Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.1300 (-0.02%) ($81.0600 - $81.1800) on Tue. Jan. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.25% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $81.1300(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(68%)    VCIT(68%)    TLT(59%)    TIP(55%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-62%)    UUP(-25%)    XHB(-4%)    DIA(-4%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.125% (StdDev 0.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.07(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.84(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.59(0.67%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2017	82.46	80.59	80.84	81.07	81.1	81.14	81.13(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	0	24	122	2.25	31%	-0.04	23.9	0.25%	0	1.5	69	0
2	Jan_9_2017	82.49	80.56	80.75	81.01	81.03	81.09	81.15(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	10	26	118	1.79	31%	-0.04	19	0.25%	0	1.7	72	0
3	Jan_6_2017	82.52	80.56	80.66	80.93	80.91	81.07	80.95(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	10	35	115	2.29	29%	-0.05	21.1	0.25%	0	1.4	71	0
4	Jan_5_2017	82.56	80.53	80.61	80.87	80.83	80.97	81.27(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	91	10	77	132	3.89	31%	-0.04	16.2	0.25%	0	2.5	76	0
5	Jan_4_2017	82.59	80.53	80.51	80.69	80.7	80.75	80.86(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	0	40	86	3.1	25%	-0.04	-5.9	0.24%	0	1.3	54	0

6	Jan_3_2017	82.62	80.5	80.46	80.56	80.57	80.7	80.8(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	10	38	60	3.31	24%	-0.06	-23.5	0.24%	0	1.1	55	0
7	Dec_30_2016	82.67	80.49	80.39	80.45	80.44	80.65	80.79(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	59	20	66	39	2.34	24%	-0.05	-38.2	0.24%	0	1.1	52	0
8	Dec_29_2016	82.71	80.47	80.32	80.34	80.34	80.45	80.62(0.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	43	10	58	-4	3.12	24%	-0.05	-62.5	0.24%	0	0.6	42	0
9	Dec_28_2016	82.75	80.48	80.27	80.31	80.25	80.45	80.4(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-0	-3	-59	4.1	22%	-0.05	-64.7	0.24%	0	-0.3	33	0
10	Dec_27_2016	82.79	80.52	80.29	80.3	80.28	80.24	80.2(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-0	-13	-73	2.18	19%	-0.06	-57.9	0.23%	0	-1	35	0

11	Dec_23_2016	82.84	80.56	80.32	80.33	80.28	80.26	80.26(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10	-13	-78	2.1	19%	-0.05	-50	0.23%	0	-0.9	36	0
12	Dec_22_2016	82.88	80.6	80.35	80.31	80.32	80.33	80.22(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	0	-4	-85	2.85	19%	-0.05	-57.5	0.23%	0	-1.2	38	0
13	Dec_21_2016	82.92	80.63	80.41	80.28	80.31	80.37	80.48(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	10	30	-66	2.75	23%	-0.04	-73.7	0.23%	0	-0.5	52	0
14	Dec_20_2016	82.95	80.66	80.45	80.22	80.23	80.31	80.36(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	10	3	-81	5.85	23%	-0.05	-78	0.24%	0	-0.9	39	0
15	Dec_19_2016	82.99	80.69	80.49	80.27	80.28	80.24	80.35(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-0	7	-85	2.94	23%	-0.06	-78	0.24%	0	-1	34	0

16	Dec_16_2016	83.04	80.73	80.54	80.3	80.35	80.15	80.14(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-71	-20	-56	-116	3.08	20%	-0.05	-87.5	0.23%	0	-1.8	32	0
17	Dec_15_2016	83.08	80.78	80.6	80.39	80.44	80.31	80.07(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-93	-10	-84	-120	2.65	20%	-0.05	-92.1	0.23%	0	-2.3	36	0
18	Dec_14_2016	83.12	80.86	80.65	80.55	80.57	80.54	80.19(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-0	-35	-87	2.97	20%	-0.05	-86.8	0.23%	0	-2.2	38	0
19	Dec_13_2016	83.16	80.92	80.72	80.71	80.67	80.56	80.6(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10	-25	-62	4.37	21%	-0.05	-102.9	0.23%	0	-1.1	39	0
20	Dec_12_2016	83.2	80.95	80.77	80.75	80.76	80.6	80.51(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-10	-53	-63	3.46	21%	-0.05	-128.6	0.23%	0	-1.6	40	0

21	Dec_9_2016	83.24	81.01	80.83	80.81	80.76	80.77	80.6(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-0	-34	-42	2.7	20%	-0.04	-144.4	0.23%	0	-1.4	41	0
22	Dec_8_2016	83.27	81.06	80.83	80.84	80.84	80.91	80.84(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	10	15	-28	2.32	20%	-0.05	-148.7	0.23%	0	-0.7	40	0
23	Dec_7_2016	83.31	81.12	80.87	80.76	80.81	80.9	81(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	25	10	50	-50	4.27	20%	-0.04	-142.6	0.23%	0	-0.3	36	0
24	Dec_6_2016	83.34	81.21	80.88	80.73	80.67	80.77	80.81(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	10	2	-83	2.34	20%	-0.04	-104.5	0.23%	0	-0.7	37	0
25	Dec_5_2016	83.37	81.32	80.9	80.81	80.69	80.71	80.82(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-0	12	-73	2.48	20%		-84	0.24%	0	-0.8	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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