Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $84.2400 (0.12%) ($84.1300 - $84.2700) on Tue. Sep. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.2% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $84.2400(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(69%)    LQD(68%)    TLT(60%)    TIP(55%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-62%)    UUP(-25%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-4%)    XOP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.1% (StdDev 0.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.05(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.83(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.9(0.41%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.35% (three month std-dev: 0.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2016	83.82		83.83	84.05	84.09	84.17	84.24(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	10	60	81	2.46	48%	0.01	-14.3	0.2%	0	1.2	44	INF
2	Sep_26_2016	83.81	83.9	83.75	83.92	83.96	84.07	84.14(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	10	44	20	1.71	48%	0.01	-25	0.21%	0	0.8	42	INF
3	Sep_23_2016	83.8	83.89	83.7	83.81	83.84	84.01	84(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	44	20	60	-6	1.44	51%	0.01	-38.9	0.22%	0	0.4	47	INF
4	Sep_22_2016	83.79	83.9	83.65	83.74	83.74	83.84	84.02(0.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	34	10	58	-37	1.47	51%	0.01	-45.9	0.22%	0	0.4	44	INF
5	Sep_21_2016	83.78	83.92	83.64	83.66	83.65	83.68	83.85(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	0	22	-73	1.98	51%	0.01	-52.6	0.22%	0	-0.2	39	INF

6	Sep_20_2016	83.77	83.94	83.68	83.59	83.61	83.64	83.61(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	0	14	-90	1.26	47%	0.01	-53.8	0.22%	0	-1	31	INF
7	Sep_19_2016	83.76	83.98	83.74	83.55	83.56	83.63	83.59(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	10	12	-102	1.56	47%	0.01	-56.4	0.22%	0	-1.2	29	INF
8	Sep_16_2016	83.75	84.01	83.78	83.56	83.55	83.58	83.65(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	0	20	-101	1.31	47%	0	-57.9	0.22%	0	-1.1	41	INF
9	Sep_15_2016	83.75	84.05	83.83	83.55	83.54	83.5	83.58(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-0	-19	-122	1.82	49%	0.01	-57.9	0.22%	0	-1.5	35	INF
10	Sep_14_2016	83.74	84.08	83.9	83.63	83.58	83.52	83.51(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-69	-10	-50	-126	2.12	49%	0.01	-55.6	0.22%	0	-1.9	32	INF

11	Sep_13_2016	83.73	84.12	83.97	83.79	83.72	83.58	83.4(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-71	-10	-59	-105	2.67	49%	0.01	-46.9	0.22%	0	-2.7	29	INF
12	Sep_12_2016	83.72	84.16	84.07	83.96	83.92	83.64	83.64(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-83	-20	-82	-85	3.19	51%	0.01	-32	0.22%	0	-2.5	34	INF
13	Sep_9_2016	83.71	84.2	84.12	84.04	84.07	83.87	83.61(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-95	-20	-99	-83	2.89	51%	0.01	-20	0.22%	0	-3.5	38	INF
14	Sep_8_2016	83.7	84.23	84.19	84.15	84.07	84.2	83.98(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-26	0	-22	-37	3.48	54%	0.01	-7.7	0.21%	0	-2.3	40	INF
15	Sep_7_2016	83.69	84.25	84.19	84.2	84.16	84.27	84.3(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	27	10	37	-2	1.85	57%	0.01	8.3	0.21%	0	0.5	51	INF

16	Sep_6_2016	83.68	84.24	84.19	84.19	84.14	84.13	84.29(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-0	14	-9	4.32	57%	0.02	16.7	0.21%	0	0.5	55	INF
17	Sep_2_2016	83.66	84.24	84.23	84.2	84.17	84.05	84.04(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-10	-30	-20	1.8	60%	0.01	7.1	0.22%	0	-1.6	47	INF
18	Sep_1_2016	83.65	84.23	84.25	84.21	84.22	84.15	84.16(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10	-40	-27	3.11	59%	0.01	-15.4	0.22%	0	-0.6	45	INF
19	Aug_31_2016	83.64	84.24	84.27	84.23	84.27	84.15	84.21(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	0	-3	-1	1.91	59%	0.02	-15.4	0.22%	0	-0.3	53	INF
20	Aug_30_2016	83.62	84.24	84.28	84.25	84.28	84.29	84.27(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	0	2	4	4.75	59%	0.01	-23.1	0.22%	0	0.4	47	INF

21	Aug_29_2016	83.61	84.23	84.27	84.25	84.3	84.26	84.34(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-5	-0	-6	0	1.45	59%	0.01	-15.4	0.22%	0	1	52	INF
22	Aug_26_2016	83.6	84.22	84.25	84.27	84.33	84.27	84.05(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-0	-25	-2	2.87	57%	0.01	-11.8	0.22%	0	-1.2	53	INF
23	Aug_25_2016	83.59	84.22	84.28	84.3	84.35	84.35	84.26(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	0	-7	19	1.74	59%	0.02	5.9	0.22%	0	0.1	59	INF
24	Aug_24_2016	83.57	84.25	84.28	84.32	84.32	84.39	84.35(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	13	28	2.08	59%	0.01	11.8	0.21%	0	0.7	51	INF
25	Aug_23_2016	83.56	84.26	84.27	84.31	84.3	84.35	84.36(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	0	36	43	1.67	59%		23.5	0.21%	0	0.7	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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