Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.8200 (-0.1%) ($81.7900 - $82.0100) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.2% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $81.8200(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    VCIT(69%)    TLT(61%)    TIP(56%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-24%)    DIA(-5%)    XME(-4%)    XHB(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.1% (StdDev 0.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $81.95
5 Day Moving Average   $81.83(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.82(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.95(-0.16%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.22% (three month std-dev: 0.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	81.42			81.83		81.89	81.82(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	0	8	-51	1.87	59%	0	-36.4	0.2%	0	-0.7	39	INF
2	Mar_14_2016	81.42	81.95	81.82	81.87	81.87	81.84	81.9(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-0	-4	-59	1.53	55%	-0.01	-36.4	0.2%	0	-0.3	44	INF
3	Mar_11_2016	81.43	81.96	81.85	81.83	81.91	81.85	81.72(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-0	-10	-58	1.42	55%	0	-31.8	0.21%	0	-1.3	40	INF
4	Mar_10_2016	81.43	81.98	81.9	81.83	81.89	81.9	81.83(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	0	-16	-55	1.79	55%	0	-22.7	0.21%	0	-0.8	43	INF
5	Mar_9_2016	81.43	82	81.94	81.84	81.87	81.98	81.87(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	14	10	30	-34	2.01	55%	0	-9.1	0.21%	0	-0.7	41	INF

6	Mar_8_2016	81.43	82.01	81.94	81.81	81.84	81.89	82.01(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	30	10	48	-24	1.71	55%	0	-4.5	0.21%	0	0	55	INF
7	Mar_7_2016	81.43	82.01	81.97	81.77	81.77	81.75	81.74(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-0	-35	-62	1.3	53%	-0.01	9.1	0.2%	0	-1.6	48	INF
8	Mar_4_2016	81.44	82.01	82.01	81.88	81.83	81.8	81.76(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-0	-20	-32	1.15	56%	0	22.7	0.2%	0	-1.4	43	INF
9	Mar_3_2016	81.44	82.01	82.04	81.96	81.93	81.78	81.8(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10	-43	-31	2.75	50%	-0.01	45.5	0.21%	0	-1.2	36	INF
10	Mar_2_2016	81.45	82.01	82.07	82.06	82.02	81.86	81.76(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-65	-20	-76	-30	2.14	50%	0	65.2	0.23%	0	-1.4	37	INF

11	Mar_1_2016	81.45	82.02	82.09	82.14	82.15	82.09	81.81(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-26	-0	-33	-3	2.55	50%	0	82.6	0.23%	0	-1.1	45	INF
12	Feb_29_2016	81.45	82	82.1	82.2	82.22	82.17	82.25(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-0	1	17	1.83	54%	0.01	78.6	0.22%	0	1.1	56	INF
13	Feb_26_2016	81.44	81.98	82.1	82.16	82.18	82.21	82.2(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	0	-5	14	1.63	54%	0	82.1	0.22%	0	1	65	INF
14	Feb_25_2016	81.44	81.94	82.08	82.12	82.15	82.27	82.28(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	10	36	42	2.41	54%	0	74.2	0.22%	0	1.4	64	INF
15	Feb_24_2016	81.44	81.9	82.07	82.1	82.1	82.15	82.16(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	0	40	51	2.43	54%	0.01	68.8	0.22%	0	1	63	INF

16	Feb_23_2016	81.43	81.87	82.06	82.04	82.04	82.04	82.1(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	0	11	43	2.24	54%	0	63.6	0.22%	0	0.9	64	INF
17	Feb_22_2016	81.43	81.83	82.05	81.99	81.98	82.05	82.05(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	10	11	53	1.6	54%	0	55.9	0.22%	0	0.8	69	INF
18	Feb_19_2016	81.43	81.79	82.02	81.98	81.98	82.03	82.03(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	24	59	1.86	54%	0	51.4	0.22%	0	0.8	57	INF
19	Feb_18_2016	81.43	81.76	82	82.03	81.94	81.9	82.14(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10	-0	68	1.82	54%	0	55.3	0.22%	0	1.2	64	INF
20	Feb_17_2016	81.43	81.72	81.96	82.05	82.03	81.84	81.86(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-17	-20	-44	64	2.16	51%	0	62.2	0.22%	0	0.5	61	INF

21	Feb_16_2016	81.43	81.69	81.95	82.08	82.11	81.97	81.88(-0.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-37	-10	-72	69	1.49	51%	0.01	71.1	0.22%	0	0.6	62	INF
22	Feb_12_2016	81.42	81.67	81.9	82.12	82.17	82.23	82(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	10	2	110	1.47	51%	0	76.3	0.22%	0	1.1	67	INF
23	Feb_11_2016	81.42	81.63	81.88	82.06	82.15	82.26	82.27(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	88	10	68	147	1.89	54%	0.01	73.7	0.21%	0	2.1	76	INF
24	Feb_10_2016	81.41	81.58	81.8	81.97	81.98	82.12	82.22(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	10	41	125	2.55	54%	0	76.5	0.21%	0	2.3	73	INF
25	Feb_9_2016	81.41	81.53	81.72	81.87	81.89	82.05	82.05(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	82	10	70	119	2.35	52%		77.4	0.21%	0	2.1	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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