Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $518.0000 (6.58%) ($486.0000 - $536.0000) on Thu. Mar. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.33% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $518.0000(6.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 5.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 13.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(4%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(3%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPLV(-10%)    XLE(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.165% (StdDev 4.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $466(11.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $431.95(19.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $396.61(30.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   91.9%
Market Cap   $2.353b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 12.46% (three month std-dev: 4.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 7.53%(67%) Average negative next day return: -4.09%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 11.78%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.85%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 8.03%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.23%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2016	363.76	396.61	431.95	466	468.34	494.5	518(6.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	459	410	486	378	0	84%	1.3	60.6	4.33%	0	2.5	96	0
2	Mar_30_2016	359.09	389.15	416.84	443.2	444.22	468.94	486(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	422	400	454	325	0	83%	1.12	61.8	4.32%	0	2.4	90	0
3	Mar_29_2016	355.13	382.87	405	428	425.84	442.19	474(10.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	349	250	374	275	0	83%	1.09	70.5	4.39%	0	2.7	92	0
4	Mar_28_2016	351.29	376.56	394.07	411.2	411.63	419.5	428(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	200	140	203	192	0	80%	0.73	79.8	4.15%	0	2	90	0
5	Mar_24_2016	348.73	372.67	387.53	402.4	401.63	409.5	424(4.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	147	130	140	166	0	80%	0.75	89.9	4.22%	0	2.2	92	0

6	Mar_23_2016	346.14	368.78	381.3	392.4	393.16	403.75	404(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	183	190	190	163	0	79%	0.6	99.5	4.25%	0	1.7	60	0
7	Mar_22_2016	344.07	365.7	377.72	386	384.04	393.75	410(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	187	160	199	150	0	79%	0.71	95.2	4.29%	0	2	57	0
8	Mar_21_2016	341.63	360.63	371.05	378.4	375.59	382.58	390(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	118	110	125	96	0	77%	0.55	92.2	4.31%	0	1.3	56	0
9	Mar_18_2016	339.77	356.72	366.11	374.4	372.09	374.33	384(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	85	20	91	68	0	77%	0.52	88.5	4.4%	0	1.1	59	0
10	Mar_17_2016	338	352.65	359.75	370.4	368.93	368.61	374(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-20	-7	9	0	77%	0.45	85.6	4.48%	0	0.8	58	0

11	Mar_16_2016	336.5	349.09	359.06	368.4	368.18	369.86	372(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	30	13	19	0	77%	0.46	0	4.58%	0	0.8	58	0
12	Mar_15_2016	334.96	345.33	359.66	368	367.25	369.25	372(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	30	56	48	0	77%	0.51	0	4.67%	0	0.9	60	0
13	Mar_14_2016	333.27	340.91	359.2	362.4	364.13	366.5	370(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	60	41	51	0	77%	0.53	0	4.77%	0	1	69	0
14	Mar_11_2016	331.52	336.27	357.71	356.4	360.88	365.25	364(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	91	120	96	76	0	77%	0.49	0	4.89%	0	0.8	67	0
15	Mar_10_2016	329.9	331.74	356.67	347.2	352.88	361.76	364(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	230	74	66	0	77%	0.55	0	5%	0	0.9	69	0

16	Mar_9_2016	328.11	331.74	355.25	348.4	349.01	356.51	370(7.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	160	94	38	0	77%	0.72	0	5.08%	0	10.6	71	0
17	Mar_8_2016	325.78	331.74	352.58	350.8	353.5	344	344(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-170	-11	-4	0	74%	0.33	0	5.03%	0	10	69	0
18	Mar_7_2016	324.71	331.74	349.53	356	358.5	341.5	340(6.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-219	-310	-258	-103	0	74%	0.3	0	5.18%	0	9.7	72	0
19	Mar_4_2016	323.75	331.74	347.03	359.2	366.63	363	318(-14.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-117	-10	-137	-55	0	70%	-0.12	0	5.16%	0	8.9	70	0
20	Mar_3_2016	324.13	331.74	346.03	366.4	368.13	375.5	370(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	106	150	125	50	0	100%	1.02	0	3.26%	0	10	92	0

21	Mar_2_2016	320.86	331.74	339.16	362.4	364.06	370.25	382(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	226	130	266	106	0	100%	1.49	0	3%	0	10.6	50	0
22	Mar_1_2016	316.15	331.74	330.25	354.8	354.69	360.75	370(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	140	120	165	66	0	100%	1.44	0	3.12%	0	11.2	50	0
23	Feb_29_2016	311.67	331.74	321.23	342.4	344.69	357.88	356(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	233	290	274	110	0	100%	1.31	0	3.23%	0	11.7	50	0
24	Feb_26_2016	307.64	331.74	313.04	333.2	332.47	348.63	354(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	340	330	400	160	0	100%	1.53	0	3.32%	0	12.5	50	0
25	Feb_25_2016	303	331.74	304.54	322.4	319.02	331.5	350(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	268	240	315	126	0	100%		0	3.45%	0	13.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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