Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $84.3700 (0.11%) ($84.2400 - $84.4100) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.21% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $84.3700(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(69%)    LQD(68%)    TLT(60%)    TIP(55%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-25%)    DIA(-4%)    XHB(-3%)    XOP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.105% (StdDev 0.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.26(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.21(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.24(0.15%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.17% (three month std-dev: 0.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2016	83.51	84.24	84.21	84.26	84.25	84.29	84.37(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	0	22	9	1.75	55%	0.02	23.5	0.21%	0	0.9	41	0
2	Aug_17_2016	83.49	84.24	84.2	84.22	84.25	84.21	84.28(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-0	1	-11	2.02	55%	0.01	11.8	0.22%	0	0.4	47	0
3	Aug_16_2016	83.48	84.24	84.19	84.23	84.26	84.2	84.15(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-0	-30	-28	2.16	53%	0.02	0	0.22%	0	-0.6	44	0
4	Aug_15_2016	83.46	84.23	84.18	84.25	84.3	84.3	84.19(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	0	2	-13	1.94	53%	0.01	5.9	0.22%	0	-0.3	51	0
5	Aug_12_2016	83.45	84.22	84.19	84.22	84.28	84.32	84.33(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	19	10	28	-8	1.61	53%	0.02	-22.2	0.22%	0	0.7	53	0

6	Aug_11_2016	83.43	84.21	84.21	84.15	84.18	84.29	84.14(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	5	10	12	-17	1.76	52%	0.02	-55.6	0.22%	0	-0.5	48	0
7	Aug_10_2016	83.41	84.21	84.23	84.18	84.15	84.24	84.36(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	10	45	7	1.67	54%	0.02	-61.1	0.22%	0	0.9	53	0
8	Aug_9_2016	83.39	84.21	84.24	84.13	84.14	84.07	84.25(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-10	9	-7	2.26	54%	0.02	-83.3	0.22%	0	0.2	54	0
9	Aug_8_2016	83.37	84.22	84.23	84.11	84.12	84.05	84.01(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-10	-50	-37	1.84	52%	0.01	-85.7	0.21%	0	-1.2	45	0
10	Aug_5_2016	83.36	84.25	84.25	84.15	84.17	84.21	84(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	0	-18	-16	2.02	52%	0.02	-60	0.21%	0	-1.2	50	0

11	Aug_4_2016	83.34	84.3	84.28	84.28	84.21	84.2	84.28(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-0	6	25	1.2	54%	0.02	-30.8	0.21%	0	-0.1	58	0
12	Aug_3_2016	83.32	84.32	84.28	84.3	84.27	84.13	84.13(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-24	-10	-35	9	3.47	56%	0.04	-17.9	0.21%	0	-0.8	45	0
13	Aug_2_2016	83.29	84.35	84.27	84.35	84.34	84.21	84.13(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-40	-10	-54	4	4.58	53%	0.02	0	0.21%	0	-0.9	41	0
14	Aug_1_2016	83.27	84.37	84.28	84.35	84.38	84.41	84.21(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	0	-9	18	3.71	53%	0.04	10	0.22%	0	-0.6	48	0
15	Jul_29_2016	83.24	84.38	84.27	84.36	84.36	84.46	84.64(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	10	52	27	2.76	58%	0.02	25	0.21%	0	1.1	47	0

16	Jul_28_2016	83.22	84.38	84.21	84.27	84.27	84.34	84.37(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	10	29	-23	1.42	55%	0.04	35.7	0.21%	0	0	34	0
17	Jul_27_2016	83.19	84.36	84.21	84.24	84.23	84.26	84.42(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	0	26	-41	1.58	58%	0.02	46.4	0.21%	0	0.3	43	0
18	Jul_26_2016	83.17	84.36	84.2	84.18	84.18	84.21	84.17(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	0	4	-76	2.39	55%	0.04	57.1	0.21%	0	-0.7	33	0
19	Jul_25_2016	83.14	84.35	84.21	84.19	84.16	84.2	84.18(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	0	15	-83	1.2	55%	0.02	71.4	0.21%	0	-0.7	39	0
20	Jul_22_2016	83.12	84.33	84.26	84.17	84.15	84.15	84.23(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-0	14	-80	1.61	55%	0.04	60.6	0.21%	0	-0.4	48	0

21	Jul_21_2016	83.09	84.28	84.32	84.14	84.13	84.12	84.22(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-0	-10	-81	2.08	55%	0.02	36.4	0.21%	0	-0.2	50	0
22	Jul_20_2016	83.07	84.25	84.36	84.16	84.14	84.12	84.12(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	0	-14	-66	1.69	53%	0.04	30	0.21%	0	-0.3	50	0
23	Jul_19_2016	83.04	84.21	84.43	84.22	84.19	84.15	84.21(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-0	-7	-31	1.56	53%	0.02	30.9	0.21%	0	0	51	0
24	Jul_18_2016	83.02	84.18	84.47	84.24	84.26	84.13	84.08(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10	-46	-30	2.16	53%	0.02	29.3	0.21%	0	-0.2	52	0
25	Jul_15_2016	83	84.16	84.51	84.35	84.33	84.23	84.05(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-10	-81	-1	2.23	55%		37.3	0.21%	0	-0.2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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