Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $80.1400 (0.09%) ($80.0300 - $80.2700) on Fri. Dec. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.23% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $80.1400(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(68%)    VCIT(68%)    TLT(60%)    TIP(55%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-62%)    UUP(-25%)    XHB(-4%)    DIA(-4%)    XOP(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.115% (StdDev 0.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $80.73
5 Day Moving Average   $80.3(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.54(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.73(-0.73%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.4% (three month std-dev: 0.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.39%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.56%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.8%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2016	83.04	80.73	80.54	80.3	80.35	80.15	80.14(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-71	-20	-56	-116	3.08	20%	-0.05	-87.5	0.23%	0	-1.8	32	INF
2	Dec_15_2016	83.08	80.78	80.6	80.39	80.44	80.31	80.07(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-93	-10	-84	-120	2.65	20%	-0.05	-92.1	0.23%	0	-2.3	36	INF
3	Dec_14_2016	83.12	80.86	80.65	80.55	80.57	80.54	80.19(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-0	-35	-87	2.97	20%	-0.05	-86.8	0.23%	0	-2.2	38	INF
4	Dec_13_2016	83.16	80.92	80.72	80.71	80.67	80.56	80.6(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10	-25	-62	4.37	21%	-0.05	-102.9	0.23%	0	-1.1	39	INF
5	Dec_12_2016	83.2	80.95	80.77	80.75	80.76	80.6	80.51(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-10	-53	-63	3.46	21%	-0.05	-128.6	0.23%	0	-1.6	40	INF

6	Dec_9_2016	83.24	81.01	80.83	80.81	80.76	80.77	80.6(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-0	-34	-42	2.7	20%	-0.04	-144.4	0.23%	0	-1.4	41	INF
7	Dec_8_2016	83.27	81.06	80.83	80.84	80.84	80.91	80.84(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	10	15	-28	2.32	20%	-0.05	-148.7	0.23%	0	-0.7	40	INF
8	Dec_7_2016	83.31	81.12	80.87	80.76	80.81	80.9	81(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	25	10	50	-50	4.27	20%	-0.04	-142.6	0.23%	0	-0.3	36	INF
9	Dec_6_2016	83.34	81.21	80.88	80.73	80.67	80.77	80.81(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	10	2	-83	2.34	20%	-0.04	-104.5	0.23%	0	-0.7	37	INF
10	Dec_5_2016	83.37	81.32	80.9	80.81	80.69	80.71	80.82(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-0	12	-73	2.48	20%	-0.04	-84	0.24%	0	-0.8	41	INF

11	Dec_2_2016	83.4	81.43	80.92	80.86	80.79	80.57	80.72(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-20	-36	-99	1.95	20%	-0.05	-71	0.24%	0	-0.9	33	INF
12	Dec_1_2016	83.44	81.54	80.97	80.9	80.88	80.67	80.43(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-109	-20	-100	-137	3	16%	-0.05	-66.7	0.23%	0	-1.4	25	INF
13	Nov_30_2016	83.48	81.67	81.09	81	81	81.01	80.89(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	0	-21	-109	2.37	18%	-0.05	-63.7	0.22%	0	-0.9	25	INF
14	Nov_29_2016	83.52	81.78	81.14	81.04	80.99	81.09	81.17(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	10	25	-132	1.58	23%	-0.04	-64.4	0.22%	0	-0.7	19	INF
15	Nov_28_2016	83.55	81.87	81.15	81.01	80.99	80.99	81.11(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-0	24	-195	1.35	23%	-0.05	-66.4	0.22%	0	-0.9	17	INF

16	Nov_25_2016	83.59	81.97	81.19	81	81	80.89	80.92(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-101	-10	-42	-276	0.94	19%	-0.06	-68.2	0.22%	0	-1.2	12	INF
17	Nov_23_2016	83.64	82.08	81.28	81.06	81.06	81.01	80.89(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-119	-0	-55	-311	1.64	19%	-0.05	-68.5	0.22%	0	-1.3	16	INF
18	Nov_22_2016	83.68	82.21	81.39	81.2	81.18	81.11	81.1(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-93	-10	-21	-308	1.87	20%	-0.02	-67	0.22%	0	-1.2	17	INF
19	Nov_21_2016	83.7	82.33	81.56	81.26	81.27	81.12	81.03(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-117	-10	-50	-317	2.07	20%	-0.05	-66.7	0.22%	0	-1.5	18	INF
20	Nov_18_2016	83.74	82.45	81.76	81.31	81.36	81.26	81.04(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-124	-10	-58	-320	1.56	20%	-0.04	-66	0.22%	0	-1.6	16	INF

21	Nov_17_2016	83.77	82.59	81.97	81.42	81.41	81.43	81.24(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-98	0	-32	-294	1.76	21%	-0.04	-65	0.22%	0	-1.6	20	INF
22	Nov_16_2016	83.8	82.71	82.15	81.52	81.5	81.47	81.57(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-74	-0	-8	-273	1.63	22%	-0.04	-66	0.22%	0	-1.5	22	INF
23	Nov_15_2016	83.83	82.81	82.3	81.63	81.59	81.4	81.4(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-150	-20	-95	-315	2.1	22%	-0.02	-62.6	0.21%	0	-1.9	16	INF
24	Nov_14_2016	83.85	82.92	82.46	81.93	81.81	81.52	81.29(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-201	-30	-166	-306	2.08	22%	-0.04	-56.1	0.21%	0	-2.4	12	INF
25	Nov_11_2016	83.88	83.04	82.66	82.29	82.23	81.79	81.6(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-183	-40	-160	-250	1.58	26%		-52.2	0.21%	0	-2.6	13	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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