-10	-137	-55	0	70%		0	5.16%	0	8.9	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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