Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.1000 (0.18%) ($82.0500 - $82.1500) on Tue. Jun. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.2% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $82.1000(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(68%)    LQD(67%)    TLT(59%)    TIP(54%)    VCSH(54%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-61%)    UUP(-24%)    DIA(-4%)    XHB(-3%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.1% (StdDev 0.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.98(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.88(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.68(0.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.39% (three month std-dev: 0.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2017	81.15	81.68	81.88	81.98	81.97	82.04	82.1(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	10	21	56	3.26	68%	0.01	59	0.2%	0	1.3	69	0
2	Jun_5_2017	81.14	81.63	81.85	81.94	81.93	82	81.95(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	10	32	70	1.92	68%	0.01	52.5	0.2%	0	1	68	0
3	Jun_2_2017	81.13	81.6	81.83	81.91	81.91	81.9	82.08(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-0	30	78	1.8	68%	0.01	47.5	0.2%	0	1.5	72	0
4	Jun_1_2017	81.12	81.55	81.83	81.85	81.91	81.85	81.81(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	0	-17	75	1.71	58%	0.01	38.5	0.19%	0	0.8	73	0
5	May_31_2017	81.11	81.52	81.8	81.84	81.84	81.92	81.96(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	10	42	122	2.29	66%	0.01	39.5	0.2%	0	1.4	79	0

6	May_30_2017	81.1	81.49	81.75	81.77	81.77	81.83	81.92(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	10	26	112	1.28	66%	0.01	35.1	0.2%	0	1.4	79	0
7	May_26_2017	81.09	81.46	81.69	81.73	81.77	81.77	81.8(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	11	104	0.95	58%	0	29.4	0.21%	0	1.2	75	0
8	May_25_2017	81.09	81.44	81.65	81.73	81.73	81.72	81.76(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	-0	3	110	1.11	58%	0.01	27.3	0.21%	0	1.2	66	0
9	May_24_2017	81.08	81.42	81.59	81.74	81.74	81.7	81.76(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-0	-17	102	1.57	61%	0.01	25	0.21%	0	1.3	68	0
10	May_23_2017	81.07	81.4	81.52	81.76	81.74	81.74	81.59(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-0	-5	102	1.68	59%	0.01	22.6	0.22%	0	0.8	60	0

11	May_22_2017	81.06	81.39	81.47	81.73	81.78	81.78	81.76(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	0	16	101	1.57	59%	0.01	10.3	0.21%	0	1.5	61	0
12	May_19_2017	81.05	81.38	81.41	81.64	81.69	81.81	81.83(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	10	34	88	1.39	59%	0.01	-3.4	0.21%	0	1.9	68	0
13	May_18_2017	81.04	81.37	81.34	81.54	81.58	81.78	81.78(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	80	20	81	78	1.88	59%	0.01	-14.3	0.21%	0	1.8	53	0
14	May_17_2017	81.03	81.36	81.28	81.41	81.45	81.58	81.85(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	79	10	90	47	1.99	61%	0.02	-28.6	0.22%	0	2.1	58	0
15	May_16_2017	81.01	81.35	81.22	81.25	81.27	81.37	81.41(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	20	10	30	-11	1.76	56%	0	-39.3	0.21%	0	0.3	49	0

16	May_15_2017	81.01	81.37	81.21	81.18	81.2	81.32	81.33(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	33	10	49	-15	1.82	56%	0.02	-34.5	0.21%	0	-0.2	50	0
17	May_12_2017	80.99	81.38	81.2	81.13	81.13	81.18	81.35(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	16	0	35	-43	1.51	56%	0.01	-27.6	0.21%	0	-0.1	42	0
18	May_11_2017	80.98	81.4	81.21	81.11	81.08	81.07	81.11(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-0	-10	-70	1.42	53%	0	-19.4	0.21%	0	-1.2	31	0
19	May_10_2017	80.98	81.42	81.24	81.13	81.12	81.08	81.05(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-0	-12	-76	1.85	53%	0.01	-13.8	0.21%	0	-1.5	29	0
20	May_9_2017	80.97	81.44	81.28	81.17	81.14	81.1	81.06(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-0	-35	-88	2.53	50%	0.01	-3.6	0.21%	0	-1.7	27	0

21	May_8_2017	80.96	81.44	81.31	81.24	81.21	81.17	81.1(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-0	-10	-87	1.83	53%	0.01	3.7	0.21%	0	-1.6	25	0
22	May_5_2017	80.95	81.44	81.36	81.26	81.25	81.18	81.24(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10	-26	-93	1.66	56%	0.01	7.1	0.21%	0	-0.9	40	0
23	May_4_2017	80.94	81.44	81.4	81.32	81.27	81.25	81.19(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-0	-35	-85	1.22	56%	0.01	17.9	0.21%	0	-1.1	38	0
24	May_3_2017	80.93	81.44	81.44	81.38	81.35	81.32	81.28(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-13	-0	2	-56	2.95	56%	0.01	25	0.22%	0	-0.7	44	0
25	May_2_2017	80.92	81.45	81.49	81.4	81.37	81.29	81.37(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10	-22	-50	1.66	56%		27.6	0.22%	0	-0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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