Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.9500 (0.23%) ($81.8700 - $81.9700) on Tue. Jul. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.18% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $81.9500(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(68%)    LQD(67%)    TLT(58%)    TIP(54%)    VCSH(54%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-61%)    UUP(-24%)    XHB(-4%)    DIA(-4%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.09% (StdDev 0.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.73(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.58(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.8(0.18%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.39% (three month std-dev: 0.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2017	81.42		81.58	81.73	81.75	81.83	81.95(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	10	53	1	1.61	58%	0.01	-25.6	0.18%	0	0.5	42	INF
2	Jul_17_2017	81.41	81.8	81.58	81.63	81.68	81.73	81.76(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	15	10	39	-58	1.43	55%	0	-30.8	0.18%	0	-0.1	28	INF
3	Jul_14_2017	81.41	81.82	81.53	81.55	81.61	81.67	81.65(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	10	29	-95	1.2	55%	0	-32.5	0.18%	0	-0.5	29	INF
4	Jul_13_2017	81.41	81.84	81.55	81.49	81.53	81.64	81.62(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	10	43	-119	1.32	55%	0.01	-37.5	0.18%	0	-0.7	29	INF
5	Jul_12_2017	81.4	81.87	81.59	81.44	81.46	81.55	81.65(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	10	50	-137	1.38	58%	0.01	-40	0.18%	0	-0.7	31	INF

6	Jul_11_2017	81.39	81.88	81.63	81.42	81.39	81.42	81.46(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	0	7	-164	1.93	59%	0	-45	0.18%	0	-1.3	25	INF
7	Jul_10_2017	81.39	81.9	81.71	81.43	81.41	81.38	81.38(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-0	-13	-165	2.23	59%	0	-47.4	0.18%	0	-1.7	29	INF
8	Jul_7_2017	81.39	81.93	81.8	81.52	81.45	81.36	81.34(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-84	-10	-59	-160	2.44	56%	0.01	-48.6	0.18%	0	-2	25	INF
9	Jul_6_2017	81.38	81.96	81.89	81.63	81.57	81.45	81.36(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-79	-10	-62	-129	1.83	56%	0	-37.5	0.19%	0	-2.3	30	INF
10	Jul_5_2017	81.38	82	81.98	81.77	81.7	81.54	81.55(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-87	-20	-79	-112	1.92	59%	0.02	-29.6	0.18%	0	-2	31	INF

11	Jul_3_2017	81.36	82.03	82.04	81.87	81.83	81.7	81.5(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-89	-10	-91	-83	1.09	59%	0	-13	0.18%	0	-2.8	44	INF
12	Jun_30_2017	81.36	82.05	82.1	82.04	81.97	81.86	81.83(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-52	-10	-61	-24	1.98	64%	0.01	17.6	0.18%	0	-1.6	53	INF
13	Jun_29_2017	81.35	82.07	82.14	82.12	82.1	81.96	81.89(-0.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-42	-10	-58	7	1.55	64%	0	44.4	0.18%	0	-1.2	54	INF
14	Jun_28_2017	81.35	82.07	82.16	82.19	82.19	82.08	82.06(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-33	-10	-53	29	1.6	68%	0.01	64.7	0.18%	0	0	56	INF
15	Jun_27_2017	81.34	82.06	82.17	82.22	82.23	82.23	82.06(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	0	-22	55	2.37	68%	0.02	77.8	0.18%	0	0	53	INF

16	Jun_26_2017	81.32	82.05	82.15	82.24	82.25	82.29	82.34(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	0	36	78	4.67	74%	0.01	83.3	0.17%	0	1.9	58	INF
17	Jun_23_2017	81.31	82.03	82.1	82.18	82.19	82.23	82.25(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	0	18	53	1.36	74%	0.02	76.5	0.17%	0	1.6	61	INF
18	Jun_22_2017	81.29	82	82.07	82.16	82.15	82.2	82.23(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	0	20	43	1.2	74%	0.01	76.5	0.17%	0	1.6	54	INF
19	Jun_21_2017	81.28	81.98	82.04	82.13	82.13	82.16	82.2(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	0	19	39	1.25	76%	0.02	64.7	0.17%	0	1.6	62	INF
20	Jun_20_2017	81.26	81.95	82.01	82.12	82.11	82.11	82.16(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-0	9	34	1.86	76%	0.01	66.7	0.18%	0	1.4	55	INF

21	Jun_19_2017	81.25	81.93	82	82.06	82.12	82.1	82.04(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	0	13	29	1.78	76%	0.01	72.2	0.18%	0	0.7	54	INF
22	Jun_16_2017	81.24	81.92	81.99	82.02	82.06	82.11	82.16(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	10	11	24	1.38	76%	0.02	77.8	0.18%	0	1.6	61	INF
23	Jun_15_2017	81.22	81.9	81.98	81.96	81.99	82.14	82.07(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	10	48	39	2.06	79%	0.01	94.1	0.18%	0	1.2	61	INF
24	Jun_14_2017	81.21	81.88	81.96	81.93	81.93	82.02	82.16(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	10	63	41	2.47	79%	0.02	118.8	0.19%	0	2.2	64	INF
25	Jun_13_2017	81.19	81.85	81.94	81.9	81.86	81.84	81.86(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-0	-13	17	1.52	77%		111.1	0.19%	0	0.1	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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