Trading Signals: BNDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: BNDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jun. 4, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total International Bond Index Fund ETF)
BNDX latest price $50.1100 (0.24%) ($50.0400 - $50.1200) on Thu. Jan. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.13% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $50.1100(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BNDX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BNDX advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BNDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(55%)    TLT(46%)    TIP(41%)    PCY(38%)    EMHY(27%)
Factors Impacting BNDX price   BNDX will decline at least -0.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    USO(-7%)    XOP(-6%)    XLE(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.065% (StdDev 0.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.05(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.97(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.83(0.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BNDX price fluctuates within 0.34% (three month std-dev: 0.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2014	49.75	49.83	49.97	50.05	50.05	50.06	50.11(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	0	21	170	0.11	44%	0.02	44.1	0.13%	0	1.6	73	0
2	Jan_22_2014	49.74	49.81	49.93	50.01	50.03	50.06	49.99(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	0	14	166	0.22	46%	0.02	37.5	0.12%	0	1.1	70	0
3	Jan_21_2014	49.73	49.8	49.92	49.99	50	50.05	50.07(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	10	32	179	0.11	49%	0	31.3	0.13%	0	1.7	76	0
4	Jan_17_2014	49.73	49.78	49.88	49.96	49.97	50.01	50.06(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	70	10	33	179	0.11	49%	0.02	28.6	0.13%	0	2	77	0
5	Jan_16_2014	49.72	49.77	49.83	49.93	49.95	49.96	50.02(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	66	0	36	157	0.11	55%	0.02	25	0.13%	0	2.1	64	0

6	Jan_15_2014	49.71	49.77	49.8	49.88	49.91	49.93	49.89(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	0	16	109	0.11	51%	0.02	13.6	0.14%	0	1.3	59	0
7	Jan_14_2014	49.7	49.77	49.77	49.84	49.87	49.94	49.91(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	10	29	89	0.14	51%	0.02	9.1	0.14%	0	1.5	55	0
8	Jan_13_2014	49.69	49.75	49.74	49.83	49.83	49.89	49.93(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	54	10	46	78	0.1	51%	0.02	10	0.14%	0	1.8	58	0
9	Jan_10_2014	49.68	49.75	49.7	49.79	49.8	49.81	49.89(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	0	41	44	0.07	46%	0.02	0	0.15%	0	1.5	57	0
10	Jan_9_2014	49.67	49.75	49.68	49.73	49.76	49.76	49.76(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	0	4	-6	0.15	41%	0	-11.1	0.15%	0	0.2	43	0

11	Jan_8_2014	49.67	49.75	49.67	49.7	49.73	49.79	49.72(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	10	21	-20	0.14	41%	0.02	-25	0.15%	0	-0.2	41	0
12	Jan_7_2014	49.66	49.75	49.68	49.68	49.7	49.76	49.84(0.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	34	10	54	-26	0.15	44%	0	-35	0.14%	0	1	46	0
13	Jan_6_2014	49.66	49.75	49.68	49.64	49.65	49.67	49.72(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	0	24	-72	0.13	39%	0.02	-60	0.14%	0	-0.2	36	0
14	Jan_3_2014	49.65	49.74	49.67	49.61	49.63	49.64	49.6(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	0	0	-103	0.08	33%	0	-88.9	0.14%	0	-1.6	29	0
15	Jan_2_2014	49.65	49.75	49.69	49.63	49.62	49.63	49.64(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	0	-1	-95	0.12	33%	0	-94.4	0.14%	0	-1.2	29	0

16	Dec_31_2013	49.65	49.76	49.71	49.64	49.63	49.62	49.62(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-0	-9	-94	0.09	33%	0	-94.4	0.14%	0	-1.6	30	0
17	Dec_30_2013	49.65	49.78	49.73	49.67	49.65	49.61	49.6(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10	-26	-79	0.12	33%	0	-88.9	0.14%	0	-2	34	0
18	Dec_27_2013	49.65	49.8	49.76	49.7	49.68	49.64	49.57(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-42	-10	-34	-65	0.11	33%	0	-72.2	0.14%	0	-2.6	35	0
19	Dec_26_2013	49.65	49.82	49.79	49.74	49.72	49.68	49.71(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-30	-10	-28	-37	0.1	38%	0	-62.5	0.14%	0	-1.4	53	0
20	Dec_24_2013	49.65	49.83	49.8	49.76	49.74	49.73	49.71(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-0	-28	-20	0.06	38%	0.02	-44.4	0.14%	0	-1.3	44	0

21	Dec_23_2013	49.64	49.83	49.8	49.79	49.78	49.73	49.78(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-0	-7	-11	0.24	50%	0	-38.9	0.14%	0	-0.8	36	0
22	Dec_20_2013	49.64	49.85	49.81	49.8	49.8	49.76	49.74(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-25	-10	-27	-19	0.09	50%	0	-38.9	0.15%	0	-1.2	39	0
23	Dec_19_2013	49.64	49.86	49.81	49.83	49.83	49.8	49.74(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-0	-23	-25	0.22	50%	0	-38.9	0.15%	0	-1.3	31	0
24	Dec_18_2013	49.64	49.87	49.82	49.83	49.83	49.85	49.84(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	0	-3	-29	0.63	67%	0.02	-37.5	0.15%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Dec_17_2013	49.63	49.88	49.81	49.84	49.85	49.86	49.84(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	0	2	-36	0.1	67%		-33.3	0.18%	0	-0.4	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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