Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.5600 (0.23%) ($81.3300 - $81.5600) on Wed. Apr. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.22% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $81.5600(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(68%)    LQD(67%)    TLT(59%)    TIP(54%)    VCSH(54%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-61%)    UUP(-24%)    XHB(-4%)    DIA(-4%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.11% (StdDev 0.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.26(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.19(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.06(0.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.32% (three month std-dev: 0.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.8%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2017	80.82	81.06	81.19	81.26	81.27	81.38	81.56(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	10	55	57	1.8	53%	0	100	0.22%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Apr_11_2017	80.82	81.01	81.15	81.18	81.2	81.22	81.37(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	0	28	36	1.34	51%	0.01	81.6	0.22%	0	1.2	60	0
3	Apr_10_2017	80.81	80.94	81.11	81.13	81.2	81.15	81.11(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	0	-6	14	1.48	48%	0	62.8	0.22%	0	0.5	58	0
4	Apr_7_2017	80.81	80.89	81.12	81.15	81.15	81.17	81.03(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	0	6	35	1.61	50%	-0.01	54.3	0.22%	0	0.4	62	0
5	Apr_6_2017	80.82	80.85	81.11	81.16	81.13	81.15	81.21(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	0	13	54	1.86	49%	0	45.1	0.22%	0	0.9	73	0

6	Apr_5_2017	80.82	80.8	81.09	81.16	81.1	81.13	81.18(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	0	10	64	2.05	53%	0	37.3	0.22%	0	0.9	76	0
7	Apr_4_2017	80.82	80.75	81.08	81.12	81.08	81.1	81.11(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	0	13	78	1.98	53%	0	32	0.23%	0	0.9	69	0
8	Apr_3_2017	80.82	80.72	81.06	81.09	81.07	81.06	81.2(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-0	2	97	2.14	53%	-0.01	22.9	0.23%	0	1.2	79	0
9	Mar_31_2017	80.83	80.69	81.02	81.08	81.08	81.05	81.08(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-0	-9	114	2.4	53%	0	15.2	0.23%	0	1.1	78	0
10	Mar_30_2017	80.83	80.67	80.97	81.08	81.11	81.08	81.03(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-0	-2	127	1.4	53%	-0.02	4.4	0.23%	0	1	71	0

11	Mar_29_2017	80.85	80.65	80.91	81.06	81.09	81.1	81.16(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	33	0	-3	140	1.36	55%	-0.01	-2.3	0.23%	0	1.5	77	0
12	Mar_28_2017	80.86	80.62	80.85	81.03	81.07	81.14	81(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	10	18	147	1.99	57%	-0.04	-8.9	0.24%	0	1.1	66	0
13	Mar_27_2017	80.89	80.62	80.76	81.02	81.05	81.07	81.15(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	0	34	141	1.87	57%	-0.02	-6.4	0.24%	0	1.4	63	0
14	Mar_24_2017	80.91	80.63	80.65	80.94	80.96	81	80.98(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	0	14	106	3.74	57%	-0.02	-7.8	0.24%	0	0.9	55	0
15	Mar_23_2017	80.93	80.65	80.58	80.86	80.88	81.02	81(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	10	48	94	1.79	57%	-0.02	-5.8	0.24%	0	0.8	54	0

16	Mar_22_2017	80.95	80.65	80.48	80.74	80.76	80.92	81.04(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	10	67	67	1.34	54%	-0.02	-7.7	0.24%	0	0.9	56	0
17	Mar_21_2017	80.97	80.65	80.4	80.64	80.62	80.73	80.93(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	10	60	34	2.08	54%	-0.02	-11.5	0.24%	0	0.6	50	0
18	Mar_20_2017	80.99	80.66	80.35	80.46	80.5	80.6	80.74(0.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	35	10	53	-21	1.51	52%	-0.04	-22.6	0.24%	0	0.2	36	0
19	Mar_17_2017	81.02	80.67	80.33	80.33	80.35	80.5	80.58(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	10	43	-70	1.29	54%	-0.02	-34	0.24%	0	-0.2	32	0
20	Mar_16_2017	81.04	80.68	80.34	80.25	80.24	80.4	80.42(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	18	10	58	-102	2.62	54%	-0.05	-41.5	0.24%	0	-0.6	26	0

21	Mar_15_2017	81.08	80.69	80.35	80.18	80.17	80.2	80.54(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	0	38	-142	2.28	54%	-0.04	-52.8	0.24%	0	-0.3	36	0
22	Mar_14_2017	81.11	80.71	80.37	80.13	80.11	80.08	80.04(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	-0	-29	-194	3.62	46%	-0.04	-58.5	0.23%	0	-1.6	30	0
23	Mar_13_2017	81.14	80.76	80.49	80.22	80.16	80.08	80.05(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-0	-29	-176	2.16	46%	-0.05	-58	0.23%	0	-1.8	32	0
24	Mar_10_2017	81.18	80.81	80.62	80.34	80.28	80.14	80.21(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-65	-10	-36	-150	3.43	46%	-0.05	-50	0.23%	0	-1.6	34	0
25	Mar_9_2017	81.22	80.86	80.74	80.43	80.4	80.19	80.05(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-92	-20	-78	-133	2.76	44%		-42.9	0.23%	0	-2.4	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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